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(Video, 3:05 min.) Debt Crisis in Puerto Rico: Should U.S. Investors Care?
White House: No U.S. bailout for Puerto Rico

By Bob Stokes
7/1/2015 3:30:00 PM

Puerto Rico’s debt crisis may seem insignificant to many U.S. investors. After all, the Caribbean island is smaller than Connecticut and only has a population of 3.6 million. But you may be exposed to Puerto Rican debt and not know it.

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:36 min.) Bond Fund Manager: How Investors Should Prepare for a “Systemic Event”
Keeping a wary eye on record global debt levels

By Bob Stokes
6/22/2015 4:00:00 PM

A mainstream bond fund manager says investors should position their portfolios for a financial shock. He explains why. More than that, our analysis reveals that the next financial downturn could unfold much more rapidly than even bearish observers expect.

Filed Under: banks, cash, debt, Elliott wave, european markets, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Glitter Bombs, Bill Gross, and the Public Whipping of German Bonds
If you haven’t heard of the huge sell-off in German government debt, it’s a heck of a story

By Nico Isaac
6/11/2015 3:45:00 PM

When it comes to anticipating the record-shattering rout in German bonds, the final score is: Technical analysis: 1. Fundamental analysis: 0. See for yourself in this brief overview the huge sell-off in German government debt.

Filed Under: central banks, charts, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, eurozone, fundamental analysis, trendlines

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:37 min.) Higher Interest Rates Hit the Housing Market
The market drives interest rates – not the Fed

By Bob Stokes
6/10/2015 4:15:00 PM

The fledgling housing recovery has recently taken a step backwards as interest rates have climbed. Our indicators suggest that the real estate market is vulnerable to further weakness. Short-term speculators will likely be caught off guard – again.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, home sales, housing prices, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:08 min.) Elliott Waves Anticipate Higher Bond Yields
The decline in bond prices may have only started

By Bob Stokes
6/3/2015 3:15:00 PM

The yield on 10-year Treasuries just hit its highest level since November 2014.The financial media cited “jobs optimism” and a higher inflation forecast from the European Central Bank. See how Elliott waves anticipated the jump in yields ahead of the news.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:24 min.) Debt Default Ahead for Puerto Rico?
This U.S. territory faces the “unthinkable”

By Bob Stokes
5/18/2015 4:00:00 PM

The U.S. territory of Puerto Rico faces a Greece-style debt crisis: In fact, Puerto Rico's bond yields have spiked higher than those of Greece. Our indicators suggest that the next debt crisis could be worse than 2007-2009.

Filed Under: Conquer the Crash, debt crisis, Elliott wave, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:34 min.) Big Volatility Shakes Bond Investors
Is the debt bomb about to go off?

By Bob Stokes
5/8/2015 3:30:00 PM

Bond investors have recently suffered steep losses as extraordinary volatility roiled credit markets. Learn why we say that “the insanity that pervades the world’s bond markets has reached epic proportions.”

Filed Under: Elliott wave, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Podcast, 9:17 min.) The Who and Why of Getting PAID to Borrow Money
Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets.

By Editorial Staff
3/26/2015 6:15:00 PM

Can you believe that these days someone can get paid to BORROW money? No? Well, Nestle Corporation just did. Listen to this free podcast for some illuminating details.

Filed Under: deflation, inflation, Interest Rates, investor psychology, social mood

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 6:12 min.) If Money Is On Sale, Why Is Almost No One Buying?
Government bonds of several major global economies, including the U.S., are paying shockingly low interest. Why?

By Editorial Staff
3/17/2015 5:00:00 PM

Pop Trends, Price Culture is a new, free podcast about the intersection of psychology and markets. In this episode, you'll see two eye-opening charts that are very relevant to the ongoing discussions about the Fed's interest rate policy.

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, economic indicators, Elliott wave, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), inflation, Interest Rates, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:48 mins.) Bond Yields Now at a Major Juncture
Bulls caught off guard again?

By Bob Stokes
2/17/2015 3:00:00 PM

Bond market bulls were caught off guard when the yield on 10-year Treasury notes reached their July 2012 record low. Now most bond traders are bullish again. Our indicators suggest that yields are at another milestone juncture.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Treasury bills (T-bills), Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:15 min.) U.S. Treasuries: What Happened on October 15?
High-frequency trading may have been one reason for the turmoil. Or was it something else?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
11/11/2014 4:15:00 PM

Let's face it, bonds are boring. Bonds are the beige minivan of the markets. People don't turn to bonds for excitement. They are valued for their safety and stability. That's why it was all the more surprising when...

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, investment strategy, investor psychology, liquidity, market forecasts, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured, volatility

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:09 min.) Municipal Bonds Score Big: Are Munis the Remedy for a Volatile Stock Market?
Safety-minded investors try to have their cake and eat it too

By Bob Stokes
11/3/2014 3:00:00 PM

So far in 2014, municipal bond investors have enjoyed relative safety along with superior returns. Munis have even outperformed the Dow Industrials. But are safety-minded investors in for an unpleasant surprise?

Filed Under: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:16 min.) Bond Traders Stunned by "Wild and Historic Move"
Are bonds a "safe haven" during a stock market plunge?

By Bob Stokes
10/21/2014 4:00:00 PM

Many investors have flocked into the "safety" of bonds during the recent volatility in stocks. But are they jumping from the frying pan into the fire? Get an important insight into the bond market that is rarely if ever offered by the mainstream media.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:41 min.) U.S. Treasuries: Is "The World's Safest Investment" Facing a Trend Change?
Bonds have just seen their longest losing streak in three months

By Bob Stokes
9/10/2014 4:00:00 PM

High-grade bonds crashed in value during the Great Depression -- and during the Great Recession of 2008-2009, too -- right along with stocks. It may be time to get an independent perspective on investing in debt.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:35 min.) Municipal Bonds: The Bait in the Trap
Kansas fails to disclose risk to repaying some municipal bondholders

By Bob Stokes
8/18/2014 2:15:00 PM

Municipal bonds offer tax-free income and are perceived as relatively safe. But the financial health of state and local governments has never been more precarious. Even "guaranteed" muni bonds may be at risk during the next financial crisis.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:52 min.) The Bond Market: Sending a Signal About Risk
A record outflow in high-yield bond funds

By Bob Stokes
8/11/2014 3:15:00 PM

The global market value of junk bonds has doubled in the past five years. In June, yields hit a record low. "Change, however, is in the air," says the August Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. See the evidence for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) 6 Charts That Tell You a Lot About Today’s Markets
Let’s dust off an infamous financial phrase: credit default swaps

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/22/2014 3:15:00 PM

Here at Elliott Wave International, we look at market indicators other researchers sometimes overlook. For example: When's the last time you heard someone in mainstream finance discuss credit default swaps?

Filed Under: credit default swaps, credit rating, Elliott wave, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Let's Play a Game
A wild guess may be the best way to see the difference in these two quotes about junk bonds

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

Please take a look at these two quotes. One is from 2007, the other from this year. See if you can guess which one is which... and yes, it is a trick question. You'll understand why in a minute.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, junk bonds, market forecasts, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Bonds: They’re Not Just for Your Retirement Plan Any More
Catching a 3rd wave is like riding a perfect wave. Can you say Kowabunga, dude?

By Editorial Staff
7/10/2014 12:30:00 PM

Some people would think -- if you say you trade bonds -- that you traded your cousin a 30-year bond his grandmother gave him for your old bike. The reality is, today bonds are highly liquid intraday trading instruments -- even more active than forex. Take a look.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Interest Rates, online trading, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Interest Rates: Think the Fed Is in Control? Think Again.
The Fed will raise interest rates when the bond market says so

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2014 6:15:00 PM

To raise or lower interest rates is the Fed’s single most important tool to control our economic future. They watch economic indicators and deftly adjust interest rates accordingly... Well, if you believe that, this next part may come as a shock.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Interest Rates, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates



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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.