Elliott Wave International | World's Largest Market Forecasting Firm Since 1979
Please Login
 
 | What's My Password?
EWI

Home > Precious Metals
Will Gold Provide Shelter From The Storm?
The not-so safety of “safe haven” thinking

By Nico Isaac
Tue, 23 Sep 2008 17:00:00 ET
Email |  Print  |  RSS Feeds Generated by Elliott Wave International RSS |  My Updates
Bookmark and share It!

As the stock market continues its violent 400-point swings back and forth, one question floods the minds of investors across the country: Where is a secure place to park my money, besides the floor boards?

And, like a broken record, the conventional wisdom repeats, “Gold, gold, gold…”

News Flash: Over the past six months, the violent economic winds that left the entire U.S. housing and financial sectors in tatters ALSO flattened the precious metals “safe” haven into a pancake.
Case in point: From its March 17 two-decade peak, gold prices plummeted nearly 30% to end at a one-year low on September 11. During that time, the financial storm took no prisoners:
  • March: Bear Stearns’ bailout. April: The biggest first quarter revenue loss in Citigroup Inc.’s entire 196-year history and a 77% plunge in Bank of America profits.
  • July 14 to July 18: The third largest bank failure in U.S. history and bank run: IndyMac.
  • September 7 to September 9: $200 billion rescue of indebted mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. And, the #4 investment bank Lehman Brothers suffers a 90% drop in its share price. Bankruptcy is inevitable
(Golden Opportunity In Gold: Right now, the September 23 Elliott Wave International’s Specialty Service Metal’s outlook reveals how high yellow metal prices are set to fly. Click here for up-to-the-minute GOLD analysis on all time frames.)  
YET -- on Monday September 22, as gold prices soared to a seven-week high, the mainstream experts pulled out the “safe haven” appeal card as if “flight to risk” is a new incentive.
We know better. In fact, the most recent uptrend in GOLD got started on September 11 -- more than a week BEFORE American Insurance Group (AIG) went belly up AND the Bush Administration announced a $700 billion bailout for the ravaged financial market. 
And, in anticipation of the market’s turn for the better, the September 10 Specialty Service Precious Metals Outlook went on high, bullish alert and wrote: “I think we are now likely at a crucial bottom. The [recent] low registered a second 300-minute Relative Strength Index divergence and could be an important downside completion.”
Don’t be lulled into a false sense of “safe haven” thinking. Get objective and original insight into the near- and long-term trend changes in store for Gold via the latest Specialty Service Metals Outlook. Start today.

Tags: Gold, Precious metals, Bear Stearns, lehman brothers, AIG, safe-haven

Rating: - based on [70 rating(s)]
Rate this content:
  

How to Trade in a Bear Market | Dec. 5 & 6 in Atlanta, GA.
People who read this also read:
What to Think About On This Day
Bank Bailout Implodes
Treasury Secretary Didn't Answer His Own Question: Why?
EURUSD: Up 200 Pips, Down 300…Where to Next?
Crude Oil Prices: About To Cross A Line
Categories
Most Recent Articles
- 11/21/2008 4:45:00 PM
The Next Big Move In Crude, Copper, and Commodities Is…
- 11/21/2008 4:45:00 PM
"No One Could Have Predicted It" vs. Facts
- 11/21/2008 4:30:00 PM
Look Ahead to What the Bear Market Portends
- 11/20/2008 6:15:00 PM
What to Think About On This Day
- 11/20/2008 6:00:00 PM
Bank Bailout Implodes
 

Announcing EWI's New eBook ...

EWI's New Trading eBook: How You Can Identify Turning Points Using FibonacciThis powerful 90-
page eBook will help you learn to formulate and execute your own trading strategy by combining wave analysis with Fibonacci relationships.


To access EWI's valuable Q&A message board, all you need is a free Club EWI profile. Create Yours Now >>
> Are even U.S. Treasuries becoming too risky?
> Is Bob Prechter planning to update his Conquer the Crash?
> Will deflation be followed by hyperinflation?
> Why is the U.S. dollar rallying while the U.S. economy is tanking?
> Is the 'Plunge Protection Team' holding up the stock market?
> Should I be concerned about the confiscation of 401(k) and IRA accounts?
> Are money market funds a good strategy to beat deflation?
> Will the Federal Reserve survive this bear market?
> What business would be good to own in a deflation?
> Will this bear market reduce people's tolerance to liberal ideas?

Club EWI Members: Click Here

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.