Elliott Wave InternationalmyEWISocioniomics.Net

Cyprus, the Euro – and Elliott Waves
How will the forex market react to the details of the Cyprus bailout plan when the agreement is finally reached?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

Right now, the number one forex story is the banking crisis in Cyprus. Cyprus is part of the European Union, so it shares the euro with the rest of the EU. We could speculate on how the outcome of the bailout deal might affect the euro, but our forte is wave analysis and other supporting technical indicators. So let's take a look.

Filed Under: bailouts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), forex, forex trading, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EURUSD: Draghi Speaks, Euro Rises?
This Elliott wave pattern saw the rally coming before Mr. Draghi ever spoke

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/7/2013 9:45:00 PM

On Thursday (Mar. 7), the European Central Bank president, Mario Draghi, made headlines with an optimistic statement that, "Later in 2013 economic activity should gradually recover..." The euro gained and pushed EURUSD, the euro-dollar exchange rate, as high as 1.3117. But as it's often the case, the rally was "in the waves" before the news. Take a look at this chart...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, european central bank, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, trendlines, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Europe: The Epicenter of a Global Economic Earthquake
Will economic optimism be dashed once again?

By Bob Stokes
2/22/2013 4:45:00 PM

A big economic story can go underreported for only so long. Eventually it will show up in mainstream news headlines – a likely case in point is the euro zone's developing deflationary trend. The evidence suggests that Europe could be the epicenter of the next global economic earthquake.

Filed Under: bailouts, brian whitmer, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, Robert Prechter, world central banks

Category: Global Markets


European Markets Crumble: Were You Surprised or Prepared?
Conventional financial analysts were caught off guard by the volatility. European Short Term Update subscribers anticipated it.

By Nathaniel Williams
2/8/2013 3:30:00 PM

It's easy to extrapolate present trends into the future. But it's not helpful, mainly because trends change. It's much harder -- and yet more helpful -- to peek around the corner to see what's next. Elliott wave analysis equips you to do that, which can sometimes yield fruit in abundance. Check out this video about European stock markets.

Filed Under: CAC40, europe, european markets, European Union (EU)

Category: Global Markets


The Euro's 10 Percent Rally: A Tale of Two Forecasts
See how the European Financial Forecast Service anticipated the euro's big rally

By Nathaniel Williams
1/11/2013 11:15:00 AM

Barron's and many others predicted the euro to reach parity with the dollar in 2012.  Elliott wave analysis had a starkly different outlook.  See what led our analysts to this contrasting conclusion.

Filed Under: eu, euro, europe, European Union (EU), U.S. dollar

Category: European Markets


Europe's Return of Risky Debt: Sign of Hope or Dangerous Omen?
EWI's new, November European Financial Forecast highlights the resurgence of a risky debt -- and its implications for the region

By Nathaniel Williams
11/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

By all accounts, the economic and financial realities in Europe seem dire. Yet if you look at the behavior of some credit traders in Europe, you'd never know it. Is their new-found optimism toward risky debt a sign of hope -- or a dangerous omen?

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Greek debt

Category: European Markets


In 1929, Deflation Started in Europe Before Overtaking the U.S.
What Happens in Europe Will Not Stay in Europe

By Bob Stokes
10/9/2012 5:45:00 PM

An economic downturn in one major area of the globe is likely to affect another. In fact, even during the Great Depression (long before the phrase "global economy"), Europe was exporting to America. But one historic export was not the kind that the U.S. welcomed.
 

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, debt, deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), history, soverign debt crisis, world central banks

Category: U.S. Economy


European Bulls & Bears at an Impasse: Who Will Take the Next Move?
Inside EWI's new, October 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
10/5/2012 5:45:00 PM

If Europe's finanical landscape were a chess board, the 2 opposing players -- a bull and a bear -- would be at a seeming stalemate. So, do we have a draw? The brand-new October 2012 European Financial Forecast says -- absolutely not...

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


The Euro: Saved?
Is the euro really "irreversible"?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/6/2012 6:30:00 PM

At the September 6 European Central Bank meeting, the ECB president, Mario Draghi, repeated several times that, “The euro is irreversible.” That could be taken several ways, but assuming he meant unlimited support for the EU currency, here is what's interesting.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, technical analysis, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


EUR/USD Falls 100 Pips: A Hiccup, or Start of Something Bigger?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/5/2012 12:15:00 AM

"FOREX-Euro weakens on worries about ECB bond buys," said a Reuters headline at 2:34 PM EDT on September 4. Post-factum explanations like that always sound reassuring. Unfortunately, they tell you almost nothing about the trend for tomorrow. Or the day after. Indeed...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Europe in September: One of the Most Critical Months Yet
Inside EWI’s latest, September 2012 European Financial Forecast…

By Nico Isaac
8/31/2012 8:30:00 PM

September is to the European economy what November is to the U.S. Presidential election. To wit: September will see the final results of the Continents’ long and bitter campaign against its long-time rival, deflation...

Filed Under: AEX, CAC40, DAX, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), FTSE

Category: European Markets


Libor Scandal: The World's "Worst Kept Secret"
Five years after the media caught wind of it, why is the Libor scandal such a big deal now?

By Nathaniel Williams
8/15/2012 1:45:00 PM

Despite repeated hints of scandal, the news about the Libor rate-rigging has only now become a trendy topic. The timing of these revelations suggests two critical questions: Why has the Libor scandal become a hot button issue now, rather than when hints of the story first appeared in the press five years ago? And more importantly, does this story have implications for the trend of the stock market?

Filed Under: banks, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, LIBOR

Category: European Markets


What's a Central Bank To Do?
What if the ECB has an ace up its sleeve, and the next round of stimulus FINALLY does the trick?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/1/2012 12:15:00 PM

With so much focus on the hopes of further economic stimuli by central banks, it's important to consider what difference (if any) the already HUGE amount of economic stimulus has made. Let's look at Europe.

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, Ben Bernanke, CAC40, DAX, diversification, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, golden ratio, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund (IMF), monetary policy, quantitative easing, Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


EUR/USD: New 2-Year Low -- And Why That Shouldn't Surprise Anyone
Elliott wave analysis told you that "the EUR is likely staring at a new low for the year" 5 days before Spain's bailout news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/23/2012 4:45:00 PM

This is a reprint of an article EWI's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens wrote on July 18. Read it to understand why it wasn't the news from Spain that is behind the euro's latest drop.

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Q&A: EWI's Take on Europe's Debt Crisis, Part II
Will the symptoms of Europe's debt crisis continue to spread?

By Nathaniel Williams
7/12/2012 1:30:00 PM

At the end of the interview, the German financial blogger asks what kind of asset classes should investors hold should the world slide into a full-blown economic depression? 

Filed Under: banks, brian whitmer, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: Global Markets


Q&A: EWI's Take on Europe's Debt Crisis, Part I
Analyst Brian Whitmer discusses whether Europe's new bailout plans have a future

By Nathaniel Williams
7/6/2012 11:15:00 AM

First question in this Q&A: When we had our last conversation, you predicted the euro to be the weakest among all paper currencies. Did you have a crystal ball?

Filed Under: Elliott Wave Principle, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: Global Markets


EUR/USD: Oh What a Tangled Web We Weave...
...when first we practice to make heads or tails of forex market news

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/3/2012 3:45:00 PM

Fact is, many forex traders stay glued to the economic news. Which central banker said what, and when; which economic report could be bullish or bearish; how the interest rate differential between countries affects the exchange rate -- and on, and on. It all sounds so perfectly logical -- and it is! The reason "fundamental" analysis is so popular is because it just makes sense. There is just one problem with this approach...

Filed Under: Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, european central bank, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, online trading, technical indicators, trading lessons, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Will Europe's Economic Wildfire Finally Be Contained?
Inside our new, July 2012 European Financial Forecast...

By Nico Isaac
6/29/2012 6:00:00 PM

The raging inferno of soaring bond yields and plunging stock markets has been spreading across Europe, jumping from Greece to Portugal to Spain to Italy. But according to the mainstream experts, there is one way to snuff out the flames: fly rescue planes over the blaze and dump emergency lending, low interest rates, and monetary policy from the skies above. And from the ashes, new growth will emerge. So, are they right?

 

Filed Under: AEX, Bank of England, CAC40, central banks, DAX, debt crisis, debt downgrade, diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, FTSE, inflation, International Monetary Fund (IMF), Swiss Market Index (SMI)

Category: European Markets


What's the "Closest Thing a U.S. Investor Will Get to a Crystal Ball"?

By Nathaniel Williams
6/25/2012 6:15:00 PM

Suppose you could look into a crystal ball and see what will happen in the United States economy? Elliott Wave International's European analyst has found that crystal ball, and you can gaze into it along with him.

Filed Under: europe, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: European Markets


The Most Advertised Financial Avalanche of All Time, Yet So Many are Whistling Past the Graveyard
America's banks and the soon to be administered test from across the Atlantic

By Bob Stokes
6/25/2012 5:00:00 PM

Previous summits have not stopped the sovereign debt crisis from escalating, and EWI doesn't see any reason why the next one will either. Meanwhile, demand deposits have been declining at...

Filed Under: banks, Club EWI, deflation, European debt crisis, European Union (EU), eurozone, International Monetary Fund (IMF), safe haven, soverign debt crisis

Category: U.S. Economy


Get Your Free Email Newsletters

Simply pick what interests you and enter your email address:


Challenge the way you think about investing with The EWI Independent

Dig deeper into the world of Elliott wave trading via Trading the Waves

Get the week's can't-miss articles and free resources from The EWI Weekly Select

Get the latest from our sister organization, the Socionomics Institute
We respect your privacy. TRUSTe

Latest Articles
Categories and RSS
Press Room
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts
As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.

© 2013 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.