Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

U.S. Stocks Are Hot. What Does That Mean for India and China?
Sometimes global markets move in tandem, and sometimes they don't.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/8/2013 4:30:00 PM

Think back to 2007 and early 2008, before the worst of the financial crisis. Perhaps you recall this major investment belief: Even if the West took a dive, emerging markets would save the day. But when the crisis hit, emerging markets crashed right along with the developed ones. Still, there were a few important nuances. For example...

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, fundamental analysis, Indian markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

China's Colossal Real Estate Boom is "Unprecedented in Human History"
Ghost cities are sprawled across the landscape

By Bob Stokes
3/6/2013 9:15:00 AM

China is the home of the biggest real estate bubble in human history. A financial analyst estimates the government is "building somewhere between 12 and 24 new cities every single year." Even China's middle class have poured their savings into real estate investments. Find out what EWI's Asian-Pacific Forecast Service sees ahead for China.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Chinese markets, Indian markets, Japanese yen, Korean Won, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, yuan

Category: Asian Markets

Asian-Pacific Stocks: Take a BOLD Look Into 2013
Inside EWI's December 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/7/2012 5:45:00 PM

'Tis the season of year-end summaries and cautious next-year forecasts. We will join the crowd -- just this once! -- and do the same. Except, the forecasts you'll find in the latest, December Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast are anything but timid. Here are the highlights...

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, market forecasts, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: Great Expectations
Inside EWI's November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/2/2012 5:15:00 PM

As November begins, the Asian-Pacific region stands at an interesting Elliott wave juncture. It offers a broad range of stock price patterns, thus a broad range of expectations. On the one hand, already-bullish trends in Southeast Asian should continue higher, well above their 2010 and 2011 highs. On the other hand, other regional markets are already at their 2010 and 2011 highs. Still others need further declines before they reach an intermediate-term low. Discover all the details in the November 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

5 Years After the Peak, Is China Set to Sink -- or SOAR?
What Elliott waves said about China's past -- and what they are saying NOW about its future.

By Nathaniel Williams
10/19/2012 6:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that when the U.S. Presidential candidates'aren't blasting each other, they hammer China. Both Mr. Obama and Mr. Romney want to "get tough" on China. The Obama administration recently backed up its rhetoric by blocking a Chinese company from building a wind farm near a Navy base.
 
But even beyond U.S. political mudslinging, China can't seem to catch a break.

Filed Under: BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, investment strategy, sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

Guess Who’s Coming to China’s Stock Market: Bear, Bull -- or Gorilla?
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s special 5-page report on China reveals why now could be the beginning of a new chapter in China’s economic history

By Nico Isaac
9/14/2012 10:00:00 AM

China’s Shanghai Composite index is 5 years into the worst bear market of its 2-decade history. And this August, the exchange suffered its 4th straight month of declines for the longest losing streak since 2004. In a quest to answer the burning question of whether the SSE’s bearish rout is over, the mainstream financial experts are hard at work sifting through every current and potential future quantitative measure under the economic sun

Filed Under: Bear market, Chinese markets, history, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Stop the Presses: Why We Just Published a Special Report on China
EWI’s Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast’s 5-page report on China says it's likely that a multi-year move “lies directly ahead.”

By Nico Isaac
9/7/2012 3:00:00 PM

The earthquakes that shook southwest China on Friday, Sept. 7, killing more than 60 people and damaging 20,000 houses, sadly seem to mirror the string of financial temblors that have sent shockwaves through China’s economy over the past 5 years. Today, the mainstream financial experts are ready to call it. So, are they right?

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, momentum, Relative Strength Index (RSI), sentiment, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Global Economies and World Financial Markets: How the Big Disconnect Will End
Find out what happens when the two meet

By Bob Stokes
9/5/2012 3:45:00 PM

Will the disconnect between global economies and financial markets continue? EWI believes the answer is "no." Overleveraged financial markets will suffer the fate of overleveraged global economies. Keep in mind: The next financial crisis may start outside of America, so more than ever you need to... 
 
 

Filed Under: all the same market theory, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, CAC40, DAX, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Elliott wave, emerging markets, euro stoxx 50, europe, european central bank, european markets, financial forecast, Greek debt, Indian markets, market crash, market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Nikkei, S&P 500, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis, Taiwan index, U.S. STOCK MARKET, world central banks

Category: Global Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: The Tale of "Two Asias"
Inside EWI's September 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/31/2012 8:15:00 PM

Most investors are conditioned to believe that global stocks move in unison. That's not the case. For example...

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Wave Analysis vs. Fundamentals: Which Anticipated the 12% Plunge in China's Shanghai Composite?
Two views before the drop, but only one was right

By Nathaniel Williams
7/27/2012 10:15:00 AM

Think back to early May: China's Shanghai Composite was near its 2012 highs -- and at a critical crossroads. Where would it go next?

Filed Under: Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, Chinese markets, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Asian-Pacific Stocks: Don't Get Too Comfortable
Egypt, Israel and Turkey: This month's Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast also includes forecasts for those markets

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2012 5:30:00 PM

It's always darkest before the dawn, goes the saying. Yet if that's true, then wouldn't the opposite be just as true? "Asian Stocks Head for Biggest Gain This Year on Europe Progress‎," reported the June 29 San Francisco Chronicle. How much longer will we see "sunny" headlines like this one? The latest, July issue of our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast shows you what no one else does...

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Indian markets, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index

Category: Asian Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: To Sell -- or Not To Sell?
That is the question... you may be asking yourself after the big selloff in May. We believe you'll find your answer here.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/1/2012 9:00:00 PM

Quick: Name the tallest skyscraper in the world. Yes: Burj Khalifa in Dubai. How about the world's tallest tower? The Eiffel Tower, you say? No. It's the new Skytree that's just opened in Tokyo. The Japanese aren't alone in their desire to reach for the sky. In Jakarta, the developers of the $2b Signature Tower “think that this is the right moment for building the tower,” too. Why would an investment newsletter like ours talk about tall towers, you ask? Because almost all of the world's tallest buildings have famously appeared only at a certain point in the stock market's Elliott wave pattern.

 

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, safe haven, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Asian Markets

Europe's Financial Fiasco: Migrating to the United States?
History may repeat itself

By Bob Stokes
5/29/2012 4:00:00 PM

About a year before the October 1929 crash, net capital inflows fell in several European countries. In other words: European economies began to deteriorate before the Great Depression began in the U.S. Is history repeating itself?...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of Japan, bloomberg, credit crisis, credit default swaps, debt ceiling, debt downgrade, deflation, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, great depression, Greek debt, housing prices, recession, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Shanghai Composite Index, soverign debt crisis

Category: Global Markets

Asia-Pacific Stocks: DON'T "Sell in May and Go Away"?
The Asia-Pacific region broke this old rule more than once. What about 2012?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2012 5:45:00 PM

At the 2nd annual Social Mood Conference in April, one speaker delivered an interesting insight: Every year, stock market returns in May-October average only about 50% of the returns in November-April. Important information, yes -- but did you realize that May-October in 2003, 2007 and 2009 were great periods to hold Asian-Pacific equities? What about 2012, you may wonder?

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment strategy, Nikkei, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, technical analysis

Category: Asian Markets

India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared, Part II
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/2/2012 2:00:00 PM

This is Part II of my interview with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective -- a comprehensive, 50-page monthly publication for global investors. -- Mark, you use Elliott wave analysis as your chosen forecasting method. Why Elliott? Why not just watch the news like most investors do? -- Mark Galasiewski: Well, the example I already showed you...

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, Asian-Pacific Short Term Update, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, Greek debt, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Korean Won, Nikkei, risk management, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Singapore Dollar, Taiwan index, technical analysis

Category: Global Markets

India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Indonesia: How Elliott Wave Analysis Turned BULLISH When Few Dared. Part I
EWI's Asian-Pacific stock market analyst explains the unique benefits of Elliott wave analysis for emerging market investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/26/2012 3:15:00 PM

Today, you truly have the world at your fingertips. It’s easier than ever for you to get exposure to global markets, especially given the explosion in ETFs. But how do you decide which market is most worthy of your attention? And how do you know if your forecasting source is qualified and objective? With that in mind, I sat down with EWI's Mark Galasiewski, a monthly contributor to the "Asian-Pacific Stocks Section" of our Global Market Perspective.

Filed Under: Asia Dollar Index, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, buy and hold, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, stock indexes, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets

April is Half-Way Over. What Will the 2nd Half Bring?
With more than 50 charts on 50 pages, Global Market Perspective is the most comprehensive source of independent, insightful global Elliott wave analysis you'll ever find

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/16/2012 3:45:00 PM

At the start of April, few investors anticipated any trouble ahead. March ended strong, and the majority of financial pundits and investors we convinced that April would also not disappoint. That one-sided bullishness was one (of many) reason why on March 30, the April issue of our comprehensive Global Market Perspective issued these warnings to subscribers...

Filed Under: AEX, AIG, ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, emerging markets, euro, eurozone, FTSE, Indian markets, investment decisions, investment strategy, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Swiss Market Index (SMI), Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Global Markets

Invest in Hong Kong, Australia, China? Then See Why Waves in Pakistani and Cambodian Stocks Matter to YOU
Inside EWI's April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/30/2012 6:15:00 PM

It's been three years since March 2009, when our Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast turned bullish on the Asian-Pacific region. Most emerging markets in Asia have since then continued to support that bullish view: Many regional stock indexes have advanced in the impulsive Elliott wave pattern we expected. Of course, markets do go through periods of regress. How soon should you expect one to begin -- if at all? The April 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast gives you a specific answer on page 1.

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, BRIC, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, emerging markets, financial forecast, Indian markets, momentum, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, volume

Category: Asian Markets

Asian-Pacific Stocks: The Trend IS Your Friend -- But How Do You Know When the Trend Might END?
PLUS, Special Section: Apple, Inc. (AAPL), the Global Bellwether -- all inside EWI's March 2012 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast...

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/4/2012 11:30:00 AM

Here's a question that any stock market investor wants answered: How do you know when a rally (or decline) may end? If you look to the economy for an answer, you'll likely be disappointed. Just think back to mid-2007, when the economy was strong -- but, out of the blue, the stock market began a decline that became a crash. Conversely, recall how bad the economy was in March 2009 -- right when stocks hit bottom and began a three-year rally. What's the alternative, then?

Filed Under: ASX All Ordinaries, Bank of Japan, BRIC, bull market, Chinese markets, diversification, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Indian markets, Indian Rupee, investment strategy, Nikkei, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Asian Markets

"Dow 15,000": You CAN Judge A Trend By Its Cover
The "magazine cover indicator" is not to be overlooked

By Nico Isaac
2/14/2012 5:00:00 PM

You can judge market sentiment in more ways than one. For example, cover pages of popular periodicals can give you a glimpse of the prevailing mood in the market. When a financial trend is so strong, or in force for so long -- or both -- that it makes the cover, the trend is usually fully acted upon, and therefore close to a reversal. Here at Elliott wave International, we've often used this phenomenon to help us gauge how extreme market sentiment has become -- and therefore, how close is the market in question to a reversal.

Filed Under: bull market, Chinese markets, credit crisis, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, housing prices, Lehman Brothers, Magazine Cover Indicator, Shanghai Composite Index, social mood

Category: Stocks

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.