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(Video, 3:41 min.) U.S. Treasuries: Is "The World's Safest Investment" Facing a Trend Change?
Bonds have just seen their longest losing streak in three months

By Bob Stokes
9/10/2014 4:00:00 PM

High-grade bonds crashed in value during the Great Depression -- and during the Great Recession of 2008-2009, too -- right along with stocks. It may be time to get an independent perspective on investing in debt.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 3:35 min.) Municipal Bonds: The Bait in the Trap
Kansas fails to disclose risk to repaying some municipal bondholders

By Bob Stokes
8/18/2014 2:15:00 PM

Municipal bonds offer tax-free income and are perceived as relatively safe. But the financial health of state and local governments has never been more precarious. Even "guaranteed" muni bonds may be at risk during the next financial crisis.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, municipal bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 2:52 min.) The Bond Market: Sending a Signal About Risk
A record outflow in high-yield bond funds

By Bob Stokes
8/11/2014 3:15:00 PM

The global market value of junk bonds has doubled in the past five years. In June, yields hit a record low. "Change, however, is in the air," says the August Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. See the evidence for yourself.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) 6 Charts That Tell You a Lot About Today’s Markets
Let’s dust off an infamous financial phrase: credit default swaps

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/22/2014 3:15:00 PM

Here at Elliott Wave International, we look at market indicators other researchers sometimes overlook. For example: When's the last time you heard someone in mainstream finance discuss credit default swaps?

Filed Under: credit default swaps, credit rating, Elliott wave, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, investment decisions, investment strategy, investor psychology, U.S. STOCK MARKET, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Let's Play a Game
A wild guess may be the best way to see the difference in these two quotes about junk bonds

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/17/2014 3:45:00 PM

Please take a look at these two quotes. One is from 2007, the other from this year. See if you can guess which one is which... and yes, it is a trick question. You'll understand why in a minute.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, junk bonds, market forecasts, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Bonds: They’re Not Just for Your Retirement Plan Any More
Catching a 3rd wave is like riding a perfect wave. Can you say Kowabunga, dude?

By Editorial Staff
7/10/2014 12:30:00 PM

Some people would think -- if you say you trade bonds -- that you traded your cousin a 30-year bond his grandmother gave him for your old bike. The reality is, today bonds are highly liquid intraday trading instruments -- even more active than forex. Take a look.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Interest Rates, online trading, safe haven, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Interest Rates: Think the Fed Is in Control? Think Again.
The Fed will raise interest rates when the bond market says so

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/24/2014 6:15:00 PM

To raise or lower interest rates is the Fed’s single most important tool to control our economic future. They watch economic indicators and deftly adjust interest rates accordingly... Well, if you believe that, this next part may come as a shock.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Interest Rates, monetary policy, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Crazy Behavior in the Bond Market (As Stocks Complete a Historic Pattern)
Junk bond yields hit lowest level ever

By Bob Stokes
6/24/2014 3:45:00 PM

The highest-risk bonds appear to be the most in demand. A chart shows sales of new first-lien covenant-lite loans reaching an "insane" level.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, U.S. STOCK MARKET, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Market Opportunity: How to Be at the Right Place -- at the Right Time
See how Interest Rate Pro Service stayed ahead of the recent rally in this market: Eurex Bund

By Nico Isaac
5/21/2014 6:00:00 PM

Of all the possible Elliott wave scenarios, there is one that, when identified early, is like hitting the perfect home run with bases loaded. That scenario is the end of wave two. Once a second wave ends, it opens the door for the most powerful part of the wave pattern: the mighty third wave.

Filed Under: charts, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, Interest Rates, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Financial Disaster Looms for States and Municipalities
Historical precedent: "Bait in the trap" for municipal bond investors

By Bob Stokes
5/14/2014 2:30:00 PM

Even after a five-year economic recovery, states and municipalities still struggle with severe revenue shortfalls and debt downgrades. Learn why the next economic crisis could mean financial disaster for some of the nation's most populous cities and states.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, municipal bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Credit Crisis II: The Setup Appears in Place
The next financial crisis downturn may be more crushing than 2007-2009

By Bob Stokes
5/5/2014 3:00:00 PM

The setup for a bigger credit crisis than 2007-2009 appears to be in place. Learn why.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) What the Junk Bond Market is Saying (Anyone Listening?)
If junk debt SHOULD pay far higher yields, why doesn't it?

By Robert Folsom
4/15/2014 1:15:00 PM

Let's talk about lending money. Not to your freeloading brother-in-law, but investment lending -- as in, the fixed income market, or bonds. When you invest in bonds you are indeed the lender. The borrower pays you...

Filed Under: credit rating, Interest Rates, junk bonds, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


This Chart Will Convince You That Elliott Waves Are Real
Here is one way to stay ahead of the yield curve

By Editorial Staff
4/7/2014 5:30:00 PM

How much businesses and consumers pay to borrow money affects the economy. But how do you know where bond yields (and, by extension, central bank interest rates and mortgage rates) are going?

Filed Under: central banks, deflation, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, european central bank, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Fibonacci, financial forecast, futures trading, Interest Rates, technical analysis, Treasury bonds, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Risk-Averse, Yet Dangerously Exposed to Bonds
Higher interest rates equal lower bond prices

By Bob Stokes
3/27/2014 5:00:00 PM

The 30-year bull market in bonds may have lulled many safety-minded investors into a sense of complacency that could prove financially dangerous. Learn about the downside of bonds.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, U.S. Treasuries, video, Video - FRUP

Category: Interest Rates


(Video) Junk Bond Quality Hits Record Low: Danger Zone for High-Yield Investors?
Junk bond investors sacrifice safety in their hunt for yield

By Bob Stokes
3/13/2014 3:15:00 PM

Junk bond quality hit a record low in February. Will high-yield bond investors face a nightmare of widespread defaults?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, video, Video - Featured

Category: Interest Rates


Should Investors See Bonds as a Safe Haven?
Investors rush into bonds at a record pace

By Bob Stokes
2/19/2014 4:15:00 PM

Investors who jump into bonds to escape stock market volatility may be in for a rude awakening. Interest rates could climb much higher than most investors expect.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, investor psychology, safe haven, stock indexes, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


A Credit Contraction to Make 2007-2009 Look Like "a Little Girls' Tea Party"
Investors will re-discover why high-yield bonds are called "junk"

By Bob Stokes
2/4/2014 4:15:00 PM

Many investors have rejected Treasuries in favor of high-yield debt. Moreover, loans to the financially unstable firms that issue junk debt have risen dramatically. See why this could spell trouble ahead.

Filed Under: credit crisis, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, junk bonds, Robert Prechter, U.S. Treasuries

Category: Interest Rates


Could the Value of the Fed's Assets Go Down?
Janet Yellen steps into an era of rising rates

By Bob Stokes
1/28/2014 3:15:00 PM

Incoming Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen may face an era of rising rates and deflation in the $37 trillion U.S. bond market.

Filed Under: central banks, Elliott wave, Interest Rates, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


Protect Your Wealth from the Janet Yellen Era
The next Federal Reserve chairperson could oversee economic disaster

By Bob Stokes
1/10/2014 5:30:00 PM

A lot of financial and economic indicators suggest turmoil ahead for the Janet Yellen era at the Fed. Now is the time to take steps to protect your wealth.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Interest Rates, personal finance, risk management, Robert Prechter, safe haven, treasury yields, U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed)

Category: Interest Rates


Why Bonds Get Hammered During Deflation
See what happened to bond yields from 1929 to 1932

By Bob Stokes
1/6/2014 5:15:00 PM

Many investors believe bonds are a safe haven from financial risk. But bond prices can get crushed during a deflationary trend. See a chart of what happened to bond yields from 1929 to 1932.

Filed Under: 1929 Stock Market Crash, deflation, Elliott wave, great depression, history, safe haven, Treasury bonds, treasury yields

Category: Interest Rates


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© 2014 Elliott Wave International

The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.