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(Video, 3:10 min.) Will 3% Down Protect the Housing Market?
Former head of Bear Stearns warns about another credit bubble

By Bob Stokes
10/28/2014 3:15:00 PM

The U.S. government is again pushing home ownership. The FHFA is trying to boost the lackluster housing market through down payments as low as 3%. Will it work? A chart shows that the answer mainly depends on the stock market.   


Filed Under: Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:20 min.) Are You Prepared for a Rare Economic Deflation?
Previewing a once-in-a-lifetime trend

By Bob Stokes
10/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

In 2002, Conquer the Crash was virtually alone in warning about deflation. Now, European government officials acknowledge that the Continent faces deflation. More than that, the financial press is now raising concern about the prospects of a U.S. deflation. Are you prepared?

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, consumer price index, deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - FRUP

Category: U.S. Economy

The 2014 "Goldilocks Economy" and the Stock Market
An improved jobs report, yet the S&P 500 saw its worst week since May 2012

By Bob Stokes
10/13/2014 2:45:00 PM

Low inflation and a better jobs report have some observers bringing back the late 1990s phrase, "Goldilocks Economy." This "just right" analysis is supposed to be ideal for stocks. Indeed, the majority of financial professionals see 2014 ending in the black for the S&P 500. 

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:41 min.) A Huge Strategic Mistake by the Federal Reserve?
Central bank assets balloon to near $4.3 trillion

By Bob Stokes
10/7/2014 4:00:00 PM

The total assets of the Federal Reserve have ballooned to around $4.3 trillion. That's more than twice the government expenditures for all 50 states. But the U.S. central bank has made a big blunder that could result in the loss of its credibility.

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, Elliott wave, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 4:04 min.) The Uneven Economic Recovery: Supported by Two Things
The official jobless rate doesn't tell the whole story

By Bob Stokes
10/3/2014 3:45:00 PM

The September jobless rate fell to 5.9% but that figure masks what's really going on in the labor market. Find out what's financing the so-called economic "recovery."

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:31 min.) Deflation: First Japan, Now Europe: Is the United States Next?
Dollar-denominated debt reaches highest levels in history

By Bob Stokes
9/25/2014 3:30:00 PM

A famous hedge fund manager recently said that deflation "is less likely than an asteroid hitting the earth." Yet, Europe already faces very low inflation and outright deflation, and Japan just suffered a stunning economic setback.

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, European Union (EU), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

Stocks, Gold, Silver, U.S. Treasuries: "Exciting Things Are Happening"
An illuminating interview with Elliott Wave International's chief market analyst Steve Hochberg outlines the road ahead in 4 key markets. Best part: You can watch it now, FREE

By Nico Isaac
9/22/2014 5:30:00 PM

Enron, Lehman Bros, GM, gold: Mainstream experts failed to see dramatic reversals in those markets. In a recent interview, Elliott Wave International's Steve Hochberg explained why – PLUS gave his insights into gold, stocks, silver & more.

Filed Under: earnings, economic indicators, Elliott wave, First look, forecasts, Gold, interview, Lehman Brothers, precious metals, silver, steve hochberg, U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 2:43 min.) Little-Known Indicator That Alerts You to the Fed's Next Move
The Fed's watching unemployment to time its first rate hike in six years. You can watch this.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/16/2014 5:30:00 PM

While the Fed is watching jobs, you can follow this indicator - one that has a long history of anticipating changes in the Fed's interest rates policy. See for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, Janet Yellen, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:38 min.) Looming Municipal Crisis: Debt Piled Too High to Pay Back?
Former lieutenant governor of New York: Expect more Detroits

By Bob Stokes
9/15/2014 3:15:00 PM

Many cities and states have been on a borrowing and spending binge for years. One former lieutenant governor says the chickens are about to come home to roost. Do you hold the "riskiest" bonds among popular government issues?

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt, Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:21 min.) Despite the Fed's Massive Stimulus, Inflation is Still Low: Why?
U.S. inflation rate is well below 2%

By Bob Stokes
9/4/2014 3:45:00 PM

Central banks in the U.S. and Europe have gone all out to inflate. Even so, economies on both sides of the Atlantic remain in a rut. Inflation rates are well below the targeted 2%. The reason can be summed up in just two words.

Filed Under: deflation, Elliott wave, eurozone, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 2:58 min.) Subprime Automobile Loans Double Since 2010
Credit card issuers also pursue risky borrowers

By Bob Stokes
9/3/2014 3:15:00 PM

Subprime mortgage loans nearly doomed the economy during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The lessons from that scary time were never learned. Two major sectors of the economy are now fervently pursuing subprime borrowers. Among finance companies, risky loans have doubled since 2010.

Filed Under: credit crisis, debt, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 2:52 min.) Don't Fall for the Strong U.S. GDP Number: Here's Why
When the economy is strong, so is the stock market. Right? Well, not exactly

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/28/2014 3:45:00 PM

The second quarter U.S. GDP has just been revised upward from 4% to 4.2%. That's a very impressive number. And everyone knows that when the economy is strong, so is the stock market... Except, it’s not exactly true.

Filed Under: bull market, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), S&P 500, technical analysis, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:17 min.) Big U.S. Banks: "Something is Very Wrong"
Stanford professor believes reserve requirements for banks are too low

By Bob Stokes
8/27/2014 3:30:00 PM

Overleveraged banks could send the economy into another financial crisis. That's the message of a Stanford finance professor who's been on a mission to get banks to raise their reserve levels. She says "something is very wrong" with the banking industry.

Filed Under: banks, Conquer the Crash, credit crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 2:52 min.) Why the Fed is Less of a "Hero" Than People Think
"The Fed’s brilliance does not determine the market; the social mood behind the market determines the Fed’s brilliance."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

The view that "the Federal Reserve Bank are heroes who saved the economy" is very common today. But you may be surprised to know that HOW the investment public views the Fed depends on what the stock market is doing. Watch.

Filed Under: Bear market, bull market, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, monetary policy, QE2, quantitative easing, social mood, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:06 min.) Student Loan Bubble: The Next Economic Implosion?
Student loan delinquencies have nearly doubled since early 2009

By Bob Stokes
8/21/2014 4:30:00 PM

Student loan debt has risen more than five-fold since 2003. This Mt. Everest of debt is promoted and backed by the government -- just like sub-prime mortgages prior to the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Will the student loan bubble be the next economic disaster? 

Filed Under: debt, economic indicators, Elliott wave

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:51 min.) "You can’t pull switches on a crowd. It pulls switches on you."
Have the economists learned from their mistakes during the financial crisis six years ago?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/20/2014 5:00:00 PM

Paul Krugman, the New York Times columnist and Nobel Laureate in Economics, wrote a thoughtful article in September 2009 titled, "How Did Economists Get It So Wrong?" Here is an excerpt that is very relevant for today.

Filed Under: Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), investment strategy, investor psychology, market forecasts, QE2, quantitative easing, U.S. dollar, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video, 3:26 min.) "For the Love of God" and Luxury: A Look at a Time-Tested Indicator
Investors should be wary of the "luxury wave"

By Bob Stokes
8/14/2014 3:00:00 PM

From Tulip Mania in the 1600s to the market top in 2007, extremes in the pursuit of luxury have accompanied every financial peak. Learn what's happening in 2014.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video) Here's How to Know When the Fed Might Raise Interest Rates
Watching the unemployment rate to see when the Fed may act? There is a better indicator

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/5/2014 9:00:00 PM

The Fed is concerned about a "significant underutilization of labor resources." So, the thinking goes, stronger job growth is when the Fed will move on the rates. Perhaps. But there is one other Fed indicator worth paying attention to.

Filed Under: economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Interest Rates, stock indexes, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video) 4% GDP Growth -- And "The Age-Old Story of Easy Credit"
Subprime lending is ba-ack!

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/30/2014 4:30:00 PM

"The age-old story of easy credit" is in the middle of another chapter. Once again, lenders and borrowers believe that the future is bright enough for the easy money to be paid back. You may ask, what’s wrong with such optimism?

Filed Under: credit crisis, credit rating, debt, debt crisis, Elliott wave, subprime lending, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

(Video) When Do “Wealth Disparity” Alarms Ring the Loudest?
As the “wealth gap” debates rage, new study shows a big slide in the net worth of a typical U.S. household

By Bob Stokes
7/28/2014 2:45:00 PM

A new study shows that the net worth of the typical U.S. household has taken a big slide -- while the rich have grown richer. But did you know that wealth disparity alarms often coincide with major financial tops? Consider 1929, 2000 and 2007. 

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), economic indicators, Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy

© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.