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Corn And Wheat: Never A Dull Moment
Surprise? Yes. Unprepared? No way.

By Euan Wilson
Mon, 30 Jun 2008 17:00:00 ET
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"What separates a pro from an amateur? The ability to not throw a fit when the market doesn't go your way! Assess, adapt, relabel and move on!" – J.B., a Club EWI member. 

Expecting markets to always behave according to your trading models is futile, and experienced traders know that. Being prepared to "assess, adapt, relabel and move on!" is an excellent piece of advice, because markets will throw you a curve ball more often than you'd expect.


Curve balls in the market can be a welcome sight or an uninvited pest; but either way it's important to be prepared for them. Elliott Wave International's Futures Junctures Service has the tools to keep you in the strike zone.

Corn futures have done just that recently. As Elliott Wave International's Daily Futures Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy says in the June 30 issue, "What does today’s selloff in Corn mean? For starters, it proves me wrong."
 
There's that "curve ball." And now comes the "assess, adapt, relabel and move on!" part. Take a look at these two Elliott wave patterns:
 

Basic flat

 

Expanded flat

 

Both patterns are three-wave moves – corrections. Except, in expanded flats, wave B ends beyond the start of wave A.
 
"Expanded Flats" writes Jeffrey in the June 30 Daily Futures Junctures, using Corn futures as his example, "are easy to identify because waves A and B of this pattern subdivide into three waves each. Moreover, wave B ends past the origin of wave A.
 
"Now, most of you already know that wave B of an Expanded Flat is typically limited to a 1.382 multiple of wave A. But do you also know what the most common Fibonacci multiple for wave C of an Expanded Flat is? If not, the answer is 1.618."
 

Based on this information – a nuance of the developing wave pattern and a common Fibonacci-derived price target – Jeffrey then makes a price projection for the developing move in Corn. (And no, it's not a bullish one, at least for the time being.) Have a look at what he's thinking will happen next:

 

 

Jeffrey has assessed, adapted, relabeled. Now, he moves on. The markets may change; but no matter what changes they make, you can always be sure about one thing: Jeffrey will be ready for it.

 


Commodities are never dull as Monday's price action showed. But the full depth of fascination they have to offer is best viewed through the lens of expert technical analysis; and there simply isn't a finer source of market analysis and forecasting for commodities than EWI's Futures Junctures Service.

Tags: Corn, wheat, Futures Junctures

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.