Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

The Growing Case for Global Deflation
Prepare for a major worldwide economic contraction.

By Bob Stokes
4/24/2013 4:30:00 PM

The evidence for global deflation continues to build. Consider the recent plunge in the prices of commodities and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). Plus, the International Monetary Fund recently warned that ...

Filed Under: commodities, crude oil, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Gold, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), silver, stock indexes, Treasury bonds

Category: Global Markets


The Most Noteworthy Takeaway from the 2013 World Economic Forum
A perfumed outlook doesn't mean the economy passes the smell test

By Bob Stokes
1/29/2013 5:30:00 PM

Harsh economic realities versus the disconnected and extreme economic optimism at Davos should serve as an alarm. But the World Economic Forum is not the only place where economic optimism is in overdrive. Get an independent perspective on global markets and economies.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, CNBC, debt crisis, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), sentiment

Category: Global Markets


What's a Central Bank To Do?
What if the ECB has an ace up its sleeve, and the next round of stimulus FINALLY does the trick?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2012 12:15:00 PM

With so much focus on the hopes of further economic stimuli by central banks, it's important to consider what difference (if any) the already HUGE amount of economic stimulus has made. Let's look at Europe.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, golden ratio, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund (IMF), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


The European Economy: Game Over -- OR -- Play Till It Wins?
Inside our new, August 2012 European Financial Forecast

By Nico Isaac
7/27/2012 4:15:00 PM

Europe's 2-year long economic Whac-A-Mole game continues. Central banks across the Continent use their giant "mallets" of bond buybacks, rate cuts, and bailouts to hit ONE crisis over the head -- only to have another one savagely pop up in the opposite corner. So, will Europe's monetary authorities be able to "whack" all the reoccurring "moles" before their time runs out?

Filed Under: AEX, bailouts, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, diversification, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), quantitative easing, safe haven, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


Will Europe's Economic Wildfire Finally Be Contained?
Inside our new, July 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

The raging inferno of soaring bond yields and plunging stock markets has been spreading across Europe, jumping from Greece to Portugal to Spain to Italy. But according to the mainstream experts, there is one way to snuff out the flames: fly rescue planes over the blaze and dump emergency lending, low interest rates, and monetary policy from the skies above. And from the ashes, new growth will emerge. So, are they right?

 

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt crisis, debt downgrade, diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


The Most Advertised Financial Avalanche of All Time, Yet So Many are Whistling Past the Graveyard
America's banks and the soon to be administered test from across the Atlantic

By Bob Stokes
6/25/2012 5:00:00 PM

Previous summits have not stopped the sovereign debt crisis from escalating, and EWI doesn't see any reason why the next one will either. Meanwhile, demand deposits have been declining at...

Filed Under: banks, Club EWI, deflation, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, International Monetary Fund (IMF), safe haven, soverign debt crisis

Category: U.S. Economy


The Spain Downgrade and Contagion: Just How Much Risk?
Has the threat ratcheted up a notch (or two)?

By Bob Stokes
4/27/2012 4:00:00 PM

Shortly after the fourteenth European debt crisis summit concluded and there was an "extraordinary shift from negativity to optimism," the November 2011 Global Market Perspective flatly said "The current level of unpayable debt is too big to bail." Yet financial journalists and many of the economists they interview have been busy talking about rising markets and recovering economies. Some were even saying that Europe's debt crisis was "under control." It seems not...

Filed Under: debt downgrade, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Short Term Update, soverign debt crisis

Category: European Markets


Is the United States Headed Down Europe's Financial Road?
Europe's economy is contracting

By Bob Stokes
3/22/2012 6:00:00 PM

Our Financial Forecast has said for years that the bailouts and the European Union itself would come to grief, even as other observers were optimistic. Here's a case in point...

 

Filed Under: Club EWI, euro, euro stoxx 50, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Category: U.S. Economy


Sovereign Debt Crisis: Will the Third Falling Domino Topple a Fourth?
Is Portugal the "Last" European Bailout?

By Bob Stokes
5/5/2011 5:15:00 PM

But after the bailouts of Greece and Ireland, the rally in Europe's bourses seemed like a "pause" button on the sovereign debt crisis. In reality, the "play" button was never turned off...

Filed Under: bailouts, credit crisis, credit default swaps, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Irish debt crisis

Category: Global Markets


400 Analysts and Economists Are Bullish. But Before You Join Them, See This Chart
Most investors have very short memory. You don't have to be one of them

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/4/2011 5:30:00 PM

Please read these financial news headlines and then take a guess as to when they were published...

Filed Under: bull market, buy and hold, credit crisis, Elliott wave, housing prices, International Monetary Fund (IMF), nonfarm payrolls, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, unemployment

Category: Stocks


Oil Back Above $112. Higher Highs Ahead?
Crude oil makes headlines again. Let's look at recent price action

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/21/2011 2:15:00 PM

You may have noticed that crude oil's recent rally has been rocky. Prices suffered a big setback in early March, when oil lost 10%. More losses came last week, when on April 11 and 12 crude fell from near $113 to $106 a barrel. Here's how some of the mainstream energy market analysts explained that recent decline...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, International Monetary Fund (IMF), supply and demand

Category: Energy


European Sovereign Debt: Crisis Over for Europe's Markets in 2011?
Answer: Seems to Depend on the Day

By Bob Stokes
2/18/2011 5:30:00 PM

So the question becomes: Is U.S. manufacturing data so influential that within only a few days time, it totally trumps the worries over Europe's debt problems? "No" is the obvious answer.  A new 32-minute webinar recording about Europe analyzes what is really driving European market trends... 

Filed Under: Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Irish debt crisis

Category: European Markets


Africa: Surprising Economic Path for the "Forgotten Continent"?
Economic Growth Where You Might Not Expect to Find It

By Bob Stokes
2/9/2011 5:00:00 PM

In fact, some parts of Africa have been growing faster than the much ballyhooed growth-rate of China!  Read about the economic forecast for the "forgotten continent"...
 

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott Wave Principle, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Shanghai Composite Index

Category: Global Markets


Credit Crisis in Europe: Free Assessment Report by Elliott Wave International
Greece, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Italy -- what's likely next for PIIGS and Europe's sovereign debt crisis?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/21/2010 11:30:00 AM

After Moody's recent downgrade of Ireland's credit rating and a fresh warning about Portugal's rating being placed "on review" for a possible downgrade, it's clear that the euro zone credit crisis is not over. For a different perspective on Europe's credit crunch, we invite you to read this free report by Elliott Wave International's European Financial Forecast editor Brian Whitmer.

Filed Under: credit crisis, credit crisis, credit rating, Elliott Wave Principle, euro, euro stoxx 50, eurozone, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Irish debt crisis, Irish debt crisis, Sovereign Debt

Category: European Markets


Did European Bailout "Stop the Drop"?
Opinions regarding Europe's future remain divided.

By Bob Stokes
5/11/2010 12:15:00 PM

We at Elliott Wave International believe the only way the global credit bubble will be resolved is by "paying the piper" -- in other words, the "accounting books" must be completely balanced. This is quite different than IOUs on top of IOUs, which is essentially Europe's latest plan of attack.

Filed Under: european central bank, U.S. dollar, euro, International Monetary Fund (IMF), euro/USD exchange rate

Category: European Markets


Europe On The Ropes: Financial Punches Fly
The markets are signaling that political approval for bailout is in jeopardy, says EWI's European editor.

By Bob Stokes
5/6/2010 2:30:00 PM

The International Monetary Fund is still slated to offer Greece assistance, but will it be enough? Can Greece count on help from European neighbors? You can try and answer that question using Elliott wave analysis. The editor of EWI's European Short Term Update Chris Carolan shows you how.

Filed Under: euro, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Robert Prechter

Category: European Markets


Scary Thought: A Bear Market That Lasts Forever?
"Negative feedback loop" between economy and the markets -- true or false?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2008 8:45:00 PM

By claiming that there is a "negative loop between the financial system and the broader economy," the International Monetary Fund is essentially saying that we will be stuck in this bear market forever – literally. Think about it...

Filed Under: International Monetary Fund (IMF), liquidity

Category: U.S. Economy


Get Your Free Email Newsletters

Simply pick what interests you and enter your email address:


Challenge the way you think about investing with The EWI Independent

Dig deeper into the world of Elliott wave trading via Trading the Waves

Get the week's can't-miss articles and free resources from The EWI Weekly Select

Get the latest from our sister organization, the Socionomics Institute
We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.