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(Video, 2:36 min.) Here's What Stock Market Bulls Might Be Overlooking
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/2/2015 5:00:00 PM

On Feb. 27, the 4th quarter U.S. GDP was revised downward to 2.2%. "U.S. stock markets shrugged off the revision" -- after all, the conventional wisdom says that as long as the economy is growing, so is the stock market. Except, it’s not exactly true.

Filed Under: consumer confidence, Elliott wave, gross domestic product (GDP), U.S. STOCK MARKET, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 2:27 min.) Stocks: It's All Been Done Before
"...the ‘plumber and barber sentiment index‘ is near an all-time high"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
2/26/2015 2:15:00 PM

There's a lot of bullishness out there. And "when nearly all investors are bullish, they tend to view the stance as conservative, because, after all, everyone is doing it. This is even true for professional investors..." We're not the only ones noticing this uber-optimism.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Goldman Sachs, investment decisions, investment strategy, sentiment, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 2:58 min.) Does Nasdaq 5000 Make Sense This Time?
A portfolio manager on the Internet bubble then vs. now

By Bob Stokes
2/24/2015 3:00:00 PM

After 15 years, the Nasdaq has returned to the lofty level of the Internet bubble days. One money manager says the tech-heavy index now sports stronger fundamentals vs. March 2000. But will stellar earnings send the Nasdaq higher?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, Nasdaq Composite, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:12 min.) Why Cash Ain't Trash, And Other Suddenly Popular Ideas
Radical notions like "cash is king" are suddenly starting to resonate with the mainstream

By Nico Isaac
2/19/2015 1:45:00 PM

Driving in my car the other day, I heard an ad on the radio that, I thought, did a good job of summarizing the state of our economy "on the ground," so to speak, where the real, everyday people are trying to make it work. It went like this...

Filed Under: cash, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, safe haven, U.S. dollar, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:17 mins.) What an Unhealthy Market Looks Like
Fractures open in the stock market

By Bob Stokes
2/18/2015 4:00:00 PM

In a healthy bull market, most sectors participate in the trend. When key sectors turn down even as the broad market rises, the uptrend is at risk. Investors would do well to pay attention to such a splinter.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:21 mins.) Why the Stock Market Remains Historically Overvalued
Market sentiment today shows the most extreme optimism since 1987

By Bob Stokes
2/10/2015 3:00:00 PM

Even after a six-year uptrend, investor optimism has remained historically elevated. Do the stock market's valuation measures point to an approaching top?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Stocks

(Video, 4:09 min.) Deflation: Why the Fed Has Been Losing the Battle
"The ultimate drivers of inflation and deflation are human mental states that the Fed cannot manipulate."

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/29/2015 5:30:00 PM

Despite six years of record-low interest rates; three rounds and five years of the Fed's QE; $4 trillion of "new money injected into the economy" -- despite all that, inflation in the U.S. remains well below the Fed's target. Why?

Filed Under: Ben Bernanke, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Theorist, inflation, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

Stocks: Prepare to Expect the Unexpected
Most investors WANT to prepare for unexpected trend changes. They just don't know how.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/28/2015 5:00:00 PM

Much of the public must already assume that cheap gas is here to stay. Never mind that anyone who is old enough to drink remembers that in their lifetime, a gallon of regular cost as little as $1.00 and as much as $5.00. Gas prices fluctuate -- just like stocks.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, volatility

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:11 mins.) Stocks and the Anticipated Jump in Volatility
Extreme market turbulence follows extreme market complacency?

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2015 2:45:00 PM

Stock market volatility during much of 2014 was as tame as a sleepy kitchen cat. But after a rally that's lasted nearly six years, volatilty has seen a marked increase in 2015. This may only be the beginning.

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, S&P 500

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:45 mins.) What Does the "Blizzard of 2015" Mean for Stocks?
The Wave Principle governs the stock market's trend

By Bob Stokes
1/27/2015 3:15:00 PM

The stock market's price pattern is independent of all outside events, including oil shocks, earthquakes, blizzards and even war. Learn how the stock market behaved after a natural disaster cost a nation 15 percent of its gross domestic product.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:44 min) What's Bigger Than a $1.4 Billion Mortgage Ratings Scandal?
The great "inflated" expectations for gold, oil, commodities -- and now stocks

By Nico Isaac
1/26/2015 5:30:00 PM

Standard & Poor's just reached a $1.4 billion settlement for "inflating credit ratings on toxic assets" leading up to the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. But there's a much bigger issue at stake...

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, Ben Bernanke, Bob Prechter, charts, commodities, Conquer the Crash, CRB index, credit crisis, crude oil, Gold, inflation, quantitative easing, S&P 500, safe haven, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, Video - FRUP

Category: Stocks

Are Buyouts Checking Out?
Two more key measures of optimism suddenly betray a diminishing appetite for stocks

By Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall
1/16/2015 1:30:00 PM

This updated chart of corporate buybacks and mergers shows that after reaching the highest levels since the S&P's 2007 top, buyers pulled in their horns somewhat as 2014 drew to a close. Here's what that could mean.

Filed Under: financial forecast, Peter Kendall, risk appetite, U.S. STOCK MARKET

Category: Stocks

(Video, 2:47 min.) An Indicator from the 2007 Market Top Flashes a Warning Now
Are investors "risk on" or "risk off"?

By Bob Stokes
1/14/2015 1:30:00 PM

The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast recently discussed an indicator that appeared to be "especially ominous." Since that commentary, the stock market has turned increasingly volatile. See how this same indicator foretold of a reversal in stocks in 2007. 


Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:37 min.) Are Terrorist Attacks BULLISH for the Stock Market?
The correlation between terrorism and markets is far less predictable than most people think

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/12/2015 4:45:00 PM

When you read the title of this story, your first thought probably was: "What a preposterous idea." And yet, someone looking at the market's apparent reaction last week might have thought exactly that.

Filed Under: CAC40, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, europe, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, terrorist attacks, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

How to Tame a Drunken Psycho
No matter how volatile the market, a FREE report shows you five ways the Elliott Wave Principle can improve your trading

By Nico Isaac
1/9/2015 2:15:00 PM

Last month, Warren Buffett described the rapidly fluctuating stock market as a "kind of drunken psycho." Today, Elliott wave analysis shows you how to tame it.

Filed Under: charts, Club EWI, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, Elliott Wave Principle, investment strategy, stock indexes, Traders, U.S. STOCK MARKET, Warren Buffett

Category: Stocks

(Video, 2:49 min.) "Kiss of Death" for a Stock Market Trend?
Stock market professionals are unanimous in their predictions for 2015

By Bob Stokes
1/6/2015 3:30:00 PM

Bear markets usually begin when they are the least expected. Yet the warning signs were always there. See a chart that we showed subscribers a month ago that warned them of stock market trouble.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:11 min.) How Over-Confidence Almost Killed Me -- And What I Learned
Hubris can cost you

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
1/2/2015 3:15:00 PM

We all have experiences we'll never forget. For me, it's the day when I crashed my motorcycle. It was a superbike, one of those sleek "crotch rockets" you see screaming down the left lane...

Filed Under: bull market, Elliott wave, market forecasts, sentiment, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

Stocks and Economy: What to Look for in 2015
Some thoughts about "fundamentals" going into the new year

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/30/2014 3:45:00 PM

U.S. stocks are trading near all-time highs, yet some people say that without a stronger economy this bull market won't last. This argument makes sense at first blush, but when you dig a little deeper, you quickly discover that it's not supported by the facts.

Filed Under: bull market, commodities, crude oil, debt, deflation, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, emerging markets, european markets, fundamental analysis, housing prices, inflation, investment decisions, investment strategy, S&P 500, stimulus package, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, unemployment, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

(Video, 3:11 min.) Stocks and Oil: From Hot to Cold, And Back Again
Often, what investors see as the REASON behind the stock market's ups and downs is not REASON at all -- it's rationalization

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
12/23/2014 4:15:00 PM

Now that the stock market has recovered from its mid-December slump, it's a good time to talk about the one culprit that almost everyone said was behind the Dow's big slide: namely, crude oil.

Filed Under: bull market, crude oil, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, S&P 500, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - Featured

Category: Stocks

The Boy Who Cried a $72 Million Stock Market Profit
And why we believed him in the first place

By Nico Isaac
12/22/2014 4:00:00 PM

The recent story about the "boy wonder" who everyone believed made $72 million trading stocks is fascinating on many levels. One, it  paints a very top-heavy picture of the market! 

Filed Under: bull market, charts, Elliott wave, financial forecast, history, investor psychology, junk bonds, S&P 500, sentiment, stock indexes, successful traders, Treasury bonds, Wall Street

Category: Stocks

© 2015 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.