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Sell Stocks Now?
Not so fast, Jones

By Jeff Reckseit
Tue, 04 Aug 2009 16:15:00 ET
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During WWII, a platoon commander faced the uncomfortable task of telling one of his troops that his mother had just passed away.  He decided to have them all line up and announced, “Everyone with a mother still alive, step forward”.    As most of the men advanced, he looked over at the unfortunate soldier and said, “Not so fast, Jones.”
 
Perhaps you've expected the stock market to turn down dramatically for the past few weeks.  If you follow contrarian indicators, the “worst-is-over” crowd helps your case.  Fundamentally, there is no shortage of evidence either. Unemployment is getting worse.  Housing is still going down.  So are profits.  This market has to go down – right?
 
So why are we saying “not so fast”?  Simple: We want you to be right.  Just as importantly, here's what we hope you avoid:  Go short. Get stopped out. Go short. Get stopped out. Go short. Get stopped out.  Emotionally, financially, and even physically this can wear you down.  Markets will do that.  Especially corrective waves, which is the pattern we’re in now.  They can subdivide and subdivide until you’re figuratively lying exhausted in the gutter.  Then the market tanks – but without you.  It happens so often that it's a cliché.
 
Elliott Wave analysis can help.  As a company, we’ve learned a few things over the last 30 years, to wit:  the stock market reflects social psychology.  This psychology drives the wave patterns that we see in the stock market, and they are consistent over time.  And because the wave patterns are repetitive and recognizable, we have a model of effective forecasting – the Wave Principle.
 
Let our team of analysts help you identify where were are in the pattern and what to expect in the coming weeks and months.  They will deliver the trade right to your inbox with trailing stops to follow.  Now, Jones!   …read more…

Tags: Sell Stocks, contrarian indicators, wave patterns

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.