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(Video) What the Junk Bond Market is Saying (Anyone Listening?)
If junk debt SHOULD pay far higher yields, why doesn't it?

By Robert Folsom
4/15/2014 1:15:00 PM

Let's talk about lending money. Not to your freeloading brother-in-law, but investment lending -- as in, the fixed income market, or bonds. When you invest in bonds you are indeed the lender. The borrower pays you...

Filed Under: credit rating, Interest Rates, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


This Chart Will Convince You That Elliott Waves Are Real
Here is one way to stay ahead of the yield curve

By Editorial Staff
4/7/2014 5:30:00 PM

How much businesses and consumers pay to borrow money affects the economy. But how do you know where bond yields (and, by extension, central bank interest rates and mortgage rates) are going?

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, financial forecast, futures trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Risk-Averse, Yet Dangerously Exposed to Bonds
Higher interest rates equal lower bond prices

By Bob Stokes
3/27/2014 5:00:00 PM

The 30-year bull market in bonds may have lulled many safety-minded investors into a sense of complacency that could prove financially dangerous. Learn about the downside of bonds.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Junk Bond Quality Hits Record Low: Danger Zone for High-Yield Investors?
Junk bond investors sacrifice safety in their hunt for yield

By Bob Stokes
3/13/2014 3:15:00 PM

Junk bond quality hit a record low in February. Will high-yield bond investors face a nightmare of widespread defaults?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Should Investors See Bonds as a Safe Haven?
Investors rush into bonds at a record pace

By Bob Stokes
2/19/2014 4:15:00 PM

Investors who jump into bonds to escape stock market volatility may be in for a rude awakening. Interest rates could climb much higher than most investors expect.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, safe haven, stock indexes, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


A Credit Contraction to Make 2007-2009 Look Like "a Little Girls' Tea Party"
Investors will re-discover why high-yield bonds are called "junk"

By Bob Stokes
2/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

Many investors have rejected Treasuries in favor of high-yield debt. Moreover, loans to the financially unstable firms that issue junk debt have risen dramatically. See why this could spell trouble ahead.

Filed Under: credit crisis, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Could the Value of the Fed's Assets Go Down?
Janet Yellen steps into an era of rising rates

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2014 3:15:00 PM

Incoming Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen may face an era of rising rates and deflation in the $37 trillion U.S. bond market.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


Protect Your Wealth from the Janet Yellen Era
The next Federal Reserve chairperson could oversee economic disaster

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2014 5:30:00 PM

A lot of financial and economic indicators suggest turmoil ahead for the Janet Yellen era at the Fed. Now is the time to take steps to protect your wealth.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


Why Bonds Get Hammered During Deflation
See what happened to bond yields from 1929 to 1932

By Bob Stokes
1/6/2014 5:15:00 PM

Many investors believe bonds are a safe haven from financial risk. But bond prices can get crushed during a deflationary trend. See a chart of what happened to bond yields from 1929 to 1932.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, great depression, history, safe haven, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


10-Year Treasury Yields: Headed Still Higher?
Elliott wave analysis helps investors anticipate the next major move

By Bob Stokes
12/5/2013 5:15:00 PM

Find out how Elliott wave patterns helped EWI forecasters anticipate a major trend change in bond yields. Elliott waves can also help you see what is probably ahead for bonds.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Beware of Optimism in the Bond Market
U.S. corporate bond issues are the highest ever

By Bob Stokes
11/11/2013 4:00:00 PM

A major shift in the trend of bond yields occurred in July 2012, when yields more than doubled through early September 2013. EWI predicted a pause in the rising of yields, which did occur. Now, investors are loading up on debt. Beware of the high level of optimism in the bond market. 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, junk bonds, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


Financial Firms Sell Big Blocks of Puerto Rico's Bonds
Add a tropical U.S. territory to the debt-ridden list

By Bob Stokes
10/10/2013 4:45:00 PM

The U.S. debt crisis extends from the federal to local governments, and even includes a U.S. territory, which, until recently, was "the belle of the bond markets." Tax-exempt interest is an allure, yet learn why Robert Prechter says this appealing feature of municipal bonds can turn into a trap.

Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, Greek debt, Interest Rates, municipal bonds, Robert Prechter, Sovereign Debt, Treasury bonds

Category: Interest Rates


Elliott Waves Show Near-Term Direction of 10-Year Treasury Yields

By Bob Stokes
9/27/2013 3:45:00 PM

Elliott wave analysis can help you identify turning points in the near-term trends of financial markets, including bonds. Take a look at a chart that was published in EWI's Financial Forecast Short Term Update on the day that 10-year Treasury yields made their most recent high.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, Short Term Update, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Biggest Municipal Default Since Detroit Looms in California
Bonds for three California toll highways are rated just one step above junk

By Bob Stokes
9/24/2013 4:00:00 PM

Crushing debt is taking a toll on America's municipalities. The biggest municipal default since Detroit looms in California.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, debt, Elliott wave, municipal bonds, Robert Prechter

Category: Interest Rates


Bond Investors: The Financial Stakes are Too High to Ignore These 3 Charts
Outstanding bond market debts surpassed $38 trillion in Q1 of 2013

By Bob Stokes
9/16/2013 3:30:00 PM

The financial stakes are enormous for bond market investors if yields continue to rise. EWI warned of rising yields in a special bonds report that published less than two months before 10-year Treasury yields bottomed in July 2012. See three charts that should have every bond investor asking, "Is history set to repeat?"

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, Robert Prechter, S&P 500, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


What You Need to Know About Bond Risk Now
Prechter: "You will not be afforded advance warning of loss."

By Bob Stokes
9/4/2013 5:15:00 PM

In Conquer the Crash, Robert Prechter wrote, "Bonds rated AAA or BBB at the start of a depression generally do not keep those ratings throughout it. Many go straight to D and then become de-listed because of default." Learn why the information in that quote is important to know now.

Filed Under: conquer the crash, Elliott wave, great depression, history, municipal bonds, Robert Prechter, soverign debt crisis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


The Most Underreported Financial Story of 2013 (so far)
The six-decade history the media overlooked

By Robert Folsom
8/26/2013 4:00:00 PM

There has been little to no coverage of this market's biggest price move in more than three decades...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates

Category: Interest Rates


A New Credit Crisis Looms
Mortgage rates are up while new home sales falter to a multimonth low in July

By Bob Stokes
8/23/2013 5:00:00 PM

Mortgage rates have risen while recent new homes sales have faltered. Elliott Wave International sees trouble ahead as rates continue to skyrocket. There's a big price to pay for years of easy credit.

Filed Under: credit crisis, Elliott wave, emerging markets, financial forecast, foreclosures, Freddie Mac, home sales, housing prices, Interest Rates, municipal bonds, Sovereign Debt, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Bonds No Safe Haven from Stock Market Risk
Bond yields spike to a 2-year high

By Bob Stokes
8/15/2013 5:15:00 PM

The rise in bond yields has puzzled no less than the Federal Reserve chairman. But Elliott Wave International has repeatedly warned that the three-decade-long bull market in bonds was set to end. Now, EWI looks ahead again to make a bold prediction about bonds.

Filed Under: all the same market theory, CNBC, conquer the crash, Elliott wave, great depression, history, Interest Rates, Robert Prechter, safe haven, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Bond Fund Investors Head for the Hills
Just months ago, investors were piling into bond funds

By Bob Stokes
8/8/2013 5:00:00 PM

U.S. bond funds have recently suffered huge redemptions, and the trend is likely to continue. “Diversify your investments” is age-old advice, but in today's financial environment, this strategy could mean losses for investors.

Filed Under: CNBC, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, long-term trend, mutual funds, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.