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Black Monday (s): Ancient History, OR Imminent Future?

by Nico Isaac
10/19/2009 6:00:00 PM
Once upon a time, the term "Black Monday" was to Wall Street what the name "Lord Voldemort" was to Hogwarts. It turned the air freezing cold and sent traders flinching around every corner in fear of a repeat of the October 19, 1987 or October 28, 1929 meltdown. That was then. Now, a widespread belief in a new "global bull market" has put fears of a Black Monday repeat to rest....
Filed Under: Black Monday, us stock market, bull, dow jones industrial average, Dow, bob prechter
Category: Stocks


What a Topping Market Feels Like

by Susan C. Walker
10/2/2009 5:00:00 PM

Here's a description of what a bull market in stocks feels like when it tops.

Filed Under: Dow, topping market, contrarian
Category: Classic Prechter


Is the Recovery Just Hype? Examining the Potential for Future Declines In the Dow

by Nico Isaac
10/2/2009 3:45:00 PM
Long story short: The recent, 400-plus point (4.5%) nosedive in the Dow Jones Industrial Average wasn't part of the new-bull-market blueprint. According to the usual experts, the Dow  was on a one-way winning streak after soaring to a fresh, yearly high on Sept. 23.
Filed Under: Dow, dow jones industrial average, bull market, us stock market
Category: Stocks


From Bear To Bull: Is It The Survival Of The Fittest?

by Nico Isaac
9/25/2009 5:00:00 PM
Conventional economic wisdom lurks in the shadow of a system that uses news events to explain the direction of financial markets. Or, at best, it presumes ahead of time how prices will react to upcoming data -- and is inevitably thwarted by a fickle market that blatantly "ignores" negative stats to move higher, or "shrugs off" positive ones to turn down.
Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, bull, Dow, stock market
Category: Stocks


Will Stocks Get Stung By the "October Curse"? C'mon, Seriously

by Nico Isaac
9/11/2009 12:30:00 PM
More and more, Wall Street does with its old adages what department stores do with holiday decorations: they put them out months ahead of time so that shoppers already think "Easter bunny" at Thanksgiving. Case in point: The fall season is barely upon us and already, the financial mainstream is gearing up for the widely anticipated "October Curse" to strike down the bullish trend in stocks.
Filed Under: us stocks, dow jones industrial average, october curse, Dow, bull
Category: Stocks


How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Right
Bob Prechter: the only good label is an Elliott wave label...

by Nico Isaac
9/1/2009 4:00:00 PM

In the final two days of August 2009 alone, Bob Prechter was mentioned in several news outlets from MarketWatch to the New York Times. The claim to his "fame" -- EWI was one of the only technical analysis firms to anticipate a sharp rally in U.S. stocks as they circled the drain of a 12-year low this spring...

Filed Under: us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, bob prechter, bull, bear
Category: Stocks


A Day in the Life of the Stock Market
If there are aliens watching us humans invest in the stock market, chances are they are disappointed.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/27/2009 10:00:00 AM

Imagine you don't know anything about the stock market. Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study collective human behavior. Your task: the stock market. Millions of humans participate in it. Anything we can learn by watching them invest their money into a collective pot? YES, lots, as this fictional account of human-alien interaction explains.

Filed Under: durable goods, new home sales, DJIA, Dow, economic news
Category: Stocks


Dow Jones Industrial Average at 173? Not if... but Now!

by Nico Isaac
7/1/2009 4:45:00 PM
True or False: The “Real” Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied more than 30% from its March 2009 low, standing near its highest level in nearly six months. That depends on who you ask. According to the mainstream experts, the answer is clearly YES. For many in this camp, the Dow’s upsurge is the “slow and steady” start of a new, “healthier” bull market.
Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, Dow, real Dow, nominal Dow, bull market
Category: Stocks


Is the Bear Finally Set to "Beat It"?

by Nico Isaac
6/26/2009 4:30:00 PM
As the U.S. stock market continues its white-knuckle hold on a 20%-plus rally from early March, the mainstream experts are singing along to one song in particular: "We've Got Blue Skies" ahead in the world's leading economy. "2009 could be the year that we put the worst behind us," observes a recent Associated Press.
Filed Under: Stocks, Bear market, dow jones industrial average, DJIA, Dow
Category: Stocks


Stocks: Why Are Investors "Getting Worried" Only Now?
A fast look at the recent DJIA rally raises interesting questions.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/23/2009 1:45:00 PM

Since its June 12 top, the DJIA has lost close to 6 percent. Blame the economic data, say the mainstream financial analysts. But why would investors who disregarded "bad fundamentals" for more than three months suddenly be worried about them? It's a puzzling situation, but only until you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, global economy, DJIA, Dow, social mood, socionomics
Category: Stocks


Stocks: Is The Bad, Bearish Dream Finally Over?
Why the Dow without GM is still the Dow

by Nico Isaac
6/1/2009 4:00:00 PM

Contrary to popular belief (in fundamental analysis), there's no such thing as "bad" news or "good" news. There's only news. And in turn the media's constant after-the-fact interpretations of that news as good or bad, depending on the movement of the stock market.

Filed Under: U.S. stocks, General Motors, Dow, dow jones industrial average, GM
Category: Stocks


How Can Stocks Rally When the News Is So Bad?
Stocks LEAD changes in economy, politics and even culture.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2009 10:15:00 AM

"Why is the market running up like it is with such bad news, massive debt, increased unemployment, increased defaults on mortgages and credit cards, bad debt at the banks, major corporation going into bankruptcy... Where is the top?" -- That's a quote from an email we've recently received at EWI's Message Board. It's a good question -- and the answer may surprise you. 

 
Filed Under: chrysler, Dow, DJIA, ftse, Nikkei, eurofirst, dax, swine flu
Category: Stocks


Should You Sell In May and Go Away?
No reason to the rhyme

by Nico Isaac
5/4/2009 5:30:00 PM
The fifth month of the year is here. And, for many mainstream financial players, that means folding back the dog-eared pages of the "Traders Almanac" chapter titled, "Sell In May and Go Away." So, is it smart to follow this age-old Wall Street adage? Well, it may help to go back and see how the other, similar saws of wisdom have panned out over the last year:  
Filed Under: U.S. stocks, Dow, S&P 500, "Sell in may and go away", bull market
Category: Stocks


U.S. Stocks: Bear or Bull? Wrong Question to Be Asking

by Nico Isaac
4/20/2009 5:30:00 PM
On April 17, the U.S. stock indexes finished their sixth straight UP week in a row. Final tally: From its 12-year low on March 9, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had rocketed 24%, while the S&P 500 scored a 28% gain in the same period. The winning streak obviously led the better part of planet Earth to ask one single question: IS the final bottom in for stocks?
Filed Under: u.s. stock market, dow jones industrial average, S&P 500, Bear market, Dow
Category: Stocks


Dow Plunges Below 7,000: Oh, The Places You'll Go!
And, the chart that got there first

by Nico Isaac
3/2/2009 5:00:00 PM

Who knew the bear market would get so mean; WHO had this market's fate foreseen? Answer: he mainstream experts did NOT accurately anctipate the depth and degree of the bear market's decline. Instead, they saw every bounce off of a passing floor as the official "Bottom" of the Dow's downward slide.

Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, DJIA, Dow, Stocks, 7000
Category: Stocks


How To Survive AND Prosper During Deflation

by Nico Isaac
2/25/2009 10:15:00 AM
Over the last two years, the mainstream financial experts have fired more shots from their bear-market-fighting "bazookas" than Rambo. Yet through it all, the raging grizzly has absorbed every bailout blow and rate-cut bomb with unflinching ease, growing ever more powerful along the way. Fact is, the only way to survive and prosper during deflation is to stop FIGHTING the bear, and start befriending it....
Filed Under: deflation, Bear market, S&P 500, dow jones industrial average, Treasury bonds, Dow
Category: Economy


Dow At Six-Year Low: Wait Until You See This Chart…

by Nico Isaac
2/20/2009 5:00:00 PM
Dear reader, the second chart DOES show a forecast. It published exactly as is, in EWI's October 2007 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast (release date: September 27). What you see on the screen now is exactly what our subscribers saw then: A red-alert warning that stocks were coming to the end of their rapidly fraying bullish rope.
Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, six-year low, us stocks, Dow
Category: Economy


When Did The Bear Market REALLY Begin?
And… When Will It End?

by Nico Isaac
1/12/2009 4:00:00 PM
According to the mainstream financial media, money managers, investors, timers, scholars, historians, analysts, advisors, academics, economists, and just about everyone with their foot in the door on Wall Street ---- 2008 marked the start of the bear market. They're ALL wrong. In actuality, the bear market was born in January 2000...
Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, Dow, Bear market
Category: Stocks


Objective Analysis: The Ultimate "STOCK" ing Stuffer

by Nico Isaac
12/26/2008 11:30:00 AM

On December 23, the mainstream media offered these two stories back to back: "US Stocks Rise Ahead Of Housing Data" -- AND -- "Wall Street Falls On Housing Woes."     Any questions?

Filed Under: DJIA, Dow, Nasdaq, S&P 500, us stocks, housing data
Category: Stocks


The National Christmas Tree… Indicator?
Another Measure of Social Mood

by Alan Hall
12/22/2008 5:15:00 PM
The National Christmas Tree has a fascinating history, especially at Christmastime. Like the price of gold, the height of the Tree has actually been “regulated” at times. In December 2006 I wrote a tongue-in-cheek piece for EWI's Market Watch page, which explained the correlation between stock prices and the height and number of lights on the National Christmas Tree.
Filed Under: National Christmas Tree Indicator, elliott wave, social mood, Dow
Category: Cultural Trends


Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
Robert Prechter on CNBC
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How to Trade the Highest Probability Opportunities: Price Bars and Chart PatternsIn this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.

Download your copy today!


To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Do you know of any mutual funds that use Elliott wave analysis? 
> Inflationists: Is there a flaw in their reasoning? What is it? 
> If stocks lead economy, why won't rising stocks SAVE economy? 
> Obama: Can the President's approval ratings LEAD the stock market? 
> Social mood: If news and events don't change it, what does? 
> Silicon Valley and internet startups: How might they fare in this depression? 
> Prechter's new Theorist: What event can start the next crash in the Dow? 
> Come on, admit it: The Fed runs the show... doesn't it? 
> Can Elliott wave patterns be completed in overnight trading? 
> Tax rates: Higher or lower in the coming depression? 

Club EWI Members: Click Here

 
 
Press Room
IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.