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Home > Asian Markets
This "Asian Tiger" Is on the Move: What's Next?
Arrows Have Pointed Upward for Taiwan: Will The Trend Continue?

By Bob Stokes
Wed, 05 Jan 2011 16:45:00 ET
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The Taiwan TAIEX and economy have made a comeback. 

This chart shows what the financial and economic situation looked like about a year and a half ago.

 
"The end of an 18-year...correction aligned with a global stock market collapse to generate a record decline in Taiwan’s GDP in the first quarter—minus 10.2%. That’s a fitting echo of a record bear market...Taiwan’s economic worst should soon be over, if it is not already."
Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast, July 2009
 
Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast editor Mark Galasiewski was spot-on when he wrote that "Taiwan's economic worst should soon be over..." The Wall Street Journal reports (Jan. 3) that Taiwan enjoyed "GDP growth of 9.98% in 2010," and said growth is expected to be 4.82% in 2011. 

You'll also notice the arrow pointing upward in the chart above, which Mark used to indicate his forecast for Taiwan TAIEX prices. The chart below -- from the January 2011 Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast -- shows that share prices indeed climbed northward.

 

 
Prices moved upward from the low of a "contracting triangle" which concluded the 18-year correction. The Taiwan TAIEX reached a two and a half year high (8,997) on January 4. That's a 40% climb from the time the first chart above published in late June 2009.
 
What's next for Taiwan's economy and stock market?
 
AFF editor Mark Galasiewski does more than keep you on top of financial and economic developments in Taiwan -- each month he also covers China, India, Japan, Australia and other markets in the Asian-Pacific region. Follow this link for your risk-free read of the Asian-Pacific Financial Forecast.

Tags: contracting triangle, SENSEX, Shanghai Composite Index, Taiwan index, technical analysis, technical indicators
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