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by
Nico Isaac
11/6/2009 7:15:00 PM
Almost everywhere I look in the mainstream financial media, I see story after story celebrating the end of the worst U.S. recession since the 1930's AND start of an all-out recovery to a brighter, smarter-for-the-pain bull market. "The grimmest days are now behind us," begins a November 5 BBC report. "All that talk of a return to the thirties now seems fanciful."
Filed Under:
us economy, GDP, recovery, unemployment, finance, credit crisis
Category:
Economy 
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by
Susan C. Walker
11/6/2009 3:30:00 PM
As bad as that unemployment level is now, the upcoming bear market and accompanying deflationary depression will make it worse, says Bob Prechter. Here's why.
Filed Under:
unemployment, deflation, conquer the crash
Category:
Classic Prechter
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Real Estate’s Latest Chapter
The problems of the commercial real estate market are too large to ignore.
by
Jason Farkas
11/5/2009 3:45:00 PM
Large commercial buildings are illiquid. This is especially true during an economic contraction and credit crunch. Although roughly half the size of the residential housing market, the commercial real estate market is still twice the size of the total U.S. stock market, so its problems are too large to ignore. They include...
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, conquer the crash, comercial real estate, reit, liquidity, leverage
Category:
Real Estate
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by
Nico Isaac
11/5/2009 1:30:00 PM
Today, November 5, I'm sitting down with EWI's chief commodity analyst and Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy to discuss why good things often come in slow-moving packages; namely, the contracting triangle pattern.
Filed Under:
Commodities, contracting triangle, Commodity, elliott wave
Category:
Commodities
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EUR/USD (Forex): How to Forecast Market Moves Before They Occur
Not every Elliott wave forecast works out. But the method's objectivity still trumps most discussions about "market fundamentals."
by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2009 7:15:00 PM
News stories move the markets -- that's what just about every investor believes. But can you predict what the market will do before the news is released? Let's look at a fresh example: the actio in the EUR/USD on November 4, when the Federal Reserve Bank announced its latest decision on the U.S. interest rates.
Filed Under:
Currencies, forex, eur/usd, Federal Reserve, interest rates, u.s. dollar
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
11/3/2009 3:15:00 PM
This Halloween, one grisly (or, grizzly) creature went door-to-door down Dalal Street, scaring the sweet gains out of every financial market that came in its path -- a giant, raging Bear. Check it: In the last five days of October 2009, India’s Sensex suffered its longest losing streak in 11 months. The massive selloff then culminated in the November 3 event widely known as the Bombay "Bloodbath.”
Filed Under:
India's stock market, Sensex Index, Nifty Index, Bombay
Category:
Asian Markets
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No Slave To Fashion
It's the lack of monetary enforcement that will likely save Europe from overspending.
by
Bill Fox, Senior Bonds Analyst
11/3/2009 1:00:00 PM
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet has proven throughout this financial crisis that he is his own man when it comes to navigating the euro-land banking system through the deflation and debt deleveraging storm. And will likely save Europe from overspending.
Filed Under:
interest rates, Bernanke, Trichet, deflation, monetary policy, quantitative easing, bailouts
Category:
European Markets
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by
Nico Isaac
11/2/2009 4:30:00 PM
It's official. Red Metal Fever is back as copper prices skyrocket to their highest level in over a year. And, as far as the mainstream experts can see, the frenzy surrounding copper amounts to a picture of bullish health. Here, these recent news items speak up:
Filed Under:
Copper, metals, bull market, copper bull
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Jeff Reckseit
11/2/2009 4:15:00 PM
Large banks and more recently pension funds have suddenly become infatuated with gold. They chant the mantras that gold bugs have known for years: gold is a store of value; owning gold is financial insurance; an ounce of gold will always buy a good suit. The idea is that if the economy continues to weaken and share prices decline, a strategic allocation of the precious metal will hedge and offset some of the losses in the financial sector.
Filed Under:
Banks, pension funds, Gold, Currencies, oil, Grains, Meats, softs, collectible cars, dollar rally
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Robert Folsom
10/30/2009 5:15:00 PM
The two-part truth about this rally is an easy story to tell. It's literally a few lines and notations on a price chart. Perhaps you'll notice that the decline which began in 2007, and in turn the recent rally, are both on a similarly large scale...
Filed Under:
Category:
Stocks
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by
Susan C. Walker
10/30/2009 2:00:00 PM
The second edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash includes 188 new pages of real-time commentary on markets and the mounting prospects for deflation -- rather than inflation -- to become the true threat to the U.S. economy. It includes the entire original edition, word for word, which is as relevant as the day it first published.
Filed Under:
recession, deflation, crash
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Nico Isaac
10/29/2009 4:30:00 PM
In just over a week, coffee prices have gone from a fresh high to a three-week low. As for why -- that depends on who you ask. According to the mainstream experts, two main factors are behind coffee's shift from hot to cold: A strengthening greenback AND a bearish supply report...
Filed Under:
Commodities, coffee, sugar, soybeans
Category:
Commodities
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Bears in Hibernation
Fundamental analysis has a poor track record of predicting downturns.
by
Jason Farkas
10/29/2009 1:15:00 PM
People continue to desert the bearish camp -- even some who correctly forecasted the 2008 collapse. The less than resolute bears are now taking up residence with a cadre of “professionals” whose track record is poor -- fundamental analysts. Fundamental analysts have a poor track record of predicting downturns (though it’s probably not a surprise to those reading this). Here are two good examples...
Filed Under:
earnings, recession, fundamentals
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
10/28/2009 5:30:00 PM
There are some jobs out there where having a split-personality would seem to actually improve your work performance. What got me thinking about that was the recent Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde-like collage of news headlines regarding the presumed relationship between crude oil and equities.
Filed Under:
Energy, Crude oil, crude, oil
Category:
Energy
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/27/2009 3:00:00 PM
Early on October 26, the exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro (and the most widely-traded forex pair) began an out-of-the-blue slide from near $1.50. If the dollar's dramatic show of strength in the midst of all the doomsday scenarios surprised you, you're not alone. Anyone looking at the Monday morning forex headlines was likely caught off guard. What's behind the dollar rally?
Filed Under:
u.s. dollar, Currencies, forex, eur/usd, euro, china, foreign exchange reserves
Category:
Currencies
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by
Nico Isaac
10/27/2009 1:15:00 PM
Financial markets are not one-way streets. Prices do not move north or south in a single direction. Quite the opposite: they have more switchbacks than a Swiss alp. The trick is in knowing when to make abrupt turns BEFORE they arise. Case in point: the mid-October selloff in sugar....
Filed Under:
Commodities, sugar, sugar futures
Category:
Commodities
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by
Jeff Reckseit
10/26/2009 4:45:00 PM
Are you weary of sorting through all the “good news – bad news” dialogue? The financial media would have you believe that everything is coming up roses.
Filed Under:
green shoots, housing market, credit crisis, unemployment, foreclosures, bank failures
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Nico Isaac
10/26/2009 3:30:00 PM
According to the usual experts, Gold is officially the eighth wonder of the world, with prices containing more upside potential than a World Series fly ball. One look at this riveting close-up of gold prices versus the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar since 1913 will put all of your answers to rest...
Filed Under:
Precious metals, Gold, gold bull, gold bug, bob prechter
Category:
Precious Metals
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by
Susan C. Walker
10/23/2009 4:15:00 PM
Bob Prechter is issuing a second edition of Conquer the Crash with 188 new pages of real-time commentary on markets and the mounting prospects for deflation -- rather than inflation -- to become the true threat to the U.S. economy. In the first edition, he described dozens of today’s financial and economic troubles. He not only explained why they would happen but also advised readers how to protect themselves from a deflationary depression. Many of the events forecast in the book still lie ahead.
Filed Under:
conquer the crash, deflation, bailouts, derivatives, Fannie Mae, Banks, rating services, tax receipts
Category:
Classic Prechter
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by
Nico Isaac
10/23/2009 3:45:00 PM
In case your name happens to be "Gilligan" (first mate of the marooned S.S. Minnow), allow me to break the news to you: According to the mainstream financial experts, the U.S. banking sector has officially been rescued from worst credit crisis since the Great Depression. If this sounds familiar, there's good reason...
Filed Under:
banking sector, Philadelphia Banking Index, KBW Index, credit crisis
Category:
Economy
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Watch Bob Prechter's interview on CNBC Wednesday, Nov. 4. Bob discusses the current juncture, Conquer the Crash II and more.
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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