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VIDEO: Silver Frustrates Market Participants
Wouldn't investors feel less frustrated if they looked at the right causes for market behavior?

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
Wed, 23 Apr 2008 17:45:00 ET
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April 23 (Bloomberg) – Silver futures for July delivery tumbled 54.8 cents, or 3.1 percent, to $17.276 an ounce. Silver…has tumbled 5.7 percent in the past five sessions.
 
Gold fell to the lowest in almost three weeks… Participants continued to be frustrated by the metal's recent lack of response to outside drivers and by investor apathy. 
Most of the conventional financial analysts remain convinced that what moves market prices are "outside drivers": the Federal Reserve, interest rates, supply, demand, oil prices, you name it – anything BUT the actual collective mindset of traders and investors.
 
Investors are conditioned to think that markets are rational, so is it any wonder that when none of the "reasons" explain the trend, they feel frustrated?
 
We at Elliott Wave International hold a different view. Based on 30-plus years of observing the effects of "outside drivers" on market behavior, we believe that while those "drivers" can (and often do) cause temporary price spikes, they do not create the actual trend.
 
What does, you ask? Collective emotions of the traders and investors involved in that particular market do.
 
We also believe that investors' collective emotions are reflected in market charts. Furthermore, those "mood swings" unfold according to patterns – Elliott wave patterns. And once you determine where in that pattern prices are, you can predict where they may go next.
 
Last week, we shared with you an April 9 Gold and Silver video forecast by Mike Drakulich, the editor of EWI's Metals Specialty Service. (Watch it here, free, if you missed it.) Today, we would like to share with you another video – a short clip from a follow-up Gold and Silver forecast that Mike recorded for his subscribers on April 18.
 

Elliott Wave International's Metals Specialty Service brings your intraday and daily forecasts of Gold, Silver, Platinum, LME/COMEX Copper, Aluminum, plus regular coverage of Nickel, Zinc, Tin, Lead, HUI and NEM. Learn more here.
 
Compare silver's price action since last week to the forecast you'll see in this April 18 video. Don't you think market "participants" would feel less "frustrated" if they looked at the right causes for market behavior?
 
 

You will find Mike Drakulich's latest video forecast (April 23) inside Metals Specialty Service right now. The new video gives you a brand-new forecast for Gold and Silver. Watch it now via a subscription to EWI's Metals Specialty Service.

Tags: Silver, Federal Reserve, Nickel, Zinc, Tin, Lead, hui, NEM, Gold, Platinum, LME Copper, COMEX Copper, aluminum

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.