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Bond Traders Telegraph a Message About 30-Year Treasuries
A respected sentiment measure shows extreme optimism

By Bob Stokes
2/8/2016 1:45:00 PM

Financial markets have a way of turning just when the majority of investors are convinced that the established trend will continue. But make sure a market's chart pattern also supports a turn. This market appears ripe with opportunity.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, sentiment, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:23 min.) Debt Troubles Expand: Distressed Bond Issuers Traded Jumps 110%
The current setup is similar to what preceded the 2007-2009 financial crisis

By Bob Stokes
12/14/2015 4:00:00 PM

The debt loads of companies and governments should be easy to service given the exceptionally low interest rates. But did you know that global bond default rates have hit their highest level since 2009? Learn why the next credit crunch could be worse than 2007-2009.

Filed Under: debt, Elliott wave, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:11 min.) Big Risk in the U.S. Bond Market
Investors face lower liquidity levels

By Bob Stokes
11/9/2015 3:45:00 PM

Bond prices have been trending lower (yields rising), and investors appear vulnerable to even greater volatility. Learn why selling pressure could accelerate.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, risk management, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Chart of the Day, 2:43 min.) Debt Man's Curve: Where Money Goes When Asset Values Fall
This chart is one of many indicators that investors are moving away from risky assets and toward safety

By Robert Folsom
11/3/2015 4:30:00 PM

This chart shows sovereign debt along a yield curve, which is to say, the rates of interest governments pay to borrow money for 10 years from investors. It's sort of a snapshot of global Treasury Note yields.

Filed Under: debt, Elliott wave, European debt crisis, Interest Rates, investor psychology, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:36 min.) Time to Question U.S. Treasuries as a “Safe-Haven”?
Emerging market governments unload U.S. debt

By Bob Stokes
10/9/2015 3:15:00 PM

China is dumping U.S. Treasuries. So is Russia and Brazil. Are interest rates set to soar? Learn why now may be the time to question the safe-haven status of U.S. government bonds.

Filed Under: Chinese markets, Elliott wave, emerging markets, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:12 min.) Look What’s Beating Stocks and Bonds So Far in 2015
Conservative investors have their day in the sun

By Bob Stokes
9/30/2015 3:00:00 PM

Conservative investors have been punished with exceptionally low interest rates. But at least they haven’t lost money. Learn about a good way to defend your portfolio against rising rates.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, money markets, Treasury bills (T-bills), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


"Interest Rates Drive Stocks"? See 4 Charts That Tell You the Truth
These 4 charts show why you should be careful with this common investment "wisdom"

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
9/18/2015 4:30:00 PM

On Thursday (Sept. 17), the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged. On Friday, stocks opened down big. But before you join those who blame the declines on the Fed, read an excerpt from this eye-opening study.

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), fundamental analysis, Interest Rates, investment decisions, investment strategy, technical analysis, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:59 min.) Look Who’s Really in Control of Interest Rates
The market gets a head start on the Fed

By Bob Stokes
8/6/2015 2:30:00 PM

Has the much anticipated rate hike from the Fed already happened? See a chart that debunks the myth that the central bank is in control of the direction of interest rates.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, Treasury bills (T-bills), treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:05 min.) Debt Crisis in Puerto Rico: Should U.S. Investors Care?
White House: No U.S. bailout for Puerto Rico

By Bob Stokes
7/1/2015 3:30:00 PM

Puerto Rico’s debt crisis may seem insignificant to many U.S. investors. After all, the Caribbean island is smaller than Connecticut and only has a population of 3.6 million. But you may be exposed to Puerto Rican debt and not know it.

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:36 min.) Bond Fund Manager: How Investors Should Prepare for a “Systemic Event”
Keeping a wary eye on record global debt levels

By Bob Stokes
6/22/2015 4:00:00 PM

A mainstream bond fund manager says investors should position their portfolios for a financial shock. He explains why. More than that, our analysis reveals that the next financial downturn could unfold much more rapidly than even bearish observers expect.

Filed Under: banks, cash, debt, Elliott wave, european markets, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Glitter Bombs, Bill Gross, and the Public Whipping of German Bonds
If you haven’t heard of the huge sell-off in German government debt, it’s a heck of a story

By Nico Isaac
6/11/2015 3:45:00 PM

When it comes to anticipating the record-shattering rout in German bonds, the final score is: Technical analysis: 1. Fundamental analysis: 0. See for yourself in this brief overview the huge sell-off in German government debt.

Filed Under: central banks, charts, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, eurozone, fundamental analysis, trendlines

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:37 min.) Higher Interest Rates Hit the Housing Market
The market drives interest rates – not the Fed

By Bob Stokes
6/10/2015 4:15:00 PM

The fledgling housing recovery has recently taken a step backwards as interest rates have climbed. Our indicators suggest that the real estate market is vulnerable to further weakness. Short-term speculators will likely be caught off guard – again.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:08 min.) Elliott Waves Anticipate Higher Bond Yields
The decline in bond prices may have only started

By Bob Stokes
6/3/2015 3:15:00 PM

The yield on 10-year Treasuries just hit its highest level since November 2014.The financial media cited “jobs optimism” and a higher inflation forecast from the European Central Bank. See how Elliott waves anticipated the jump in yields ahead of the news.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:24 min.) Debt Default Ahead for Puerto Rico?
This U.S. territory faces the “unthinkable”

By Bob Stokes
5/18/2015 4:00:00 PM

The U.S. territory of Puerto Rico faces a Greece-style debt crisis: In fact, Puerto Rico's bond yields have spiked higher than those of Greece. Our indicators suggest that the next debt crisis could be worse than 2007-2009.

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:34 min.) Big Volatility Shakes Bond Investors
Is the debt bomb about to go off?

By Bob Stokes
5/8/2015 3:30:00 PM

Bond investors have recently suffered steep losses as extraordinary volatility roiled credit markets. Learn why we say that “the insanity that pervades the world’s bond markets has reached epic proportions.”

Filed Under: Elliott wave, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Podcast, 9:17 min.) The Who and Why of Getting PAID to Borrow Money
Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets.

By Editorial Staff
3/26/2015 6:15:00 PM

Can you believe that these days someone can get paid to BORROW money? No? Well, Nestle Corporation just did. Listen to this free podcast for some illuminating details.

Filed Under: deflation, inflation, Interest Rates, investor psychology, social mood

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 6:12 min.) If Money Is On Sale, Why Is Almost No One Buying?
Government bonds of several major global economies, including the U.S., are paying shockingly low interest. Why?

By Editorial Staff
3/17/2015 5:00:00 PM

Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets. In this episode, you'll see two eye-opening charts that are very relevant to the ongoing discussions about the Fed's interest rate policy.

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:48 mins.) Bond Yields Now at a Major Juncture
Bulls caught off guard again?

By Bob Stokes
2/17/2015 3:00:00 PM

Bond market bulls were caught off guard when the yield on 10-year Treasury notes reached their July 2012 record low. Now most bond traders are bullish again. Our indicators suggest that yields are at another milestone juncture.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:15 min.) U.S. Treasuries: What Happened on October 15?
High-frequency trading may have been one reason for the turmoil. Or was it something else?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/11/2014 4:15:00 PM

Let's face it, bonds are boring. Bonds are the beige minivan of the markets. People don't turn to bonds for excitement. They are valued for their safety and stability. That's why it was all the more surprising when...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment strategy, investor psychology, liquidity, market forecasts, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:09 min.) Municipal Bonds Score Big: Are Munis the Remedy for a Volatile Stock Market?
Safety-minded investors try to have their cake and eat it too

By Bob Stokes
11/3/2014 3:00:00 PM

So far in 2014, municipal bond investors have enjoyed relative safety along with superior returns. Munis have even outperformed the Dow Industrials. But are safety-minded investors in for an unpleasant surprise?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates



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