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Video (Forex): "Prepare for a Surprising U.S. Dollar Decline"
See how simple Elliott wave techniques can help you bet against the crowd's opinion.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
Tue, 27 May 2008 17:30:00 ET
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Below is an excerpt from a Market Insight comment that Elliott Wave International's Currency Specialty Service editor Jim Martens posts regularly for his subscribers:
 
"5/20/2008 - I've been relatively quiet lately. I haven't had much to say. While I'm always entertaining the idea that my market outlook is incorrect, and I'm more than willing to explore alternate scenarios – that's what I do with most of my time – I simply [don't] see enough evidence to overcome the favored weak [U.S.] dollar outlook. It's not being stubborn. It's not overconfidence. I'm rarely overconfident. Perhaps that's the reason I'm an analyst and not a trader. To be a successful trader, you have to have a bias. You have to believe in your position. For me, having a position is emotional. The position is a distraction. If I have a position, I have a bias, and that works against being able to adjust to market action. I'm an analyst." 
 
The reason Jim has been "quiet" in sharing his "extra" thoughts with the subscribers of his Currency Specialty Service is because his outlook for the U.S. dollar has been on track for weeks. Why? Because the evidence has been pointing towards the weaker USD.
 

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What evidence, you ask? The price of oil, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, the European Central Bank's refusal to cut rates? No. The evidence Jim Martens relies on are Elliott wave patterns in the charts of the U.S. Dollar Index, euro-dollar (EURUSD) and other major and minor forex pairs.
 
For example, here is a 3-minute clip from a video update Jim Martens recorded for his Currency Specialty Service subscribers on May 9. If you remember, at that time, the USD had gained strongly, and rumors were flying that it would gain even more. But watch this video and see how simple Elliott wave techniques can help you bet against the crowd's opinion:
 
Note: You need a free Club EWI Membership to watch this video.
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Currency Specialty Service now and receive full-length video forecasts like these every week, on top of 24-hour-a-day forecasts. Your subscription also gets you instant free access to a free 49-minute webinar on how to trade forex with Elliott wave. The webinar, recorded live on March 25 by EWI's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens, covers topics such as:  
 
  • How do I identify trade set-ups?
  • How do I set protective stops using Elliott to help me manage risk?
  • How do I set price targets using Elliott?
  • How do I identify a wave pattern in real time forex trading on my screen?    
To watch this free 49-minute webinar now, subscribe to EWI's Currency Specialty Service and click on the "Video/Education" tab once you have logged in.

Tags: u.s. dollar, oil, Federal Reserve, european central bank, eurusd, euro-dollar, forex

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.