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Believe It Or Not, In Defense of the Dollar
The fact is, there are no good alternatives to the U.S. dollar.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
10/8/2009 3:30:00 PM
The word on the street is, the U.S. dollar is rapidly depreciating, so investment in the U.S. Treasuries defies common sense. You would think that would prompt foreign governments such as China and Saudi Arabia to stop investing in U.S. securities? But instead of selling their depreciating dollar-denominated assets, they are buying more. Here's why, says EWI's Bill Fox…
Filed Under: u.s. dollar, china, saudi arabia, U.S. Treasuries, inflation, deflation, prechter
Category: Economy


Deflation: Now a European Problem, Too
Despite the Fed’s expansive balance sheet, it's not inflation U.S and Europe need to worry about.

by Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
6/2/2009 1:00:00 PM

The winds of deflation are blowing in Europe, and Jean-Claude Trichet, European Central Bank president, is at the helm of the economic ship, desperately hoping to avoid the shoals of policy error. Trichet does not need a GPS unit or navigational charts to see the rocks, because the wreck of the Federal Reserve lies just ahead and is plain enough to see. 

Filed Under: Trichet, ECB, deflation, Federal Reserve, Bernanke, U.S. Treasuries, bund
Category: Economy


U.S. Treasuries: Staying On Track

by Nico Isaac
4/9/2008 4:30:00 PM
No one said it was going to be easy. But this is ridiculous. In order to stay on the trail of the U.S. Treasury market, the powers that be have one word of advise: FOLLOW the mainstream “experts.”  What they don’t tell you is: The path the “experts” blaze has more switchbacks than San Francisco’s famed Lombard Street.  
Filed Under: U.S. Treasuries, 10-year note, bonds, yields, Federal Reserve, rate cuts, Greenspan, TLT, FOMC
Category: Interest Rates


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.