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(Video, 3:42 min.) Public Pensions: No Longer Untouchable
The financial future looks uncertain for many retired government workers

By Bob Stokes
2/27/2015 3:30:00 PM

Many retirees could receive a smaller payout from their pension plans than they expect. Once considered out of the question, pension plan cuts are now on the table. One governor has just proposed a freeze on his state's pension plan.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, pension funds, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: U.S. Economy 


Why Expectations for Future Global Business Activity are Plunging
Enjoy an excerpt from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition," a comprehensive report by Elliott Wave International

By Editorial Staff
2/27/2015 10:30:00 AM

Investors continue to display excessive optimism toward stocks, while economic fundamentals only continue to deteriorate. What should you make of that? Here's what we think.

Filed Under: european markets, European Union (EU)

Category: European Markets 


(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks: It's All Been Done Before
"...the ‘plumber and barber sentiment index‘ is near an all-time high"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2015 2:15:00 PM

There's a lot of bullishness out there. And, "When nearly all investors are bullish, they tend to view the stance as conservative, because, after all, everyone is doing it. This is even true for professional investors..." We're not the only ones noticing this uber-optimism.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, investment decisions, investment strategy, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: Stocks 


"Audit the Fed"? We've Already Done That (Well, Kind of)
Our conclusion: The Fed is not in control of the economy -- here's why

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2015 6:30:00 AM

The controversial "Audit the Fed" bill is soon before Congress. But, we at EWI have long since conducted our own "audit" of the Fed -- and the results might shock you.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, central banks, charts, Club EWI, commodities, Conquer the Crash, credit crisis, crude oil, debt, debt crisis, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, Elliott Wave Theorist, great depression, gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, Interest Rates, market myths, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter

Category: U.S. Economy 


(Video, 3:06 min.) Does the Federal Reserve Drive the Stock Market Trend?
A closer look at assumptions about interest rates and the market

By Bob Stokes
2/25/2015 3:45:00 PM

Millions of investors analyze the Fed's every word. But do central banks control financial markets? It's time to take a close look at the data.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: Classic Prechter 


(Interview, 5:08 min.) The Markets Are Bigger Than Central Banks (Part 2)
Elliott Wave International's Chief Market Analyst explains that it's not the cost of credit, it's the quantity of credit

By Editorial Staff
2/25/2015 11:45:00 AM

In part two (of three) from EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg's recent interview, Hochberg explains why the Fed and ECB don't really control the markets.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, deflation, interview, steve hochberg

Category: U.S. Economy 


(Video, 2:58 min.) Does Nasdaq 5000 Make Sense This Time?
A portfolio manager on the Internet bubble then vs. now

By Bob Stokes
2/24/2015 3:00:00 PM

After 15 years, the Nasdaq has returned to the lofty level of the Internet bubble days. One money manager says the tech-heavy index now sports stronger fundamentals vs. March 2000. But will stellar earnings send the Nasdaq higher?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, Nasdaq Composite, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: Stocks 


Q&A: Stocks and Shootings – Is There a Connection?
There is a new understanding of why the stock market affects health

By Editorial Staff
2/23/2015 11:45:00 AM

In this interview with the Socionomics Foundation’s Alexandra Lienhard, Dr. Agarwal discusses his recent paper on the fascinating link between trends in the stock market and firearms-related hospitalizations.

Filed Under: social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics 


(Video, 3:50 min.) Another Looming Subprime Loan Crisis?
A new crop of nonbank lenders enter the subprime marketplace

By Bob Stokes
2/20/2015 4:15:00 PM

Subprime loans have reached the highest level since the start of the financial crisis. A new crop of nonbank lenders has entered the subprime marketplace. We've seen this movie before and it doesn't end well.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, subprime lending, video

Category: U.S. Economy 


(Interview, 2:49 min.) The "Good Deflation" Myth (Part 1)
Elliott Wave International's Steve Hochberg answers the one key question about deflation

By Editorial Staff
2/20/2015 3:45:00 PM

In this first (of three) clip from a recent interview, EWI's Chief Market Analyst, Steve Hochberg gives you our take on talk about the stock market and recent volatility.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, inflation, interview, steve hochberg, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: U.S. Economy 


(Video, 4:15 min.) In Europe, a Bizarre New World of Negative Bond Yields
Why we believe this "unprecedented" scenario has a very real precedent: Japan

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2015 3:45:00 PM

Negative bond yields have arrived in Europe! "Investors are paying for the privilege of lending to the most trusted borrowers." There is "no precedent," say the experts. Only there IS a precedent, and a big one.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, charts, consumer price index, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates

Category: European Markets 


How Is a "Bear-Market House" Different from a "Bull-Market House"?
The biggest mistake made by architects and economists alike is extrapolating recent trends into the future

By Alan Hall
2/20/2015 3:30:00 PM

What does a "bull-market house" look like? Here's a clue: It looks like a bull-market car. Socionomic research shows that during periods of rising social mood -- i.e., during a bull market in stocks -- automobile frames are boxier. That's not all...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Education, history, , home sales, housing prices, social mood, The Socionomist

Category: Socionomics 


Socionomics: Now Trending
The 5th Annual Social Mood Conference puts you face-to-face with the world's premier social mood thinkers and practitioners.

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2015 9:15:00 AM

In 2013-2014, a Google News search for "socionomics" yielded more and more results linking to medical journals, public radio, and major financial publications. Socionomic breakthroughs are earning their place in the press and in the social and economic sciences.

Filed Under: social mood, socionomics

Category: Socionomics 


(Interview, 4:12 min.) Swiss National Bank Didn't "Choose" Anything -- Market Chose for Them
Elliott Wave International's European Financial Forecast editor explains why the SNB cried uncle

By Editorial Staff
2/19/2015 3:45:00 PM

Here, EWI's European analyst, Brian Whitmer, tells you why the Swiss National Bank really decided to unpeg the Swiss franc from the euro -- and offers his take on when the "domino effect" from the decision will end.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, interview, Swiss franc

Category: European Markets 


(Video, 3:12 min.) Why Cash Ain't Trash, And Other Suddenly Popular Ideas
Radical notions like "cash is king" are suddenly starting to resonate with the mainstream

By Nico Isaac
2/19/2015 1:45:00 PM

Driving in my car the other day, I heard an ad on the radio that, I thought, did a good job of summarizing the state of our economy "on the ground," so to speak, where the real, everyday people are trying to make it work. It went like this...

Filed Under: cash, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, safe haven, U.S. dollar, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: Stocks 


Autos Subprimed for a Fall
A big clue to this potential is the source of much of the industry's recent sales surge: debt.

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
2/19/2015 12:45:00 PM

With gas prices tumbling and car sales surging in December, analysts expect total vehicle sales to rise to 17 million units in 2015, close to the 17.3 million record in 2000. But here's a closer look.

Filed Under: economic indicators

Category: U.S. Economy 


Why the Workforce Still Shrinks as Job Growth Rises
The answer, we think, is the emerging force of deflation. Here's why.

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
2/19/2015 12:45:00 PM

Why is the U.S. Labor Force Participation Rate falling when job growth is rising? Notice that the peak participation rate of 67.3% came in January-March 2000, as the major stock indexes topped, after which inflation first began to falter. When stocks rallied to their 2007 top...

Filed Under: deflation, economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, inflation, steve hochberg, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: U.S. Economy 


(Interview, 4:03 min.) "Market's Job Is to Inflict Pain on Most People"
Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist tells you what to expect in forex

By Editorial Staff
2/18/2015 4:45:00 PM

Jim Martens, editor of our Currency Pro Service, tells you what to expect for currency pairs like USDJPY, USDCAD and more.

Filed Under: currency, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, interview, usd/jpy

Category: Currencies 


(Video, 3:17 mins.) What an Unhealthy Market Looks Like
Fractures open in the stock market

By Bob Stokes
2/18/2015 4:00:00 PM

In a healthy bull market, most sectors participate in the trend. When key sectors turn down even as the broad market rises, the uptrend is at risk. Investors would do well to pay attention to such a splinter.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video

Category: Stocks 


Euro Bulls May Soon Have Their Day in the Sun
Our "Pro Service Outlook 2015" FREE video event introduces you to the near- and long-term forecast for the world's most popular FOREX markets -- and so much more

By Nico Isaac
2/18/2015 9:00:00 AM

As the euro clings to a fresh, 11-year low, we'd like to invite you to take an objective step back and evaluate how the euro got here in the first place...

Filed Under: central banks, Club EWI, crude oil, currency, diagonal, Elliott wave, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Gold, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies 


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© 2015 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.