Elliott Wave International | World's Largest Market Forecasting Firm Since 1979
Please Login
 
 | What's My Password?
EWI

CATEGORY: STOCKS Return to Free Updates Home Page

Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"
To anyone new to socionomics, the stock market is saturated with paradox.

by Editorial Staff
2/9/2010 4:45:00 PM

"Have you ever watched a dog interact with its owner? The dog repeatedly looks at the owner, taking cues constantly. The owner is the leader, and the dog is a pack animal alert for every cue of what the owner wants it to do. Participants in the stock market are doing something similar. They constantly watch their fellows, alert for every clue of what they will do next. The difference is that there is no leader. The crowd is the perceived leader, but it comprises nothing but followers. When there is no leader to set the course, the herd cues only off itself, making the mood of the herd the only factor directing its actions."

Filed Under: Robert Prechter, interest rates, t-bills, Treasury bonds, Fed, oil, earnings
Category: Stocks


Dow Rallies, Dow Falls: What's Driving Volatility?
Markets are not rational. Paradoxically, that is what makes them predictable.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/8/2010 4:15:00 PM

Last Friday (February 5) was yet another interesting day to compare the stock market action with the explanations from conventional analysts. (This show never gets old, I swear.) Around midday, the Dow was down almost 170 points; everything pointed to another grim day. But then the blue chips reversed and closed higher. Don't look for a good "fundamental" explanation: There was none.

Filed Under: volatility, vix, DJIA, Unemployment rate, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, u.s. dollar
Category: Stocks


U.S. Stocks: Will The Bears Relinquish Control?

by Nico Isaac
2/4/2010 11:30:00 AM
In case you were hiding out Tiger Woods' style far away from the mainstream media over last month, let me be the first to say: January saw an abrupt end to the US stock market's record-setting winning streak. Last count, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted 4% in its worst monthly loss in a full year.
Filed Under: dow jones industrial average, Stocks, Dow, bear
Category: Stocks


"Anger in the Air"
What Will Follow?

by Editorial Staff
2/3/2010 4:45:00 PM
Pessimism On Display, Politically and Financially:
Dare We Ask, "What Could Follow?"
Filed Under:
Category: Stocks


GDP Up, DJIA Down: What Happened?
Our collective emotions play a huge role in our investment decisions.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/1/2010 4:15:00 PM

Last Friday (January 29) was a great day to watch the stock market and compare the price action against the explanations from analysts. Throughout the day, investors and analysts simply focused on the news stories that best fit that hour in the market... This seems like a flawed approach, and here's why.

Filed Under: GDP, Bernanke, DJIA, technology earnings, u.s. dollar, random walk
Category: Stocks


The Dow: A Pattern Repeats Itself. Will History Do The Same?

by Nico Isaac
1/29/2010 4:15:00 PM
Most fairytales have a catch word or phrase that, when repeated, makes all the danger and pain magically -- "poof!" -- disappear into thin air: "Rumpelstiltskin," "Beetlejuice," "There's no place like home, there's no place like home." Today, the mainstream financial world lives in a fantasy where such a word exists, too; that word is "different."
Filed Under: us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, DJIA, bob prechter
Category: Stocks


Don’t Be Like Isaac Newton
How a genius of the highest order "joined the crowd"

by Editorial Staff
1/29/2010 2:30:00 PM

Newton dominated scientific thought for 300 years but didn't "get" crowd psychology

Filed Under:
Category: Stocks


Part II: Trade What You SEE, Not What You BELIEVE
A new interview with a talented S&P trader Roberto Hernandez.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/26/2010 3:15:00 PM

This is part two of the January 18 interview with Roberto Hernandez, a talented S&P trader. "I agree with Bob Pechter that this bear market is not over. My oscillators are pointing down, so we are at the very least looking at a substantial correction. But the volatility will definitely increase again. And as I said before, if you are not experienced with trading in volatile markets, this is not the time to cut your teeth as a trader."

Filed Under: oscillators, dick diamond, bob prechter, elliott wave, volatility
Category: Stocks


Do You Know What Drives Severe Market Declines?
(And do you know what does NOT?)

by Editorial Staff
1/26/2010 12:15:00 PM

Will the next major move in the U.S. stock market be similar to the move depicted by the chart of the SASE Index?

Filed Under:
Category: Stocks


By Plunging 500-Plus Points, The Dow Fulfilled Its Near-Term Script
How the VIX saw it coming

by Nico Isaac
1/25/2010 5:30:00 PM

The VIX reading was one of the indicators that led EWI analysts to publish a bullish outlook for stocks in the period from March-June of 2009, in our Elliott Wave Financial Forecast publications. In March, with U.S. stocks circling the drain of a 12-year abyss, we anticipated a powerful rally that would bring the Dow Industrials to the 10,000 level at minimum, with an accompanying surge in positive sentiment readings.

Filed Under: us stocks, vix, CBOE Volatility Index, dow jones industrial average, Dow
Category: Stocks


A Comment On Today's Triple-Digit Stock Market Decline (Update)

by Nico Isaac
1/21/2010 4:00:00 PM
On Wednesday, January 20, the DJIA took a 100-plus point leap over the equity cliff edge. As for why, well, the experts of Wall Street set their sites 7,400 miles to the east, on China. Here, the following headlines from the day step in:
Filed Under: Dow, china, us stocks, Shanghai Composite
Category: Stocks


Trade What You SEE, Not What You BELIEVE
A new interview with a talented S&P trader Roberto Hernandez.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/21/2010 2:30:00 PM

You may already know Roberto Hernandez's name; some of you may have even met him at Dick Diamond's trading course where Roberto is Dick's assistant. Here, Roberto gives you his thoughts on trading in challenging markets -- like the ones we saw during the 2007-2009 crash.

Filed Under: oscillators, MetaStock, Walter Bressert, RSI, Relative Strength Index, S&P e-mini, dick diamond, Robert Prechter
Category: Stocks


Why the Message of the Wave Principle Just Got a Lot More Important
Bob's message requires all 10 pages in the January issue for him to spell it out

by Robert Folsom
1/15/2010 5:00:00 PM

Once in a while I'll see one of our analysts offer a forecast at three or four degrees of trend. I've very rarely seen one at five degrees of trend. What I've never seen or read is a forecast that involves a point in a pattern at six degrees of trend -- until now...

Filed Under:
Category: Stocks


I Heard the News Today (Oh Boy)
What if you had news before it happened?

by Editorial Staff
1/15/2010 12:00:00 PM

How about bigger news? Consider what happened on November 22, 1963 in Dallas, Texas. Look at the Dow Jones chart here ...

Filed Under:
Category: Stocks


Plunge Protection Team: Is It Holding Up The Dow?
Rumors are, the government "manipulates the market." Is it safe to invest now?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/12/2010 3:00:00 PM
EWI's Message Board is a free resource to get your questions answered by EWI and The Socionomics Institute's experts. We try to answer every reader, and in turn publish the best Q&As for all to see. Here is a recent frequent question we've answered: "What is your take on the recent allegations that the Plunge Protection Team is manipulating this market?" Well, take a look at this chart.
Filed Under: Plunge Protection Team, Federal Reserve, U.S. government, market manipulation, Robert Prechter
Category: Stocks


If Earnings Heat Up, Will The Stock Market Follow? See CHART

by Nico Isaac
1/11/2010 1:15:00 PM
As the Northern Hemisphere braces for one the most hostilely cold winters on record, the financial world is stripping down to its skivvies in celebration of an alleged "sizzling" SEASON of fourth-quarter earnings. Here's the gist: On Monday, January 11, the much-anticipated report card for publicly traded companies was released.
Filed Under: us stocks, S&P 500, earnings, fourth-quarter earnings
Category: Stocks


Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold
"The Real Dow" has proven to be a good leading indicator for nominal DJIA.

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/7/2010 3:00:00 PM
Of the many forward looking market indicators we at EWI employ, one of the most interesting tools (and least discussed in the financial media) is the DJIA priced in gold. We've been tracking the Dow/Gold ratio for years and it has serves our subscribers well. Here's a good example.
Filed Under: Dow, DJIA, Gold, u.s. dollars, real Dow, prechter
Category: Stocks


Federal Reserve: The Appearance of Control
Could Ben Bernanke's "Person of the Year" award mark a turning point for the markets?

by Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/24/2009 10:30:00 AM

By now, the financial panic of March 2009 is a hazy memory for many investors. The Dow is above 10,000. "The Great Recession" is apparently "over." And according to the popular vote, the man to thank is Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, who's just been named Time Magazine's "Person of the Year." But could this award mark a turning point for the markets?

Filed Under: ben bernanke, Federal Reserve, person of the year, prechter
Category: Stocks


Earnings Do Not Drive Stock Prices (CHART)
Financial Myths Exposed, Part1

by Nico Isaac
12/17/2009 10:15:00 AM
Today is the official debut of my new column titled "Financial Myths Exposed." One at a time, I will reveal why some of the most prominent mainstream beliefs have little or no basis in reality. To kick things off, I'm starting with one of the most widely held "truisms" of Wall Street: i.e. Earnings Drive Stock Prices.
Filed Under: us stocks, earnings, S&P 500
Category: Stocks


How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Right
Bob Prechter: the only good label is an Elliott wave label...

by Nico Isaac
12/11/2009 1:00:00 AM

In the final two days of August 2009 alone, Bob Prechter was mentioned in several news outlets from MarketWatch to the New York Times. The claim to his "fame" -- EWI was one of the only technical analysis firms to anticipate a sharp rally in U.S. stocks as they circled the drain of a 12-year low this spring...

Filed Under: us stocks, dow jones industrial average, Dow, bob prechter, bull, bear
Category: Stocks


Categories
Most Recent Articles
- 2/9/2010 6:00:00 PM
How Triangle Wave Patterns Help You See Major Turns
- 2/9/2010 4:45:00 PM
Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"
- 2/9/2010 3:30:00 PM
Trading Commodities: See the Wave Principle in Action
- 2/9/2010 10:00:00 AM
The Almighty Dollar: A Missed Opportunity?
- 2/8/2010 4:15:00 PM
Dow Rallies, Dow Falls: What's Driving Volatility?

Introducing ...
The Mania Chronicles
 
With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist.
 
New Resource


To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Interest rates: How long will the Fed keep them at zero?
> Trading volume: Is it always higher in 3rd waves than in 5th?
> Economic data: Can they change collective psychology?
> Forex: In the next wave down, are currency traders at risk of not getting paid?
> Bernanke: As far as deflation is concerned, does it really matter who runs the Fed?
> T-bills: If I buy them through my broker, what happens it they go under?
> Corruption: Does it increase or decrease in bull and bear markets?
> IPOs: How do I count Elliott waves in a brand-new stock?
> What new topics/ideas is EWI actively researching now?
> Google searches: Can they be used to gauge people's social mood?

Club EWI Members: Click Here

 
Press Room
IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.