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(Video) 4% GDP Growth -- And "The Age-Old Story of Easy Credit"
Subprime lending is ba-ack!

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2014 4:30:00 PM

"The age-old story of easy credit" is in the middle of another chapter. Once again, lenders and borrowers believe that the future is bright enough for the easy money to be paid back. You may ask, what’s wrong with such optimism?

Filed Under: credit crisis, credit rating, debt, debt crisis, Elliott wave, subprime lending, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) When Do “Wealth Disparity” Alarms Ring the Loudest?
As the “wealth gap” debates rage, new study shows a big slide in the net worth of a typical U.S. household

By Bob Stokes
7/28/2014 2:45:00 PM

A new study shows that the net worth of the typical U.S. household has taken a big slide -- while the rich have grown richer. But did you know that wealth disparity alarms often coincide with major financial tops? Consider 1929, 2000 and 2007. 

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) U.S. Deflation is Only a Few Time Zones Away
A Look at Deflation in Europe

By Bob Stokes
7/24/2014 3:45:00 PM

The financial media rarely talks about deflation. But, if history is set to repeat, the word will eventually dominate conversations. See a chart that should concern everyone in the U.S.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Bank of England, central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Today's Housing Price Trend is "Strikingly Similar" to the 1920s
Beware the rebound in U.S. home prices

By Bob Stokes
7/23/2014 3:45:00 PM

In the housing sector, yesterday's buyer's market has morphed into today's seller's market. Beware of the partial recovery in housing prices. Today's real estate trend is "strikingly similar" to the 1920s.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, foreclosures, home sales, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Why the Fed's Inflationary Policy Has Proven Impotent
Money velocity slows sharply

By Bob Stokes
7/16/2014 3:30:00 PM

Central banks control monetary policy but they cannot drive investor psychology. That's why the economy continues to struggle after five-plus years of unprecedented stimulus. The deflationary psychology to come will have historically dire consequences.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Query the Financial Past to Glimpse the Economic Future
Why the glowing jobs report was no surprise

By Bob Stokes
7/7/2014 4:00:00 PM

Market bulls are raving about the better-than-expected jobless figure. They see market prices headed higher -- much higher. Learn why they have "cause and effect" backwards. 

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Elusive Recovery for Big Retail: Will Your Favorite Store Soon Close?
Fewer customers shop at the world's largest retailer

By Bob Stokes
6/30/2014 2:45:00 PM

Revenue and customer traffic are down at the nation's largest retailer. Other big-name retailers are closing stores. All the while, the stock market may have been forming a unique long-term pattern.

Filed Under: consumer spending, economic indicators, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Is That Deflation Knocking on the Door?
The U.S. economy contracts way more than "expected"

By Bob Stokes
6/25/2014 4:30:00 PM

Financial optimism remains elevated even as the U.S. economy suffers its worst contraction since 2009. Now, EWI sees evidence that an even bigger economic shift is afoot.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, economic indicators, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Part II: The Fed, GDP & Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/19/2014 10:30:00 AM

Another eye-opening clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, debt downgrade, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, steve hochberg, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Part I: The Fed, GDP & U.S. Economy: What’s Elliott Wave International’s View?
Why the Fed has not been the answer

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/16/2014 10:45:00 PM

What follows is a 3-minute clip from a new, 55-minute, in-depth workshop EWI's Chief Market Analyst Steve Hochberg delivered at the Las Vegas MoneyShow in May. Watch.

Filed Under: debt, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, gross domestic product (GDP), market forecasts, recession, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) A Sobering Forecast for the Jobless
Unemployment figures may soon soar

By Bob Stokes
6/16/2014 2:15:00 PM

A tough job market and the burden of student loan debt leave many young adults with little choice but to live at home. Also, 1 in 8 U.S. men in their prime working years are without a job. Learn what EWI sees ahead for the jobless rate.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, unemployment, video, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy


First Look: A Coming Credit Crisis Even More Extreme than that of 2007-2009
From the June 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
6/6/2014 3:00:00 PM

The Dow Jones Industrial Average stretched higher into early June on decreasing volume, low volatility and sky-high advisory optimism. These are the conditions that attend market peaks. Over-the-top optimism is ...

Filed Under: credit crisis, financial forecast, First look, inside look, Peter Kendall, steve hochberg

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Subprime Car Loans Soar Ten Fold: A Huge Turn Ahead?
A wave of car loan defaults may be just ahead

By Bob Stokes
6/5/2014 4:00:00 PM

Subprime car loans have soared 10X since 2008-2009. Is a crash dead ahead?

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt crisis, Elliott wave, subprime lending, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) The Final Straw for the U.S. Economy
The stock market leads the economy

By Bob Stokes
5/30/2014 4:00:00 PM

The government just reported that the nation's gross domestic product contracted by 1.0% in Q1 of 2014. Learn what may send the U.S. economy over the edge.

Filed Under: economic depression, economic indicators, Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, recession, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) U.S. Economy and Price of Copper: A Surprising Connection
Price of copper – yep, stuff pennies are made from – and broad economy are closely linked

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/29/2014 5:15:00 PM

"US Economy Shrank at 1 Percent Rate in Q1." In light of this news, it’s worth watching this clip from the presentation by Bob Prechter, EWI president, at the 2013 New Orleans Investment Conference.

 

Filed Under: commodities, copper futures, gross domestic product (GDP), QE2, quantitative easing, Robert Prechter, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Inside Look: When the Rich Get Ravaged
From the April 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
5/20/2014 3:45:00 PM

In November 1999, the percentage of total wealth held by the richest 1% of U.S. households was approaching the all-time record established in 1929. This chart from University of California Berkeley...

Filed Under: financial forecast, inside look, Peter Kendall, steve hochberg

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Why People Love the Fed (It’s Not Why You Think)
"If you know what the Fed is doing, you cannot predict what the stock market is doing. But..."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2014 5:30:00 PM

"Fed chairmen and governors are geniuses at the tops and idiots at the lows, whatever their actions. This chart illustrates my point." -- Robert Prechter.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Nasdaq Composite, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


Inside Look: Social Mood Turning On Technology
From the May 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
5/13/2014 1:30:00 PM

Given the fever for technology stocks up to the March 6 NASDAQ high, it is worth paying attention to a sudden emergence of “anti-tech sentiment” in various technology hotspots such as Silicon Valley, Seattle and San Francisco.

Filed Under: financial forecast, inside look, Peter Kendall, Silicon Valley, steve hochberg, technology

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) Why the Idea That “Confidence Supports Growth” Is Wrong
If "feedback loops" between stocks and economy existed, both bull markets and bear markets would last forever

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/12/2014 5:15:00 PM

Former U.S. Treasury secretary Timothy Geithner has a new book out. As I was watching his interview on CNBC Monday morning, I was struck by something Mr. Geithner said when asked where the market was going...

Filed Under: U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video) This Could Be the No. 1 Indicator of an Unhealthy Economy
Janet Yellen faces major economic headwinds

By Bob Stokes
5/7/2014 4:15:00 PM

A new paper highlights the single best indicator of an incomplete economic recovery. You may be surprised.

Filed Under: economic indicators, home sales, housing prices, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


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