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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/11/2010 10:15:00 AM
The financial news these days clearly shows that the world economy is on shaky ground. You'd think that because of that, the markets would be as jittery as some of the news anchors are. But they aren't. The DJIA, the world's benchmark stock index, has rallied since early February. And the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s VIX index (the "fear" index) also shows that the markets are not nervous. What does that tell us? Let's look at some historical evidence...
Filed Under:
volatility, vix, China's bubble, U.S. unemployment, interest rates, Sovereign Debt, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/11/2010 1:45:00 PM
We've all heard mainstream market commentators blame the recent DJIA declines on concerns with Greece's sovereign debts. But does that really explain the Dow's weakness? Let's looks at some evidence together.
Filed Under:
Greece default, sovereign debts, pigs, portugal, italy, Greece, Spain, Robert Prechter, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/8/2010 4:15:00 PM
Last Friday (February 5) was yet another interesting day to compare the stock market action with the explanations from conventional analysts. (This show never gets old, I swear.) Around midday, the Dow was down almost 170 points; everything pointed to another grim day. But then the blue chips reversed and closed higher. Don't look for a good "fundamental" explanation: There was none.
Filed Under:
volatility, vix, DJIA, Unemployment rate, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, u.s. dollar
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/1/2010 4:15:00 PM
Last Friday (January 29) was a great day to watch the stock market and compare the price action against the explanations from analysts. Throughout the day, investors and analysts simply focused on the news stories that best fit that hour in the market... This seems like a flawed approach, and here's why.
Filed Under:
GDP, Bernanke, DJIA, technology earnings, u.s. dollar, random walk
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
1/29/2010 4:15:00 PM
Most fairytales have a catch word or phrase that, when repeated, makes all the danger and pain magically -- "poof!" -- disappear into thin air: "Rumpelstiltskin," "Beetlejuice," "There's no place like home, there's no place like home." Today, the mainstream financial world lives in a fantasy where such a word exists, too; that word is "different."
Filed Under:
us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, DJIA, bob prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/7/2010 3:00:00 PM
Of the many forward looking market indicators we at EWI employ, one of the most interesting tools (and least discussed in the financial media) is the DJIA priced in gold. We've been tracking the Dow/Gold ratio for years and it has serves our subscribers well. Here's a good example.
Filed Under:
Dow, DJIA, Gold, u.s. dollars, real Dow, prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
11/25/2009 3:15:00 PM
For those of us living in North America, tomorrow (November 26) is Thanksgiving Day. For many the day includes the time-honored tradition of going around the dinner table and asking each guest one simple question: "What are you grateful for?" Well, for those "feasting" at the mainstream financial table, the answer to that question is three-fold, starting with:
Filed Under:
U.S. economy, financial crisis, banking sectory, recovery, bob prechter, DJIA
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/20/2009 5:15:00 PM
When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied above 10,000 in mid-October, it understandably got a lot of attention from Wall Street and Main Street. But the time to get excited about this rally was back in March. Investors who waited until the economy improved enough to give them confidence to buy stocks again did so just as the rally slowed to a virtual halt.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, DJIA, s&p, bull market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM
It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...
Filed Under:
earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/23/2009 6:15:00 PM
What an interesting day of trading we saw in stocks on Wednesday (Sept. 23.) On the same day, we had: 1. A single event -- the Fed's interest rate announcement; 2. The stock market's bullish -- and -- bearish "reaction" to it, and 3. Several news stories explaining why stocks rallied -- and -- declined after the event. One question remains: Where will stocks go from here?
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, Fed, interest rates, DJIA, s&p, dollar, Gold
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/1/2009 2:15:00 PM
Regular readers of elliottwave.com know that at EWI, we constantly say this: One of the biggest mistakes that analysts and investors make is to use the news to predict stock market trends. News predicts nothing beyond the span of maybe a few minutes. Here's a fresh example...
Filed Under:
ISM Manufacturing Index, Pending Home Sales index, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/27/2009 10:00:00 AM
Imagine you don't know anything about the stock market. Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study collective human behavior. Your task: the stock market. Millions of humans participate in it. Anything we can learn by watching them invest their money into a collective pot? YES, lots, as this fictional account of human-alien interaction explains.
Filed Under:
durable goods, new home sales, DJIA, Dow, economic news
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
6/26/2009 4:30:00 PM
As the U.S. stock market continues its white-knuckle hold on a 20%-plus rally from early March, the mainstream experts are singing along to one song in particular: "We've Got Blue Skies" ahead in the world's leading economy. "2009 could be the year that we put the worst behind us," observes a recent Associated Press.
Filed Under:
Stocks, Bear market, dow jones industrial average, DJIA, Dow
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/23/2009 1:45:00 PM
Since its June 12 top, the DJIA has lost close to 6 percent. Blame the economic data, say the mainstream financial analysts. But why would investors who disregarded "bad fundamentals" for more than three months suddenly be worried about them? It's a puzzling situation, but only until you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, global economy, DJIA, Dow, social mood, socionomics
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
6/12/2009 5:30:00 PM
After two years of suffering through what has aptly been called "financial hell," many in the mainstream say the torture is finally over. According to them, the fire & brimstone is about to become fortune & boom. Well, in a special "Double" (text + video) issue of the brand-new June 2009 Elliott Wave Theorist, Bob Prechter recognizes a "swift return of all the old beliefs" in a new bull market. His next step is to reveal whether those beliefs are based in fact or fantasy.
Filed Under:
U.S. economy, bull market, new bull market, the Fed, DJIA, Gold, Precious metals, bob prechter
Category:
Economy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2009 1:15:00 PM
Crude oil is trading above $70 again. When oil starts to make big moves, hardly a day goes by without someone saying something like “crude up -- stocks down,” or vice versa. Take a look at these charts, though, before you agree with this mainstream opinion.
Filed Under:
Crude oil, DJIA, dax
Category:
Energy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/12/2009 4:30:00 PM
The action in stocks around the world over the past two months has raised a skeptical eyebrow for some investors, yet for others it has reignited the hopes of a new bull market. How do you know which group is right? Knowing "wave personalities" can help you answer this question.
Filed Under:
DJIA, ftse, dax, Nikkei, sucker rally, wave personality
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/5/2009 10:15:00 AM
"Why is the market running up like it is with such bad news, massive debt, increased unemployment, increased defaults on mortgages and credit cards, bad debt at the banks, major corporation going into bankruptcy... Where is the top?" -- That's a quote from an email we've recently received at EWI's Message Board. It's a good question -- and the answer may surprise you.
Filed Under:
chrysler, Dow, DJIA, ftse, Nikkei, eurofirst, dax, swine flu
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/2/2009 5:30:00 PM
It's safe to say that there's a persistent belief among most investors that trends in one market will affect trends in another. We often get sked, "When U.S. stock rally, the U.S. dollar falls, and vice versa -- right?" Take a look at this chart and see the answer for yourself.
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, DJIA, forex, Currencies
Category:
Currencies
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/26/2009 1:15:00 PM
They say that markets “fluctuate.” But despite what most investors believe, those fluctuations are not random – they are patterned. That’s the main idea behind Elliott wave analysis. You may ask, what proof do we have that the markets really move like this? Well, take a look at this hard-to-miss example...
Filed Under:
DJIA, bear market trap, Stocks
Category:
Stocks
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The Mania Chronicles
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 With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist. |
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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