Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

As with "Madame Deficit," Heads May Roll During the Next Economic Crisis
The blame game will get serious.

By Bob Stokes
5/6/2013 5:15:00 PM

Marie Antoinette had been a spendthrift early in her reign, but curtailed that habit when she learned what the public thought. Even so, the young French queen had already been nicknamed "Madame Deficit." French debt had ballooned before she and King Louis XVI took the throne. But they received the blame for France's financial straits. Now fast forward to the U.S. economy today. Get ready for the blame game to turn serious.

Filed Under: deficit, economic indicators, Elliott wave, europe, history, Robert Prechter, sentiment, social mood, Sovereign Debt

Category: U.S. Economy

Global Deflation: Protect Your Wealth from What the Majority Do Not Expect
Shield your wealth before trusted facilities close their doors

By Bob Stokes
2/15/2013 4:15:00 PM

Last month the economy of the United States unexpectedly shrank by 0.1% in the fourth quarter. Deflationary forces are affecting more than just the American markets. In fact, they're even stronger across the pond. The euro zone's accelerating economic contraction should serve as a warning sign to anyone who believes the global economy is on the road to recovery. Opportunities to protect your wealth will close shut once a deflationary trend is well underway. Learn how to access safe storage facilities for your assets.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, all the same market theory, currency, deflation, European debt crisis, eurozone, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), history, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Sovereign Debt

Category: Global Markets

The Federal Reserve Has No Cure for What Ails the Economy
Learn why the credit crisis will inevitably conclude in a deflationary depression

By Bob Stokes
7/18/2012 3:30:00 PM

The Federal Reserve will not be able to prevent a global credit collapse. EWI's Financial Forecast Service offers ideas on how to position yourself. These are ideas you can put to work right away. The unprecedented build-up of credit in the past 80 years means the economic collapse could be swift. It's best to prepare now...

Filed Under: banks, Ben Bernanke, central banks, credit crisis, credit rating, debt, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Greenspan, liquidity, M3 money supply, monetary policy, monetization, QE2, quantitative easing, Sovereign Debt, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

United States Debt: A Stack of $100 Bills 10,712 Miles High
Evidence that the very high stack is crashing back to earth

By Bob Stokes
6/29/2012 5:00:00 PM

The national debt clock shows that the United States debt stands near $15,820,142,000,000 – as in almost $16 trillion. U.S. total debt is much higher: $56,922,000,000,000. That much debt is unsustainable. And, as Elliott Wave International sees it, there's only one way out...

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt crisis, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, Sovereign Debt

Category: U.S. Economy

U.S. Markets on Edge Just Like Europe: So What Happens Next?

By Susan C. Walker
8/4/2011 5:30:00 PM

The best way to understand what's in store for the U.S. is to read his analysis of what's happening now across the Pond. Read these three questions and answers to find out why.

Filed Under: debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, europe, European debt crisis, eurozone, Sovereign Debt, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets

European Bank Stress Test: "It's not that 8 failed...but that 82 passed!!"

By Debbie Hodgkins
7/15/2011 5:15:00 PM

The European Banking Authority announced Friday that 8 banks had failed their stress tests and 16 more had narrowly passed. But the results drew much criticism from analysts, who said that the stress test is not strict enough...

Filed Under: brian whitmer, credit crisis, European Union (EU), europe, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets

Debt Man's Curve, It's No Place to Play
Why high debt does not necessarily mean high interest rates

By Jason Farkas
6/21/2011 2:15:00 PM

Sovereign debt is making the headlines these days, and here is a new way to look at the different risk levels of bonds -- the Debt Parabola, a.k.a. Debt Man's Curve.

Filed Under: emerging markets, eurozone, Greek debt, municipal bonds, pension funds, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, subprime lending, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

European Sovereign Debt: What Do We See Ahead?
Keeping an Eye on European Bonds

By Bob Stokes
6/15/2011 5:15:00 PM

Well before the current round of headlines about the sovereign debt crisis -- our European Short Term Update forecasted higher yields for some debt plagued European countries. See how one of those forecasts turned out...
 

Filed Under: credit default swaps, credit rating, Elliott wave, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, Irish debt crisis, Keltner channels, market forecasts, Sovereign Debt, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets

Will the U.S. Debt Crisis Lead to "Austerity in America"?
"Don't Expect Government Services to Remain at Their Current Levels"

By Bob Stokes
6/7/2011 4:45:00 PM

America obviously has a debt crisis of its own. This is not to say the U.S. is currently in the same dire financial straits as Greece, etc. -- or that America's economic future will unfold in the same manner. Yet...

Filed Under: bailouts, credit crisis, credit rating, deficit, deflation, European Union (EU), Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt

Category: U.S. Economy

Greece: Europe's Lehman Brothers?
Could Greece suffer the same bailout refusal as Lehman?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/3/2011 6:00:00 PM

When the financial crisis hit hard in the fall of 2008, the Federal Reserve Bank made the now-infamous decision to refuse to bail out the Wall Street giant, Lehman Brothers. Today, the eurozone authorities are losing patience with Greece.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Lehman Brothers, risk appetite, Sovereign Debt, Swiss franc, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: European Markets

(Audio, 14 mins.) Europe's Debt Crisis: Near the End, or Just Beginning?
EWI's European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer discusses his outlook for Europe

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/20/2011 12:15:00 PM

EWI's European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer discusses his outlook for the European sovereign debt crisis and the European Union with Market Wrap radio host Moe Ansari. LISTEN NOW (14 mins.) >>

Filed Under: euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, safe haven, Sovereign Debt

Category: European Markets

EU Bailouts Fail To Keep European Sovereign Debt Markets Afloat
Elliott wave charts show Europe's "peripheral" bond yields rising despite the bailouts

By Nico Isaac
4/19/2011 4:15:00 PM

Over the past year, a violent credit downdraft has pushed the hot air balloon of the sovereign debt nations of Europe into dangerously low territory. The regions hardest hit have been the four-bloc entity known as PIGS, or Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain. And, according to the mainstream experts, there is one and only one pilot who can lift said airship back into safer skies: the monetary policymakers of the European Union, chiefly through a "keep-it-coming" stream of cash infusions and bond buybacks.

Filed Under: bailouts, eurozone, European Union (EU), Greek debt, Sovereign Debt

Category: European Markets

“Core" European Stocks vs. “Peripheral" Ones: Will the Divergence Continue?
Even the DAX and FTSE are not on as solid a footing as the mainstream analysis say

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/1/2011 7:15:00 PM

While German and British shares have advanced strongly in 2010-2011, peripheral European markets -- Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece (the proverbial PIIGS nations) -- have trended lower. Even France's CAC 40 and pan-European Eurostoxx 50 sit today where they did in late 2009, 18 months ago...

Filed Under: bailouts, CAC40, DAX, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: European Markets

Germany’s New "Economic Miracle": Could 7,000 Bullish Executives Be Wrong?
Here's what you'll find inside EWI's March 2011 European Financial Forecast

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/9/2011 4:00:00 PM

When you view world events through the lens of the Elliott Wave Principle, things just make more sense. Take the recent political shake-up in Ireland, where Fianna Fàil party suffered its worst-ever election defeat. Up until now, Fianna Fàil was considered the “natural party of government," but now the experts have no better explanation than to helplessly point to “forces of nature” as the reason for the party's stunning defeat. They would get better answers by looking at the economy and the stock market as the measures of the country's social mood.

Filed Under: AEX, CAC40, DAX, eurozone, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt, Swiss Market Index (SMI), technical analysis

Category: European Markets

"Everyone Knows" Gold Should Be Rising -- Why Is It Sinking Instead?
Why gold and silver's "bullish fundamentals" don't seem bullish any more

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/21/2011 10:15:00 AM

As gold climbed to its December 2010 all-time high of $1,431 an ounce, virtually everyone believed it would only go higher. Well, here we are, a month-and-a-half later. "Madman Bernanke" is still at it. Europe's debt crisis remains fundamentally unresolved. Inflationists are still waiting for a Zimbabwe-like collapse. Yet on January 21, gold fell as low as $1,337 an ounce. WHY?

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, bull market, European Union (EU), hyperinflation, inflation, Irish debt crisis, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, safe haven, Sovereign Debt, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

EURUSD Rally: A Correction or a New Euro Bull Market?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/18/2011 10:15:00 PM

Over the past ten days, the euro has gained almost 600 pips, or 6 cents, against its main rival, the U.S. dollar, moving the EURUSD in the mid-$1.34 range. Forex analysts have attributed the rally to many factors, but from an Elliott wave perspective, the reasons for the EURUSD rally have been quite different from mainstream explanations.

 

Filed Under: euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex trading, Sovereign Debt, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Silver and Gold Sinking: A Buying Opportunity?
At a time when gold bugs see every price dip as a buying opportunity, it's important to look at a larger picture

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/14/2011 6:00:00 PM

You wouldn't know it by looking at all the "We Buy Gold!" ads on late-night TV and your local pawn shops, but gold and silver have sold off hard since the beginning of the year. Why are precious metals falling? "Growing investor confidence," say the mainstream experts. But if you're looking for an independent perspective, you've come to the right place.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, gold futures, gross domestic product (GDP), hyperinflation, inflation, Robert Prechter, safe haven, sentiment, silver futures, Sovereign Debt, technical analysis

Category: Gold and Silver

EURUSD: Up, But For How Long?
Is the euro rallying due to news of Japan buying euro zone bonds, or is there another reason?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/11/2011 10:00:00 PM

The EURUSD gained on January 11 -- but charts make clear that the actual EURUSD rally began on January 9, before the positive news from the euro zone appeared. Here is an Elliott wave explanation for the euro's strength.

Filed Under: euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, forex trading, Japanese yen, online trading, Sovereign Debt, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

EUR/USD: China Says It Supports Euro Zone -- But the Euro Falls Anyway
Another example of how in forex, it's not the news that matters -- it's how currency traders interpret the news.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/23/2010 1:00:00 PM

Fundamental analysts look at forex markets the way they look at physics: For every action, there is a predictable, linear, immediate reaction. Simple. Well, this week we've seen two perfectly euro-bullish news stories; both had to do with China. Yet the euro didn't rally -- let's take a look at some of the reasons why.

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott Wave Principle, euro/USD exchange rate, euro, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, European Union (EU), forex trading, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Sovereign Debt, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies

Credit Crisis in Europe: Free Assessment Report by Elliott Wave International
Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy -- what's likely next for PIIGS and Europe's sovereign debt crisis?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/21/2010 11:30:00 AM

After Moody's recent downgrade of Ireland's credit rating and a fresh warning about Portugal's rating being placed "on review" for a possible downgrade, it's clear that the euro zone credit crisis is not over. For a different perspective on Europe's credit crunch, we invite you to read this free report by Elliott Wave International's European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer.

Filed Under: credit crisis, credit crisis, credit rating, Elliott Wave Principle, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Irish debt crisis, Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt

Category: European Markets

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.