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Think Lower U.S. Trade Deficit Is Bullish for Stock Market?
The latest figures show that the U.S. trade gap has narrowed, and many see that as a bullish sign

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/2/2013 2:00:00 PM

Before you join the crowd in thinking that shrinking trade gap is good for the U.S. economy and the stock market, see this eye-opening chart. 

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, Club EWI, deficit, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic depression, Nasdaq Composite, New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), QE2, S&P 500

Category: U.S. Economy

Extra, Extra, WATCH All About It: A New Video on Gold & Silver
A special video reveals a "key, near-term juncture" in both gold and silver

By Nico Isaac
12/12/2012 5:30:00 PM

On Dec. 12, gold investors waited with baited breath for the release of the minutes from the Fed's Open Market Committee meeting. "Fed May Hold the Key to Gold's Riddle," read one Financial Times headline. The key issue? Whether the Fed would keep its finger on the shiny, green monetary "stimulus" button. If only the reality was that cut and dry.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Gold, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, silver, Traders, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Gold and Silver

The Federal Reserve Has No Cure for What Ails the Economy
Learn why the credit crisis will inevitably conclude in a deflationary depression

By Bob Stokes
7/18/2012 3:30:00 PM

The Federal Reserve will not be able to prevent a global credit collapse. EWI's Financial Forecast Service offers ideas on how to position yourself. These are ideas you can put to work right away. The unprecedented build-up of credit in the past 80 years means the economic collapse could be swift. It's best to prepare now...

Filed Under: banks, Ben Bernanke, central banks, credit crisis, credit rating, debt, deficit, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Greenspan, liquidity, M3 money supply, monetary policy, monetization, QE2, quantitative easing, Sovereign Debt, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment

Category: U.S. Economy

U.S. Bonds: Loved By No One... But Outperforms Them All. Learn Why
Newsflash: U.S. bonds outperform U.S. stocks! Another investment theme EWI got right -- here's how

By Nico Isaac
1/12/2012 4:45:00 PM

On the financial playground, long-term bonds are generally the last picked for the winning team -- well behind equities, commodities, high-yield (junk) bonds, even the barely established emerging markets. The reason being: the amount of time it takes to actually reap the fruits of your return. BUT, as a January 5, 2012 CNBC articlereveals, the asset that supposedly nobody loves has outperformed them all.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, credit crisis, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, emerging markets, hyperinflation, inflation, Interest Rates, liquidity, Robert Prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

$15-Trillion and Counting: Will the Debt Mountain Just Grow Higher?
"Anti-spending sentiment is on the rise."

By Bob Stokes
12/23/2011 4:45:00 PM

Many people say that the Federal Reserve will just keep "printing money." But to say that the government will just keep "stimulating" is to ignore the simple truth that institutions consist of people. Even people in authority come under the influence of prevailing psychology -- which today is one of increasing... 

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, monetary policy, monetization, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

The Federal Reserve: Is This "House Divided" Losing Credibility?
Signs that a rare economic trend is now underway

By Bob Stokes
11/16/2011 4:45:00 PM

Is this the point where Bernanke can no longer use Fed policy to "inflate at will"? Well, Robert Prechter says something "momentous" happened on September 21, 2011...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, inflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank
Free Report Available Now

By Bob Stokes
8/5/2011 5:00:00 PM

External resistance to the Fed's policies is one thing. But the machinations of America's central bank are also encountering resistance from within the Fed itself, albeit "behind closed doors"...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Robert Prechter, central banks, Elliott Wave Theorist, Greenspan, QE2, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

Three Strikes for the Fed: What's Next for the Economy?
What to Expect from the New Economic Trend in the Years Ahead

By Bob Stokes
7/29/2011 5:00:00 PM

The Fed's easy money campaign has defined the front line of that "war on credit." The problem is that it just hasn't worked...
 

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, Elliott Wave Theorist, housing prices, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

$600 Billion Later: Why QE2 Will Not Stop Deflation
The Fed Doesn't Control the Economy

By Bob Stokes
7/22/2011 2:45:00 PM

Some in the financial media argue that QE2 worked because the Fed has prevented a Japanese-like deflation. But is inflation alive and well? Keep the above chart in mind as you read...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, central banks, deflation, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

Living in the Post-QE World
Today's chart punctures the popular notion that stocks must fall if bond yields were to rise, post-QE2

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2011 11:30:00 AM

The countdown to a post-QE financial world is over in t-minus 10, 9, 8... Today, June 30 marks the end of the U.S. Federal Reserve's massive "quantitative easing" program. So the question is: Withe end-of-QE days be a world in which only stock-roaches and Twinkies survive? All jokes aside, many mainstream experts say life after the Fed's historic stimulus campaign will be markedly different for the stock and bond markets.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), market forecasts, Nasdaq Composite, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, safe haven, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Stocks

What Will Happen to the Stock Market When QE2 Ends?
Club EWI's free "Independent Investor eBook, 2011 Edition" offers you an unorthodox view of the Fed's quantitative easing program

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/27/2011 12:00:00 PM

Club EWI's free "Independent Investor eBook, 2011 Edition" offers you an unorthodox view of quantitative easing and its "effects" on stocks and the economy...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), liquidity, market manipulation, monetary policy, monetization, Robert Prechter, QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks

DJIA Closes Below 12,000 -- Again. What's Going On?
Better results come from directly observing market behavior, not reading Fed statements

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2011 5:15:00 PM

On Wednesday, June 22, the Federal Reserve Bank released its latest interest rates policy statement (no change). Afterward the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke held a press conference, followed by a Q&A period. The financial media paid lots of attention to what Bernanke said. Our own Steve Hochberg -- editor of the Monday-Wednesday-Friday Short Term Update -- had this to say about Bernanke's press conference...

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, economic depression, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), gross domestic product (GDP), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, recession, stimulus package, stock indexes, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Stocks

Are Low Bond Yields Living On the Fed's Borrowed Time?
Today's chart illustrates how the Fed's QE program has followed -- not led -- the bond market

By Nico Isaac
6/6/2011 10:45:00 AM

True or False: The U.S. Federal Reserves quantitative easing (QE) policy has been to bond yields what a plastic lid is to a trick snake can. Once you open the lid, it's -- "POP!" -- and the toy snakes spring up and out? According to many mainstream financial experts, the answer to that question is a clear and definitive true.

Filed Under: bailouts, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: U.S. Economy

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.