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by
Nico Isaac
7/1/2009 4:45:00 PM
True or False: The “Real” Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied more than 30% from its March 2009 low, standing near its highest level in nearly six months. That depends on who you ask. According to the mainstream experts, the answer is clearly YES. For many in this camp, the Dow’s upsurge is the “slow and steady” start of a new, “healthier” bull market.
Filed Under:
dow jones industrial average, Dow, real Dow, nominal Dow, bull market
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
6/26/2009 5:15:00 PM
While I agree that this description tries to capture what happened, it doesn't come near the reality -- that is, unless "lost" is supposed to mean the LOSSES investors suffered during TWO catastrophic bear markets in ONE decade. And if you think "catastrophic" overstates matters, well, my guess is that you probably were not "fully invested" in the stock market when things went south (twice)...
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Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
6/26/2009 4:30:00 PM
As the U.S. stock market continues its white-knuckle hold on a 20%-plus rally from early March, the mainstream experts are singing along to one song in particular: "We've Got Blue Skies" ahead in the world's leading economy. "2009 could be the year that we put the worst behind us," observes a recent Associated Press.
Filed Under:
Stocks, Bear market, dow jones industrial average, DJIA, Dow
Category:
Stocks
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by
Jeff Reckseit
6/26/2009 1:00:00 PM
Only the Elliott Wave model allows you to see social mood for what it is: individuals as a group, driving the stock market in swings between optimism and pessimism...
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Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/23/2009 1:45:00 PM
Since its June 12 top, the DJIA has lost close to 6 percent. Blame the economic data, say the mainstream financial analysts. But why would investors who disregarded "bad fundamentals" for more than three months suddenly be worried about them? It's a puzzling situation, but only until you look at it from an Elliott wave perspective.
Filed Under:
Robert Prechter, global economy, DJIA, Dow, social mood, socionomics
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
6/19/2009 5:15:00 PM
I agreed years ago that the random walk was implausible. But I didn't come to this view because of behavioral economists, although their work over the past decade has certainly been valuable. Instead, I was persuaded by the work of someone who first challenged the financial orthodoxy more than three decades ago, specifically April 1977 ...
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Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/18/2009 2:00:00 PM
At some point after learning the basics of the Elliott Wave Principle, you've probably said to yourself -- let's try and count some waves. The Principle claims to work in any liquid, freely traded market, so let's see if it really does. Here are a couple of hurdles you'll need to overcome first...
Filed Under:
elliott wave, trading
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
6/15/2009 4:30:00 PM
Okay, no. 2, 4, and 7 are also real stories, though no one cited them as the "reason" the market was down...
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Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/9/2009 2:00:00 PM
It's becoming a hazy memory for many investors, but you may still remember the unbelievable volatility we saw in the DJIA and S&P500 just eight months ago. The reason why those wild gyrations of the world's benchmark stock index were so hard to believe was because it just didn't seem rational. Well, see if this explanation from Bob Prechter sheds any light on that…
Filed Under:
efficient markets, crowd psycholog, psychology of crowds, herding
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
6/2/2009 2:00:00 PM
Market analysis is a venture in which historical studies have a clear practical value -- namely, as a tool that you can use well, badly, or not at all. Not at all is better than badly, but history done well usually produces market analysis done well...
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Category:
Stocks
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by
Nico Isaac
6/1/2009 4:00:00 PM
Contrary to popular belief (in fundamental analysis), there's no such thing as "bad" news or "good" news. There's only news. And in turn the media's constant after-the-fact interpretations of that news as good or bad, depending on the movement of the stock market.
Filed Under:
U.S. stocks, General Motors, Dow, dow jones industrial average, GM
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/29/2009 12:30:00 PM
Jeffrey Kenney is one of EWI's senior instructors. If you found his insights on trading useful in Part I of this article, Part II picks up below and tells you about "fatal flaws" #4 and #5.
Filed Under:
trading tips
Category:
Stocks
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by
Gary Grimes
5/28/2009 5:15:00 PM
What you're looking at is a picture of the U.S. Dollar Index against the Dow Jones Industrial Average. As you can see, the near-perfect mirror image indicates one thing: a strong negative correlation. Here's what EWI's U.S. Short Term Update Editor Steve Hochberg says about it.
Filed Under:
U.S. stocks, u.s. dollar
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/28/2009 2:30:00 PM
As editor of Elliott Wave International's Prime Stocks Flash service, Ron Feinstein's job is to find opportunities among individual U.S. stocks using Elliott wave analysis. To find out how he does it, I sat down with Ron to pick his brain.
Filed Under:
trading, fibonacci, individual stocks
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/27/2009 4:30:00 PM
Close to ninety percent of all traders lose money. The remaining ten percent somehow manage to either break even or even turn a profit – and more importantly, do it consistently. How do they do that? While there is no magic formula, one of Elliott Wave International's senior instructors Jeffrey Kennedy has identified five fundamental flaws that, in his opinion, stop most traders from being consistently successful.
Filed Under:
trading
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/26/2009 3:00:00 PM
To most observers who compare the performance of Russia's stock market vs. its economy over the past couple of years, it must look as mysterious as the proverbial "mysterious Russian soul." See for yourself...
Filed Under:
Russia, rts, emerging markets, oil
Category:
Stocks
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by
Robert Folsom
5/22/2009 3:45:00 PM
I've known a handful of other people who fit this description, but none of them were a pleasure to know personally. In fact these qualities are often a good formula for being an SOB...
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Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/19/2009 4:00:00 PM
You'll either agree with me or you won't, so here it goes: What reliably makes me lose my cool is when respected professionals passionately embrace an idea, for a while -- only to reject it just as passionately later on. Let’s talk about some of the financial "gospels," for example.
Filed Under:
prechter, Efficient Market Hypothesis, diversification, warren buffett, social mood
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/15/2009 3:00:00 PM
One criticism we at Elliott Wave International sometimes hear about wave analysis sounds something like this: "Sure, it's easy to find Elliott wave patterns in market charts after they've been completed. You never know what the pattern is until it's done, so what use is Elliott?" Well, let's look at a couple of examples...
Filed Under:
elliott wave criticism, basic elliott, market uncertainty
Category:
Stocks
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by
Vadim Pokhlebkin
5/12/2009 4:30:00 PM
The action in stocks around the world over the past two months has raised a skeptical eyebrow for some investors, yet for others it has reignited the hopes of a new bull market. How do you know which group is right? Knowing "wave personalities" can help you answer this question.
Filed Under:
DJIA, ftse, dax, Nikkei, sucker rally, wave personality
Category:
Stocks
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Announcing EWI's New eBook ...
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 In this exciting new 34-page eBook, Jeffrey Kennedy shows you — using real-life market examples — how you can use simple, yet powerful, moving average techniques to better your own trading. *Includes Jeffrey's own unique Moving Average technique!
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© 2009 Elliott Wave International
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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.
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