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Forex: How to Control Risk with Elliott Wave Analysis
Elliott is one of the tools that helps you to protect your capital from overtrading and excessive risk

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
Tue, 06 Dec 2011 22:15:00 ET
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After 2-1/2 days spent at Peter Brandt's "How to Trade for a Living" traders' "boot camp," I have a whole new respect for risk management.

Peter is obsessed with risk control. I'm sure that's why his trading track record is so astonishing. If you have the opportunity to attend the next "boot camp," please do. But until then, let's apply some of Peter Brandt's lessons to forex trading.
 
You cannot fit all the components of an effective risk management strategy into one brief article. (Brandt spends at least half-a-day on it, and returns to it again and again.) Yet we can consider one important element, namely trading frequency.
 
New forex traders tend to overtrade -- i.e., take too many trades. Forex markets move 24 hours a day, sometimes even on weekends. So the temptation "to be in" is very strong. But overtrading can expose you to excessive risk and demolish your trading capital -- fast.
 
Let me use an analogy. One of my best friends is a total pro in the use of firearms. He can also tell you the most obscure details about the most obscure of guns. We were recently talking about the advantages of semi-automatic vs. bolt-action rifles, and he told me this very interesting fact:
 
"Your accuracy will probably be better with a bolt-action rifle. It has nothing to do with the rifle itself. It's just that with a semi-auto, you may tend to take the next shot a little too quickly because it loads the next round for you. With bolt action, you have to load the new round yourself, by physically moving the bolt with your hand. As a result, you take more time between each shot -- and also more time acquiring the target. You don't just go 'pow, pow, pow' through the whole magazine, you understand? You take your time. And your average accuracy goes up."
 
That's what flashed through my mind as I listened to Peter Brandt explain the dangers of overtrading. When you go "pow, pow, pow" through a dozen trades in a day (or an hour), you're moving too fast to "acquire the target" -- and end up exposing yourself to too much risk.
 
Elliott wave analysis can help you avoid overtrading. EWI's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens says that within any forex pair's Elliott wave pattern, there are only four waves that offer the best trading opportunities: wave 3, wave 5, wave A and wave C. (You can learn more at our upcoming LIVE forex trading course, "How to Use the Wave Principle to Maximize Your Forex Trading.")
 
When you slow down and find those four key Elliott wave trade set-ups, you might just see your "average accuracy" improve over time.
 
How do you know which forex markets are at those four key junctures right now? Our forex-focused Currency Specialty Service shows you the latest wave labels for 12 forex pairs 24 hours a day. 

Take a look at what you get >>

Tags: currency, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, forex, forex trading, Swiss franc, U.S. dollar, usd/jpy
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