Elliott Wave International | World's Largest Market Forecasting Firm Since 1979
Please Log In
 
 | What's My Password?

Home > Commodities
Commodities: The Long-Term Picture

By Nico Isaac
Fri, 16 Jan 2009 16:30:00 ET
Email |  Print  |  RSS Feeds Generated by Elliott Wave International RSS |  My Updates
Bookmark and share It!

Once the revered rock star of the financial world, the commodity sector has gone from Fame to Shame. Now, the question is: Will commodities once again walk the bullish line in 2009?
The brand-new January 2009 Monthly Futures Junctures (MFJ) has the most original and objective answer out there.
In the opening “Monthly Feature” segment, Futures Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy plucks one market off the vine whose wave patterns are ripe for the picking. In this case: Cotton. On three pages and with four compelling price charts, Jeffrey identifies a dramatic, decades-long contracting triangle underway -- a "straightforward" sign of whether the November advance is here to stay.
Served up next is MFJ’s “Wave Watch.” Here, Jeffrey provides two labeled snapshots per 12 markets -- each of which include clearly marked trendlines, up/downside price targets, support/resistance levels, and bold arrows pointing prices in their next likely direction. Off the top are these familiar favorites:
Coffee Talk: The July 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures “Feature” saw the bullish caffeine buzz wearing off and wrote: “The larger trend in coffee is down. We identify the June peak as a tradable top and expect a sell off to below the May low.”
A jaw-dropping, five-month sell-off to 26-month lows followed. Now what?
Sugar Story: The September 2008 MFJ Monthly Feature” told a “sour” sugar story and wrote: “Wave patterns are exceptionally clear… and argue for a sizable selloff. Watch out Below! Sugar may once again be on the verge of another precipitous decline."
Prices plunged to an 11-month in December, and have been "mixed" ever since. The January MFJ steps up to the plate with a new forecast.
Cocoa: The Million "Dollar" Question: When cocoa prices plunged to an 11-month low in mid-November, the mainstream experts cited one culprit: "The stronger dollar weighs on the prices of soft commodities" (AP). Problem: From there, cocoa took off to the upside in a powerful rally to three-month highs, LONG before the U.S. dollar turned down in early December. The new MFJ tells it like it is… and will be.
(Is the Worst Behind Commodities? The new, January 2009 Monthly Futures Junctures is hot off the virtual press and presents the most comprehensive and objective coverage of the long-term trend changes in store for the world's leading commodity markets.Act Now)
Wheat & Soybeans: The December 2008 MFJ "Wave Watch" set the stage for powerful fourth-wave rebounds: to above $6 per bushel in wheat, and the $10 mark in soybeans. And, after wilting to respective contract lows, BOTH grains staged significant rallies to their highest levels in three months.
The January MFJ shows whether more gains are to come.
Corn On the C-objective Analysis: Follow along:
  • January 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures: "The advance will continue to ultimately beyond the July 1996 peak onto a much higher level, closer to 725-750. [Then] we expect the move to be completely retraced once complete." Prices fulfilled this forecast to a T.
  • July 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures: Right as corn prices were nearing their record peak, Jeffrey wrote: "Evidence suggest the five wave move up is complete."
  • August 2008 Monthly Futures Junctures: "Corn has put in a multi-year top."
The new,  January MFJ grabs the baton.
Live Cattle: Speaking of corn: What happened to the widely popular notion that soaring corn prices -- the leading ingredient in livestock feed -- were slaughtering the live cattle market? Higher feed costs = lower demand, so the story went. Yet, both markets hit their respective peaks this summer and spent the following months in a free fall. MFJ is grade A analysis.
Believe it or not, that's just the beginning. The January 2009 Monthly Futures Junctures presents in-depth analysis, original price charts and objective commentary on a total of 12 major markets. Start the new year off on the right footing, with a risk-free subscription today.
 

Tags: Commodities, coffe, sugar, Corn, wheat, soybeans, live cattle, futures

Rating: - based on [21 rating(s)]
Rate this content:
  

People who read this also read:
Categories
Most Recent Articles
- 3/19/2010 5:15:00 PM
Can You Use the Wave Principle to Trade Individual Stocks?
- 3/19/2010 1:00:00 PM
Commodity Round-up: A Season Of Change
- 3/18/2010 6:00:00 PM
Take Time from March Madness for 2010's Most Important Investment Report
- 3/18/2010 2:15:00 PM
2010 Academy Awards: Why Did Such Negative Characters Win?
- 3/18/2010 1:45:00 PM
The Future Potential In Grains As Per The U.S. Dollar

FREE Report: Discovering How to Use the Elliott Wave Principle
 

The Mania Chronicles 

With 700 pages and a large, 8-1/2" x 11" format, it's only a "book" in name. In fact, it's an encyclopedic reference that covers every twist and turn of the rise and (initial) fall of the historic financial bubble - all observed and anticipated in real time via The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and The Elliott Wave Theorist.
 
 

To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> George Soros' Reflexivity Theory: Similar to Prechter's socionomics?
> Prechter's Conquer the Crash: "Too negative" or a life saver?
> Islamic radicalism: Is "the magazine cover indicator" warning of the risk of new attacks?
> Currency trading: Which time frame is best?
> Obama: Why did his approval ratings slide even as stocks rallied?
> "Cash on the sidelines": Won't it keep stocks rallying?
> Weekends and trading halts: How do they factor into Elliott wave count?
> Socialism or capitalism: Socionomically, what's more likely next for the U.S.?
> Elliott wave rules: Why do I sometimes see rule violations on short time frame but not larger ones?
> "Improving" the Wave Principle: What's your take on attempts to do that?

Club EWI Members: Click Here

 
Press Room
IN THE MEDIA
Browse Recent Media Articles that Mention EWI or Feature EWI Analysts

As the markets enter what Bob Prechter calls "the point of recognition," we notice that mainstream media pundits who get it start to notice us, our analysts and our forecasts. You can browse dozens of recent media articles about EWI in the EWI Press Room.
 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.

Sign up for Your Free Elliott Wave Newsletters!
The Independent - What's this?
The Weekly Select - What's this?
Close [X]