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Crude Oil: From Chaos to Clarity?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/17/2014 3:15:00 PM

This chart shows you what oil has done over the past three years: In a word, one big nothing. Crude trades today about where it was in mid-2011. You can bet that’s why...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, technical analysis

Category: Energy

Seeing Natural Gas's Spike from an Elliott Wave Perspective
Look beyond supply data to find the impetus for the market's surge this week

By Editorial Staff
4/11/2014 9:45:00 AM

On Thursday, April 10, energy watchers got an eyeful when natural gas futures rallied 4% (at one point) to end the day near a one-month high. According to mainstream experts, the impetus for the surge was a bullish U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly storage report. There’s just one problem: The new data didn’t spark a rally. A rather mature Elliott wave pattern did.

Filed Under: charts, crude oil, Elliott wave, natural gas

Category: Energy

Crude Oil: After a 5% Gain, a 7% Loss?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
3/17/2014 3:30:00 PM

Crude oil finished February with a bang: a 5% gain for the month! That may have been bad news for U.S. drivers and people needing to heat their homes (which is to say, everyone), but energy investors and traders probably had a good month. The question on their minds was, would the rally continue? If you glance at the news headlines...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Energy

Natural Gas: Strange Days
EWI's Energy Pro Service goes up against "the widow maker" natural gas with objective Elliott wave analysis

By Nico Isaac
2/26/2014 5:30:00 PM

Over the last few weeks, the Sochi Olympic Games figure skating competition wasn't the only place you could see gravity-defying twists and turns. I'm talking about the dramatic combination lift, then death-drop witnessed by natural gas prices.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, natural gas

Category: Energy

Monster Moves in Natural Gas
How EWI's Energy Pro Service helps you navigate volatility in natgas

By Nico Isaac
1/31/2014 6:30:00 PM

Over the past few days, severe weather conditions caught thousands of people in the southern U.S. off guard. Many natural gas speculators know that frustration all too well. Over the same period, wild market moves caught them by surprise, too.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, natural gas

Category: Energy

How to Analyze Crude Oil When There’s No Data
No government reports? EWI still had access to all the necessary data to anticipate crude oil's September-October sell-off

By Nico Isaac
10/29/2013 7:30:00 PM

According to fundamental analysis of financial markets, the No. 1 cause of a market's price moves is external news events. Possible catalysts range from climate changes to political disruptions. One glaring problem with this setup: What happens on a day when there isn't any news at all to report? How do you know which way a market's prices are going to move?

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis

Category: Energy

Hooked on Crude Oil
A real world example of Elliott wave analysis adjusting to the past price action in oil

By Nico Isaac
10/8/2013 5:00:00 PM

One big flaw of mainstream financial analysis is that it uses a specific fundamental bait to hook traders.  Once they are caught, these trout .. I mean, traders … are forced to go wherever the reel draws them in, powerless to resist. The Wave Principle, on the other hand, is founded on a number of key rules and guidelines that enable you to adjust your Elliott wave counts according to current price action.  No letting the hook get set.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Fibonacci, fundamental analysis

Category: Energy

All is Not Quiet on the Crude Oil Front
Why a multiyear contracting triangle under way in crude oil could indicate drama ahead

By Nico Isaac
9/23/2013 5:00:00 PM

Have you heard the word "quiet" used much in reference to trading? In mainstream financial reports, you often see it in this kind of phrase, "All is quiet in [market x] as there is no fundamental catalyst to provide direction."  What if we told you that this unassuming, five-letter word is capable of leading investors away from major opportunities?

Filed Under: contracting triangle, crude oil, Elliott wave, Traders

Category: Energy

In Search of the 'Syria Effect' of Soaring Crude Oil
In late June, Energy Specialty Service turned bullish crude oil and called for new 2013 highs

By Nico Isaac
8/28/2013 5:30:00 PM

On August 28, crude oil prices soared to their highest level in two years. And, according to the mainstream financial experts, one main factor is behind the energy's strength: the "Syria Effect." But as our story today reveals, crude oil's recent uptrend began long before the alleged chemical attack on August 21.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, fundamental analysis, Traders

Category: Energy

Natural Gas’s Déjà Vu Opportunity
See how a third-wave move was behind the market's 60% sell-off in 2011

By Nico Isaac
8/22/2013 5:30:00 PM

In January 2011, the natural gas market took one step over a bearish cliff that would see prices fall 60% in value over the next 16 months. The power of that move is the epitome of one kind of Elliott wave pattern: a third wave. Behold the wonder.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, natural gas, Traders

Category: Energy

Crude Oil: Timing the Turns
Markets rarely move in a straight line for long. Elliott waves help you time the turns.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
8/8/2013 3:15:00 PM

Here’s how you could summarize the contrarian approach to investing: Contrarians look for opportunities when others give up. Elliott wave analysis helps you time those moments. Consider the recent case with crude oil. About a week ago on July 30, you may have seen this headline...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, futures trading, technical analysis, trade targets

Category: Energy

Oil Prices and the Ship of Sad Fools
Elliott wave patterns make a case for whether crude oil's century-long bull market is over

By Nico Isaac
8/1/2013 4:15:00 PM

The time is early to mid-2008. The phenomenon known as Peak Oil Panic is alive and well amid a perfect storm of bullish fundamentals. But instead of a runaway rally, oil prices turned and crashed  78% in just five months. It's important to understand that the 2008 example was not a one-off. Three years later in 2011, the fundamental backdrop in crude again supported a long-term rising trend.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, financial forecast, fundamental analysis, Robert Prechter

Category: Energy

Rising Oil Prices Keep the Markets Up at Night -- Needlessly
Our historic chart explains why

By Nico Isaac
7/11/2013 5:45:00 PM

One clear and starry night, a healthy stock market bull was sleeping in the pasture. Suddenly the sound of a snapping twig woke the bull from his slumber. He opened his eyes, and there before him stood the giant, black blob of soaring crude oil prices.

Filed Under: Bob Prechter, crude oil, Elliott Wave Theorist, Robert Prechter

Category: Energy

Crude Oil Soars Above $100: Egypt or Elliott?
Our chart reveals the clear winner

By Nico Isaac
7/3/2013 1:30:00 PM

Wednesday July 3, 2013: The star of the financial show is crude oil. Prices finally break out of a sideways holding pattern and soar above $100, to the highest level in two years. The reason for the rise, you ask? Well, that depends. According to the financial media, crude's rally is a response to political turmoil in Egypt

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Traders

Category: Energy

Crude Oil May Head Back Above $100 If...
Objective analysis of crude oil's near-term trend provides key levels to support higher prices

By Nico Isaac
6/13/2013 1:00:00 PM

Wednesday June 12 quickly turned into a cooler-talking day for crude oil investors, mostly because the market completely ignored the bearish fundamental backdrop. "Crude does not have any real reason to turn around and rally," reported one news source. Yet, rally is exactly what crude prices did.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Robert Prechter, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy

Natural Gas (and UNG): Will Summer Heat Cool off Prices Even More?
While mainstream analysts worry about "fundamentals," here's what stands out to our own energy market expert.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/12/2013 5:45:00 PM

On June 12, crude oil hit a three-week high. Yet another key member of the energy complex, natural gas, did the opposite and fell to a two-month low. The drop was blamed on expectation of "a bigger-than-average increase in U.S. stockpiles," which "doesn’t bode well for higher prices in the future.” Looking at the trend over the past few weeks, it's easy to understand such bearish opinions...

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, futures trading, natural gas, technical analysis

Category: Energy

Is the Natural Gas Boom Only Just Beginning?
Supply/Demand data is NOT the key to unlock the long-term trend

By Nico Isaac
5/31/2013 4:15:00 PM

Over the past year, the natural gas market has gone from Tony Stark to Iron Man. Meaning, from the April 2012 low natgas prices have skyrocketed 120% to the loftiest level in two years. Which raises the question: Is this only the start of the natural gas boom?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, natural gas, supply and demand, Traders

Category: Energy

Three Things Crude Oil MUST Do to Wake the Bear
Don't get caught in the demand data crosshairs.

By Nico Isaac
5/15/2013 3:00:00 PM

"News is irrelevant to trends." This revelation comes straight out of the pages of Robert Prechter's 2004 book "Prechter's Perspective." This notion completely goes against the gospel of mainstream economic wisdom. It also happens to be true, as the recent media storm surrounding crude oil makes plain.

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, fundamental analysis, Traders

Category: Energy

The End of A Multi-Month Holding Pattern in Crude Oil?
EWI's Metals Specialty Service uses pattern analysis to a potential post-triangle thrust in crude oil prices.

By Nico Isaac
5/8/2013 4:30:00 PM

For many traders, a long sideways trend in prices chart is akin to getting stuck on a one-lane road behind a very slow car. Those are the times when patience wears thin. The mainstream financial media cloaks words that would be spoken in anger into family-friendly phrases like, "Equivocal price action" and "Waiting on a fundamental catalyst to provide direction."

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Traders

Category: Energy

Crude Oil's Near Term Trend: Does Every Millisecond Count?
The ultimate head start in navigating crude oil is Elliott wave analysis

By Nico Isaac
5/2/2013 11:00:00 AM

When it comes to trading commodity markets, time is not a sensitive issue, it's the sensitive issue. That truth was reinforced by a recent Wall Street Journal article titled "High-Speed Traders Exploit Loophole."  That loophole is the time lag between when high-speed computer traders receive order confirmations on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, vs.when the public receives confirmations -- specifically, a lag of "one-to-ten milliseconds"  (a thousand milliseconds equals one second.)

Filed Under: crude oil, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, online trading, Traders

Category: Energy

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