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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/20/2009 5:15:00 PM
When the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied above 10,000 in mid-October, it understandably got a lot of attention from Wall Street and Main Street. But the time to get excited about this rally was back in March. Investors who waited until the economy improved enough to give them confidence to buy stocks again did so just as the rally slowed to a virtual halt.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, DJIA, s&p, bull market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
11/19/2009 5:15:00 PM
Alas, too much enthusiasm based on too little evidence is common to ALL bubbles, big or small. So here's where it gets tangible: Gold prices have recently pushed to all-time highs, the Dow Industrials to a new yearly high. But gold and the Dow have done this ALONE, as in NO other equity indices or commodities have followed...
Filed Under:
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
11/19/2009 1:45:00 PM
To many, China's recent economic data suggests their bull market is here to stay: The 3rd quarter 2009 saw a 16% leap in industrial production and retail sales, and a strong rise in GDP to 8.9%... Does that sound familiar? IT SHOULD. Just two years ago, China's economic numbers were similarly strong. Yet do you remember what Chinese stocks did in 2007? Take a look at this chart -- it's a good remind that economic growth is NOT what drives the stock market.
Filed Under:
china, Shanghai Composite, chinese stocks, bull market, industrial production, retail sales, GDP
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/10/2009 11:45:00 AM
Whether you're new or experienced Elliott wave user, you know that it's easy to follow professional wave counts in market charts. It's doing them on your own that can be a challenge. Yet learning Elliott is well worth it. Why? For six clear answers, let's turn to someone with 15+ years of experience in wave analysis and trading -- Jeffrey Kennedy, editor of EWI's Daily and Monthly Futures Junctures and one of EWI's top instructors.
Filed Under:
elliott wave, fibonacci, trading
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
11/9/2009 4:30:00 PM
Eight months ago, there was no "fundamental-based" reason to believe the ongoing slaughter of stocks and financials would stop The U.S. equity market stood at its lowest level in 12 years, while the banking system seemed near a total collapse. But that's not how the story unfolded...
Filed Under:
us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, s&p, bull market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
10/30/2009 5:15:00 PM
The two-part truth about this rally is an easy story to tell. It's literally a few lines and notations on a price chart. Perhaps you'll notice that the decline which began in 2007, and in turn the recent rally, are both on a similarly large scale...
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Category:
Stocks
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by
Jason Farkas
10/29/2009 1:15:00 PM
People continue to desert the bearish camp -- even some who correctly forecasted the 2008 collapse. The less than resolute bears are now taking up residence with a cadre of “professionals” whose track record is poor -- fundamental analysts. Fundamental analysts have a poor track record of predicting downturns (though it’s probably not a surprise to those reading this). Here are two good examples...
Filed Under:
earnings, recession, fundamentals
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
10/19/2009 6:00:00 PM
Once upon a time, the term "Black Monday" was to Wall Street what the name "Lord Voldemort" was to Hogwarts. It turned the air freezing cold and sent traders flinching around every corner in fear of a repeat of the October 19, 1987 or October 28, 1929 meltdown. That was then. Now, a widespread belief in a new "global bull market" has put fears of a Black Monday repeat to rest....
Filed Under:
Black Monday, us stock market, bull, dow jones industrial average, Dow, bob prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
10/14/2009 11:15:00 AM
It's earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about earnings' influence on the broad stock market. Well, take a look at this chart if you also think that earnings are what you should focus on in your investment strategy...
Filed Under:
earnings, DJIA, prechter, elliott wave, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
10/2/2009 3:45:00 PM
Long story short: The recent, 400-plus point (4.5%) nosedive in the Dow Jones Industrial Average wasn't part of the new-bull-market blueprint. According to the usual experts, the Dow was on a one-way winning streak after soaring to a fresh, yearly high on Sept. 23.
Filed Under:
Dow, dow jones industrial average, bull market, us stock market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
9/25/2009 5:00:00 PM
Conventional economic wisdom lurks in the shadow of a system that uses news events to explain the direction of financial markets. Or, at best, it presumes ahead of time how prices will react to upcoming data -- and is inevitably thwarted by a fickle market that blatantly "ignores" negative stats to move higher, or "shrugs off" positive ones to turn down.
Filed Under:
dow jones industrial average, bull, Dow, stock market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/23/2009 6:15:00 PM
What an interesting day of trading we saw in stocks on Wednesday (Sept. 23.) On the same day, we had: 1. A single event -- the Fed's interest rate announcement; 2. The stock market's bullish -- and -- bearish "reaction" to it, and 3. Several news stories explaining why stocks rallied -- and -- declined after the event. One question remains: Where will stocks go from here?
Filed Under:
Federal Reserve, Fed, interest rates, DJIA, s&p, dollar, Gold
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/17/2009 12:15:00 PM
As you learn Elliott wave analysis, at some point you'll start to do your own wave counts. That's when you may discover that sometimes, the counts in different -- but related -- markets don't quite "line up." That can be a puzzling moment. After all, shouldn't related markets move in sync? For answers, let's turn to EWI's experts.
Filed Under:
SENSEX, Nikkei, Hong Kong, Singapore, asia, europe, prechter
Category:
Stocks
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by
Gary Grimes
9/15/2009 9:45:00 AM
Is the most powerful of all waves right around the corner? The short answer is "YES." The long answer will help you anticipate where and when …
Filed Under:
wave 3, wave 2, wave personality
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
9/11/2009 12:30:00 PM
More and more, Wall Street does with its old adages what department stores do with holiday decorations: they put them out months ahead of time so that shoppers already think "Easter bunny" at Thanksgiving. Case in point: The fall season is barely upon us and already, the financial mainstream is gearing up for the widely anticipated "October Curse" to strike down the bullish trend in stocks.
Filed Under:
us stocks, dow jones industrial average, october curse, Dow, bull
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/3/2009 2:15:00 PM
Here's a question we often receive at Elliott Wave International's Message Board: "Robert Prechter correctly predicted deflation. But isn't the government in control? The economy is improving, so why can't they do THIS [fill in the blank] to stop deflation altogether?" In our opinion everyone who says that the Fed is in control overlooks one key point: social mood. Here's Bob Prechter's explanation...
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, Federal Reserve, deflation, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
9/1/2009 4:45:00 PM
If you try my suggestion, well, my guess is that you'll conclude something like this: The past 18 months in the stock market have been neither unique nor historic. What happened instead is merely a repeat of history in virtually every respect -- including the notion that our experience is in any sense unique.
Filed Under:
Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
9/1/2009 4:00:00 PM
In the final two days of August 2009 alone, Bob Prechter was mentioned in several news outlets from MarketWatch to the New York Times. The claim to his "fame" -- EWI was one of the only technical analysis firms to anticipate a sharp rally in U.S. stocks as they circled the drain of a 12-year low this spring...
Filed Under:
us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, bob prechter, bull, bear
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/1/2009 2:15:00 PM
Regular readers of elliottwave.com know that at EWI, we constantly say this: One of the biggest mistakes that analysts and investors make is to use the news to predict stock market trends. News predicts nothing beyond the span of maybe a few minutes. Here's a fresh example...
Filed Under:
ISM Manufacturing Index, Pending Home Sales index, DJIA
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/27/2009 10:00:00 AM
Imagine you don't know anything about the stock market. Let's say you're an alien sent to this planet to study collective human behavior. Your task: the stock market. Millions of humans participate in it. Anything we can learn by watching them invest their money into a collective pot? YES, lots, as this fictional account of human-alien interaction explains.
Filed Under:
durable goods, new home sales, DJIA, Dow, economic news
Category:
Stocks
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...
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 In this exciting new 45-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you – using fresh, real-life market examples – how you can use simple, yet powerful, chart reading techniques to improve your trading.
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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