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(Video, 3:12 mins.) Is Another "Mortgage Meltdown" on the Way?
Federal mortgage agencies cajole private lenders to lower credit standards

By Bob Stokes
1/30/2015 3:15:00 PM

Very few observers expect a repeat of the subprime mortgage crisis. But the former chief credit officer of Fannie Mae is sounding the alarm. We have a forecast of our own.


Filed Under: bloomberg, Elliott wave, housing prices

Category: U.S. Economy

Copper Hasn't Lost its Diagnostic Touch
Contrary to popular belief, the red metal's 45% sell-off since 2011 does match overall economic health

By Nico Isaac
1/21/2015 6:30:00 AM

Question: How does a crashing copper market fit into the mainstream's story of soaring economic growth and recovery? Answer: It doesn't...

Filed Under: Bear market, Bob Prechter, charts, commodities, copper futures, CRB index, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, Gold, housing prices, precious metals, silver, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:04 mins.) Debt and Deflation: Three Financial Forecasts
There's more to deflation than falling prices

By Bob Stokes
1/20/2015 3:30:00 PM

Falling prices are an effect of deflation. Learn what deflation really means and why you should prepare for it now.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:36 min.) A Current Look at a Classic Bubble Behavior
Luxury is a late-stage bull market accessory that goes back centuries.

By Bob Stokes
1/9/2015 4:00:00 PM

Financial manias have always been accompanied by extravagant spending. During the Tulip Mania investors splurged on carriages. Today, it's Rolls Royces. What will 2015 bring?

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Elliott wave, mania, South Sea Bubble

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:23 min.) A Looming Debt Implosion in U.S. Student Loans
What you need to know about "The Hidden Student-Debt Bomb"

By Bob Stokes
12/31/2014 2:45:00 PM

More than half of all student loan borrowers are behind in their payments. Some student loans may never be paid back. Guess who will probably foot the bill? Prepare now for a debt implosion in U.S. student loans.

Filed Under: debt, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

Why the "Gift Card" of Stimulus Has Gone Unredeemed
A deflationary mindset at work

By Nico Isaac
12/26/2014 11:15:00 AM

What do Holiday gift cards have to do with the Fed's $4 trillion-plus quantitative easing program? Answer: they both go unredeemed, despite being cash in hand to spend at will.

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Bob Prechter, cash, central banks, charts, Conquer the Crash, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, financial forecast, inflation, investor psychology, quantitative easing, social mood, stimulus package, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:34 min.) How to Give Financial Peace of Mind
Learn about the two safest banks near you

By Bob Stokes
12/18/2014 3:30:00 PM

Big banks are not fortresses of financial safety. The 2007-2009 crisis proved how vulnerable they are. Now, six years later, U.S. regulators are still taking steps to make them safer. We suggest an alternative.

Filed Under: banks, Conquer the Crash, Elliott wave, personal finance, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:04 min.) The Federal Reserve's Inflation Gauge: Falling to 2008 Levels
Be among the few who are ready for deflation

By Bob Stokes
12/12/2014 4:00:00 PM

Few people see deflation as a threat. But deflation is grabbing global headlines. Learn what you need to know now about this potentially devastating trend.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Conquer the Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

(Interview, 1:41 min.) What Is the Financial Press Overlooking?
A quick market insight for today's investors

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/8/2014 1:45:00 PM

As our new, December Financial Forecast was going to press on Dec. 5, we had a quick opportunity to ask Steve Hochberg, the Financial Forecast co-editor, a couple of important questions. Watch.

Filed Under: deflation, housing prices, inflation, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:33 min.) Deflation: Why We're Sticking with Our Forecast
Twelve years ago, Conquer the Crash was almost alone in warning about deflation

By Bob Stokes
12/5/2014 3:45:00 PM

Mounting evidence points to a tectonic shift toward economic conservatism. Even so, many experts remain dismissive of the possibility of deflation. Learn when we believe that "deflation will go viral."

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, consumer confidence, consumer price index, consumer spending, deflation, Elliott wave, video, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 4:00 min.) Can the Government "Guarantee" Your Financial Safety?
Agency that insures pension plans is "deeply insolvent"

By Bob Stokes
12/4/2014 4:00:00 PM

Millions of people are counting on their pensions for their retirement plans. But scores of public pension plans are in shambles. More than that, the U.S. government agency that insures many private pension plans is flat broke. Learn about another federal “guarantee” that may sorely disappoint.


Filed Under: banks, Elliott wave, pension funds, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 4:02 min.) Colossal Debt Levels Scream Deflationary Depression
Today's Mt. Everest of debt is unsustainable

By Bob Stokes
11/26/2014 2:30:00 PM

Today's dollar-denominated debt stands at $59 trillion. This is more than a mere statistic. See a chart that shows what happened the last time a credit boom turned excessive.

Filed Under: debt, deflation, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:27 min.) Central Bankers Fear Deflation: Should You Worry Too?
Discover what you need to know to protect yourself from deflation

By Bob Stokes
11/20/2014 3:30:00 PM

Why have massive inflation efforts by global central banks been largely ineffective? The big picture points to a rare economic trend that even governments cannot stop. Learn what you need to know about what The Economist says "is all too close and extremely dangerous."

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 4:17 min.) You Can Lead a Horse to Water, But You Can't Make Him... Borrow
Today's trend towards deflation is not a monetary problem, but a psychological one

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/18/2014 5:00:00 PM

Do you know what the Bank of Japan, the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have in common? Yes, they are three of the world's biggest central banks. But the other thing that unites them is a common problem.

Filed Under: Bank of Japan, central banks, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, european central bank, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:56 min.) The Wealth Gap Problem, and How It Will Probably Be "Solved"
The richest 0.1% in the U.S. are about to overtake the bottom 90%

By Bob Stokes
11/14/2014 3:15:00 PM

Epic wide wealth disparity in the U.S. has struck a nerve. Now, a new paper provides even more insight into the topic. Think 1929.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic indicators, Elliott wave, Video - Featured, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy

Is the U.S. Economy Headed for the "Good" Kind of Deflation?
A brand-new FREE report addresses all three arguments in favor of a "benign" deflationary scenario

By Nico Isaac
11/12/2014 3:00:00 PM

In case you haven't heard, "good deflation" will actually benefit the U.S. economy. The pro-deflation defense comes down to THREE main arguments... 

Filed Under: charts, Chinese markets, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, financial forecast, inflation, inside look, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:12 min.) How to Beat the Global Slowdown Blues
This asset GROWS in value in a deflationary depression

By Bob Stokes
11/6/2014 3:15:00 PM

Governments will be powerless to stop the big economic trend that is underway. One way to beat deflation is by holding cash. You can also learn about a new investment for safety-minded investors.

Filed Under: central banks, Chinese markets, Elliott wave, eurozone, Indian markets, Japanese yen, Nikkei, Treasury bills (T-bills), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:40 min.) Most Expensive Condo Flip in History: A View from the Financial "Top"?
Billionaire hedge fund manager sees the $90 million flip as "fun"

By Bob Stokes
11/5/2014 4:00:00 PM

Property "flipping" was a big craze just before the real estate bubble burst in 2006. Now it's back. Even a hedge fund billionaire hopes that another buyer will pay more. Is the psychology of another financial top at work?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, mania, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:30 min.) U.S. vs. Europe: Who Is Leading Whom?
The answer is debatable, but the way policymakers have tried to end the crisis amounts to a spotty record

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

"Here’s one widely held view: 'Europe is running about two to three years behind the US, mostly due to the US being about two to three years ahead of the eurozone in terms of monetary stimulus.' However..."

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, europe, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:10 min.) Will 3% Down Protect the Housing Market?
Former head of Bear Stearns warns about another credit bubble

By Bob Stokes
10/28/2014 3:15:00 PM

The U.S. government is again pushing home ownership. The FHFA is trying to boost the lackluster housing market through down payments as low as 3%. Will it work? A chart shows that the answer mainly depends on the stock market.   


Filed Under: Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

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