The Tortoise is About to Cross the Financial Finish Line
Slow and safe wins the race

By Bob Stokes
1/4/2013 5:00:00 PM

It's true that a Treasury-bill account yields next to nothing. But at this financial juncture, the well-known saying of humorist Will Rogers has never been more relevant: "I am more concerned with the return of my money than the return on my money." Learn why Bob Prechter says that embracing financial risk because interest rates are low can be a trap.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, Bear market, conquer the crash, derivatives, Elliott wave, history, Interest Rates, investment strategy, long-term trend, market forecasts, mutual funds, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, social mood, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), treasury yields

Category: Classic Prechter

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When Will the Fed Raise Interest Rates? When the Market Says So
The Federal Reserve Bank's interest rate policy is not as "independent" as most people think

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/30/2012 5:15:00 PM

You probably know what event dominates this week's U.S. economic calendar: the August 31 Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke's speech at the policy meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, monetary policy, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

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If You Think Bonds Are a Conservative Investment, Think Again
Bond investors beware of deflation's impact on yields

By Bob Stokes
8/29/2012 4:45:00 PM

Elliott Wave International believes that economic contraction is set to accelerate. What does deflation mean for bond yields in the months ahead?...
 

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates

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Bonds and the Era of Deflation: A Safe Alternative to Stocks?
Special Report: A just-published 10-page urgent warning to bond investors

By Bob Stokes
6/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

The bull market in bonds has been going on for decades. The most recent bond investing craze merely heaped more icing on the cake. In fact, the interest rate on the Treasury's 10-year note has just fallen to the lowest level in U.S. history. Will bond investors continue to be rewarded?...

Filed Under: debt, deflation, economic depression, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, market forecasts, municipal bonds, risk management, safe haven, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates

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Do Low Interest Rates Power Stocks Higher?
This chart debunks a long-held myth.

By Bob Stokes
12/7/2011 5:00:00 PM

A market commentator recently opined that stocks aren't being kept afloat by hopes for a European debt solution, but then claimed that the real reason to be bullish is very low interest rates. What does the evidence show? Take a look at the chart...

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, Treasury bills (T-bills), Interest Rates

Category: Stocks

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U.S. Treasuries: Not the Butt of the Financial Joke Anymore
Treasuries outperform U.S. stocks! Another trend EWI got right -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
11/1/2011 2:30:00 PM

U.S. treasuries have long since been the butt of the financial joke, ridiculed for being worth little more than the paper they're issued on. The idea being: once you factor in early redemption penalties and inflation, the interest payments on long- or even short-dated securities often outweigh the capital gains. Not Anymore.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, cash, conquer the crash, credit crisis, emerging markets, inflation, investment decisions, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Stocks

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Keep Your (Investment) Feet as the U.S. Economy Keeps Slipping Down the Slope

By Susan C. Walker
7/22/2011 6:15:00 PM

Just because many politicians and financial pundits want us to believe that the U.S. economy is recovering doesn't mean we have to believe them. Nor does it make us negative Neds and Nellies if we don't.

Filed Under: economic depression, recession, Robert Prechter, Treasury bills (T-bills)

Category: Classic Prechter

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Your Portfolio is STILL Historically Overvalued

By Susan C. Walker
7/15/2011 3:15:00 PM

This insightful and well-crafted chart, showing year-end stock market valuations, is a case in point of how one picture shows more than many words can tell.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, earnings, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills)

Category: Classic Prechter

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Living in the Post-QE World
Today's chart punctures the popular notion that stocks must fall if bond yields were to rise, post-QE2

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2011 11:30:00 AM

The countdown to a post-QE financial world is over in t-minus 10, 9, 8... Today, June 30 marks the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve's massive "quantitative easing" program. So the question is: Withe end-of-QE days be a world in which only stock-roaches and Twinkies survive? All jokes aside, many mainstream experts say life after the Fed's historic stimulus campaign will be markedly different for the stock and bond markets.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, safe haven, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Stocks

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Debt Man's Curve, It's No Place to Play
Why high debt does not necessarily mean high interest rates

By Jason Farkas
6/21/2011 2:15:00 PM

Sovereign debt is making the headlines these days, and here is a new way to look at the different risk levels of bonds -- the Debt Parabola, a.k.a. Debt Man's Curve.

Filed Under: emerging markets, eurozone, Greek debt, municipal bonds, pension funds, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, subprime lending, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

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Follow 40+ Global Markets, With One Global Perspective
With more than 60 charts on more than 100 pages, EWI's Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Editorial Staff
6/9/2011 3:30:00 PM

In a global market environment that can be both treacherous and rewarding – it’s vital to have an ally on your journey. That’s where Global Market Perspective comes in...

Filed Under: CAC40, Chinese markets, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, eurozone, FTSE, gold futures, Greek debt, Japanese yen, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, Nikkei, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, silver, soverign debt crisis, stock indexes, Swiss franc, technical analysis, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. dollar, U.S. Treasuries, volatility, yuan

Category: Global Markets

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U.S. Dollar: What Will Happen if China Stops Buying U.S. Treasuries?
Discussion of the "fundamentals" can be fun, but nothing cuts to the chase like a well-made chart

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/11/2011 1:30:00 PM

You may have heard or read talk in the media about what will happen to the U.S. dollar if China and Japan reduce their U.S. Treasury purchases, and/or dump their vast portfolios of U.S. bonds. This topic makes for a fascinating discussion, but they rarely show you a chart. Which is too bad...

Filed Under: forex trading, fundamental analysis, Robert Prechter, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Currencies

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What Really Moves the Markets: News? The Fed? The Real Answers Will Surprise You
Elliott Wave International's free 118-page Independent Investor eBook explains why financial markets are NOT a matter of action and reaction

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/28/2010 3:15:00 PM

"There is no group more subjective than conventional analysts, who look at the same 'fundamental' news event a war, interest rates, P/E ratio, GDP, economic policy, the Fed’s monetary policy, you name it and come up with countless opposing conclusions. They generally don’t even bother to study the data." (EWI president Robert Prechter.) You need objective tools to make objective forecasts. So, we put together a unique resource for you: a free 118-page Independent Investor eBook, where you see dozens of examples and charts that show what really creates market trends.

Filed Under: Campaign for Independent Thinking, Chinese markets, diversification, earnings, Elliott Wave Principle, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), gross domestic product (GDP), gold futures, hyperinflation, inflation, monetary policy, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, supply and demand, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds

Category: Gold and Silver

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Out from the Financial Jungle Comes T-Bill Rex
"Financial Strength" Will Come From "Financial Safety" in Coming Years

By Bob Stokes
10/14/2010 4:15:00 PM

Filed Under: Treasury bills (T-bills), Robert Prechter

Category: Interest Rates

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A Safe Bridge Over "Troubled Financial Waters"
How to Hold On To What You've Got

By Bob Stokes
8/20/2010 6:00:00 PM

But IF financial seas become troubled again, you'll be in a great position to take advantage of investment opportunities...

Filed Under: market crash, Robert Prechter, Treasury bills (T-bills)

Category: U.S. Economy

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3 Reasons Now is Not the Time to Speculate in Stocks

By Susan C. Walker
8/20/2010 2:15:00 PM

When it's sunny, you head outside without a thought, but when it's rainy, you look for your umbrella. When the markets are trending up, you don't worry about your investments much, but when the markets turn bearish ... what do you do?

Filed Under: Treasury bills (T-bills), mutual funds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Classic Prechter

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Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"
To anyone new to socionomics, the stock market is saturated with paradox.

By Editorial Staff
2/9/2010 4:45:00 PM

"Have you ever watched a dog interact with its owner? The dog repeatedly looks at the owner, taking cues constantly. The owner is the leader, and the dog is a pack animal alert for every cue of what the owner wants it to do. Participants in the stock market are doing something similar. They constantly watch their fellows, alert for every clue of what they will do next. The difference is that there is no leader. The crowd is the perceived leader, but it comprises nothing but followers. When there is no leader to set the course, the herd cues only off itself, making the mood of the herd the only factor directing its actions."

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), crude oil, earnings

Category: Stocks

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EUR/USD Breaks Below Major Price Point
Just when everyone thought the U.S. dollar was a goner, it rebounds!

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/28/2010 1:00:00 PM

On January 27, the EUR/USD (exchange rate between the euro and U.S. dollar and the most widely trade forex pair) slipped below $1.40 for the first time in six months. In other words, the dollar, considered by most analysts all but doomed a short while ago, now stands at a 6-month high against its main competitor. Ironic? Paradoxical? You bet. Here's more on that from Robert Prechter.

Filed Under: euro/USD exchange rate, euro, U.S. dollar, Robert Prechter, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Currencies

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3 Things You Could Have Known 1 Year Ago
Plus 1 Prediction Today for Our Financial Future

By Susan C. Walker
10/24/2008 4:45:00 PM

It's a sign of hard-fought wisdom when you hear yourself say, "If only I knew then what I know now." In fact, many of us are saying to ourselves right now, "If only I knew a few months ago that the stock market would turn so bearish…"

Filed Under: Bear market, Treasury bills (T-bills), silver futures, recession, economic depression

Category: Classic Prechter

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