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EUR/USD: Clarity Comes From Having Perspective
Even in tough markets, Elliott wave analysis offers you an edge.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
Thu, 16 Apr 2009 16:00:00 ET
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This is a good week to talk about clarity of Elliott wave patterns in forex market charts. For example, take a look at the messy patterns in the euro-dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) since Monday, April 13 (circled in red):
 
This choppy, overlapping, uncommitted decline from Monday's peak has been very difficult to trade. Still, even at moments like this, Elliott wave analysis offers you an edge you won't get elsewhere.
 
Here's what I mean. Yes, this week's action in the EUR/USD has been tough to read -- that's why you see a "?" in the chart above. But what if you "zoom out" and look at the larger picture? You can do that with wave analysis. Above, you see a 75-minute chart; let's now go to a daily one. (Both charts copied from EWI's intensive Currency Specialty Service.)
 
 
Suddenly, the picture is not so messy! It's clear that from the December 2008 top, the decline into the February bottom unfolded in five waves. If you know even the basics of Elliott wave analysis, you know that five-wave moves are called impulses, and they always point in the direction of the larger trend. You can also see that the action since the February low has unfolded as a three-wave move: those are always corrections that go against the larger trend.
 
Now it's getting clearer, isn't it? Don't worry that this week's action may be hard to read: Elliott wave patterns usually clear up sooner than later. And, from the larger picture it's already obvious what bias the EUR/USD currently has.
 
In fact, if the EUR/USD continues along the path Elliott waves are painting, its next move will likely to be what Elliotticians refer to as "a wonder to behold." That's something no forex trader wants to miss. Get the latest details now in our intensive Currency Specialty Service.
 

9 Major Currency Pairs, 24 Hours a Day. Stay on top of the forex market with intraday and daily forecasts from EWI's intensive Currency Specialty Service. Details.

Tags: eur/usd, euro-dllar exchange rate, forex, Currencies

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.