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Crude Oil: See 5 Waves? Expect a Reversal
Using Elliott wave analysis in real time does not have to be complicated

By Editorial Staff
4/23/2014 1:00:00 PM

When you look at this chart of crude oil futures, you see a fairly steady rise from $96 to $104. You can also see that from an Elliott wave perspective, the rally appeared to be in 5 waves. Here is why that's a key piece of information.

Filed Under: charts, crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, investment decisions, technical analysis, technical indicators

Category: Energy


A Dramatic Set-up for the XLE, the Most Heavily Traded Energy ETF
Energy Pro Service shows you an unfolding new opportunity in the Energy Select Sector SPDR

By Nico Isaac
4/22/2014 5:00:00 PM

At the start of 2014, the XLE was where I am now: laid out in traction. Despite the gloom (isn’t that always how it happens?), from its late January low the XLE made a dramatic comeback -- to its highest level on record, in fact. So, what changed? And what's next?

Filed Under: diagonal, Elliott wave, forecasts, fundamental analysis

Category: Energy


Crude Oil: From Chaos to Clarity?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2014 3:15:00 PM

This chart shows you what oil has done over the past three years: In a word, one big nothing. Crude trades today about where it was in mid-2011. You can bet that’s why...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Seeing Natural Gas's Spike from an Elliott Wave Perspective
Look beyond supply data to find the impetus for the market's surge this week

By Editorial Staff
4/11/2014 9:45:00 AM

On Thursday, April 10, energy watchers got an eyeful when natural gas futures rallied 4% (at one point) to end the day near a one-month high. According to mainstream experts, the impetus for the surge was a bullish U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly storage report. There’s just one problem: The new data didn’t spark a rally. A rather mature Elliott wave pattern did.

Filed Under: charts, crude oil, Elliott wave, natural gas

Category: Energy


Crude Oil: After a 5% Gain, a 7% Loss?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/17/2014 3:30:00 PM

Crude oil finished February with a bang: a 5% gain for the month! That may have been bad news for U.S. drivers and people needing to heat their homes (which is to say, everyone), but energy investors and traders probably had a good month. The question on their minds was, would the rally continue? If you glance at the news headlines...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Energy


Natural Gas: Strange Days
EWI's Energy Pro Service goes up against "the widow maker" natural gas with objective Elliott wave analysis

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2014 5:30:00 PM

Over the last few weeks, the Sochi Olympic Games figure skating competition wasn't the only place you could see gravity-defying twists and turns. I'm talking about the dramatic combination lift, then death-drop witnessed by natural gas prices.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, natural gas

Category: Energy


Monster Moves in Natural Gas
How EWI's Energy Pro Service helps you navigate volatility in natgas

By Nico Isaac
1/31/2014 6:30:00 PM

Over the past few days, severe weather conditions caught thousands of people in the southern U.S. off guard. Many natural gas speculators know that frustration all too well. Over the same period, wild market moves caught them by surprise, too.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, natural gas

Category: Energy


How to Analyze Crude Oil When There’s No Data
No government reports? EWI still had access to all the necessary data to anticipate crude oil's September-October sell-off

By Nico Isaac
10/29/2013 7:30:00 PM

According to fundamental analysis of financial markets, the No. 1 cause of a market's price moves is external news events. Possible catalysts range from climate changes to political disruptions. One glaring problem with this setup: What happens on a day when there isn't any news at all to report? How do you know which way a market's prices are going to move?

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis

Category: Energy


Hooked on Crude Oil
A real world example of Elliott wave analysis adjusting to the past price action in oil

By Nico Isaac
10/8/2013 5:00:00 PM

One big flaw of mainstream financial analysis is that it uses a specific fundamental bait to hook traders.  Once they are caught, these trout .. I mean, traders … are forced to go wherever the reel draws them in, powerless to resist. The Wave Principle, on the other hand, is founded on a number of key rules and guidelines that enable you to adjust your Elliott wave counts according to current price action.  No letting the hook get set.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis

Category: Energy


All is Not Quiet on the Crude Oil Front
Why a multiyear contracting triangle under way in crude oil could indicate drama ahead

By Nico Isaac
9/23/2013 5:00:00 PM

Have you heard the word "quiet" used much in reference to trading? In mainstream financial reports, you often see it in this kind of phrase, "All is quiet in [market x] as there is no fundamental catalyst to provide direction."  What if we told you that this unassuming, five-letter word is capable of leading investors away from major opportunities?

Filed Under: contracting triangle, crude oil, Elliott wave, Traders

Category: Energy


In Search of the 'Syria Effect' of Soaring Crude Oil
In late June, Energy Specialty Service turned bullish crude oil and called for new 2013 highs

By Nico Isaac
8/28/2013 5:30:00 PM

On August 28, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in two years. And, according to the mainstream financial experts, one main factor is behind the energy's strength: the "Syria Effect." But as our story today reveals, crude oil's recent uptrend began long before the alleged chemical attack on August 21.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Traders

Category: Energy


Natural Gas’s Déjà Vu Opportunity
See how a third-wave move was behind the market's 60% sell-off in 2011

By Nico Isaac
8/22/2013 5:30:00 PM

In January 2011, the natural gas market took one step over a bearish cliff that would see prices fall 60% in value over the next 16 months. The power of that move is the epitome of one kind of Elliott wave pattern: a third wave. Behold the wonder.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, natural gas, Traders

Category: Energy


Crude Oil: Timing the Turns
Markets rarely move in a straight line for long. Elliott waves help you time the turns.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/8/2013 3:15:00 PM

Here’s how you could summarize the contrarian approach to investing: Contrarians look for opportunities when others give up. Elliott wave analysis helps you time those moments. Consider the recent case with crude oil. About a week ago on July 30, you may have seen this headline...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Energy


Oil Prices and the Ship of Sad Fools
Elliott wave patterns make a case for whether crude oil's century-long bull market is over

By Nico Isaac
8/1/2013 4:15:00 PM

The time is early to mid-2008. The phenomenon known as Peak Oil Panic is alive and well amid a perfect storm of bullish fundamentals. But instead of a runaway rally, oil prices turned and crashed  78% in just five months. It's important to understand that the 2008 example was not a one-off. Three years later in 2011, the fundamental backdrop in crude again supported a long-term rising trend.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Robert Prechter

Category: Energy


Rising Oil Prices Keep the Markets Up at Night -- Needlessly
Our historic chart explains why

By Nico Isaac
7/11/2013 5:45:00 PM

One clear and starry night, a healthy stock market bull was sleeping in the pasture. Suddenly the sound of a snapping twig woke the bull from his slumber. He opened his eyes, and there before him stood the giant, black blob of soaring crude oil prices.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, crude oil, Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter

Category: Energy


Crude Oil Soars Above $100: Egypt or Elliott?
Our chart reveals the clear winner

By Nico Isaac
7/3/2013 1:30:00 PM

Wednesday July 3, 2013: The star of the financial show is crude oil. Prices finally break out of a sideways holding pattern and soar above $100, to the highest level in two years. The reason for the rise, you ask? Well, that depends. According to the financial media, crude's rally is a response to political turmoil in Egypt

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Traders

Category: Energy


Crude Oil May Head Back Above $100 If...
Objective analysis of crude oil's near-term trend provides key levels to support higher prices

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2013 1:00:00 PM

Wednesday June 12 quickly turned into a cooler-talking day for crude oil investors, mostly because the market completely ignored the bearish fundamental backdrop. "Crude does not have any real reason to turn around and rally," reported one news source. Yet, rally is exactly what crude prices did.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy


Natural Gas (and UNG): Will Summer Heat Cool off Prices Even More?
While mainstream analysts worry about "fundamentals," here's what stands out to our own energy market expert.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/12/2013 5:45:00 PM

On June 12, crude oil hit a three-week high. Yet another key member of the energy complex, natural gas, did the opposite and fell to a two-month low. The drop was blamed on expectation of "a bigger-than-average increase in U.S. stockpiles," which "doesn’t bode well for higher prices in the future.” Looking at the trend over the past few weeks, it's easy to understand such bearish opinions...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, natural gas, technical analysis

Category: Energy


Is the Natural Gas Boom Only Just Beginning?
Supply/Demand data is NOT the key to unlock the long-term trend

By Nico Isaac
5/31/2013 4:15:00 PM

Over the past year, the natural gas market has gone from Tony Stark to Iron Man. Meaning, from the April 2012 low natgas prices have skyrocketed 120% to the loftiest level in two years. Which raises the question: Is this only the start of the natural gas boom?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, natural gas, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy


Three Things Crude Oil MUST Do to Wake the Bear
Don't get caught in the demand data crosshairs.

By Nico Isaac
5/15/2013 3:00:00 PM

"News is irrelevant to trends." This revelation comes straight out of the pages of Robert Prechter's 2004 book "Prechter's Perspective." This notion completely goes against the gospel of mainstream economic wisdom. It also happens to be true, as the recent media storm surrounding crude oil makes plain.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Traders

Category: Energy


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.