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It's Official: Swine Flu Is a Pandemic

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Thu, 11 Jun 2009 02:30:00 ET

"WHO declares first 21st century flu pandemic," reads a June 11 headline. To us here at Elliott Wave International, what continues to be most interesting is the timing of the swine flu outbreak. As we've reported before, disease epidemics are hardly random. Historically, they occur at specific moments in human history: when social mood is at a low.

It's Not Science Fiction, Isaac, it's Socionomics

Neil Beers — Tue, 09 Jun 2009 01:15:00 ET

In the 1940s, renowned science fiction writer Isaac Asimov began writing a trilogy of novels called the Foundation Series. Asimov’s protagonist discovers and develops “psychohistory,” a mathematical science that statistically predicts the general course of future events for large groups of people.

As it turns out, Asimov’s idea was actually science, minus the fiction. In the 1930s, a decade prior to Asimov's initial Foundation stories, Ralph Nelson Elliott made a discovery that became key to the development of socionomics, a new science of social prediction.

Social Mood, Stocks and Epidemics

Alan Hall — Mon, 11 May 2009 04:45:00 ET

As measured by the stock market, we recently completed a large wave in a powerfully-negative social-mood trend. It bottomed amid extremely pessimistic sentiment. Social stress reached higher levels than it has in decades. Soon after, H1N1 swine flu erupted and came right to the edge of being a pandemic. If this was the only such instance of disease breaking out after a social-mood decline, it might be coincidence, but there are numerous examples in the historical record.

"The Changes No One Else Sees Coming"

Robert Folsom — Fri, 08 May 2009 05:15:00 ET

Huge changes are happening already. And they are drastic in ways the overused political slogans never expected. Yet if anything, the political talk you now hear about "change" and the "public mood" are in fact pages from our playbook...

Swine Flu and Elliott Wave Analysis (Updated)

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Thu, 30 Apr 2009 06:00:00 ET

In light of the potential swine flu pandemic, it's worth mentioning that from an Elliott wave perspective, disease epidemics are hardly random. Take a look at these facts -- and don't miss the new study showing you the 600-year history of social mood as it relates to epidemic disease.

What Happened to The Bullish Books Sentiment Indicator?

Robert Folsom — Fri, 06 Mar 2009 04:45:00 ET

Several of us here at Elliott Wave International keep a regular eye on the sort of economic/investment books that seem popular on Amazon – call it a slightly unorthodox sentiment indicator...

Alan Greenspan and the “Trail of Casualties”

Alan Hall — Thu, 19 Feb 2009 04:15:00 ET

Bull market heroes become bear market scapegoats. Every hero and hero-wannabe should internalize this socionomic understanding and never forget it. For example, the large-degree shift in social mood that is driving the current bear market is also transforming Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan -- formerly known as the Maestro and "the savior of the world" -- into “The Master of Disaster”...

How Obama Won the Presidency

Gary Grimes — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 10:15:00 ET

Talent, intellect, determination and fund-raising aside, you must dig beneath the crust of stump-speech rhetoric to uncover the larger force driving Barack Obama to victory.

Defending Ebenezer Scrooge

Robert Folsom — Wed, 24 Dec 2008 11:30:00 ET

Christmas is no time for insults, but somehow it's the only season when someone can slap you with the one name that really hurts...

The National Christmas Tree… Indicator?

Alan Hall — Mon, 22 Dec 2008 05:15:00 ET

The National Christmas Tree has a fascinating history, especially at Christmastime. Like the price of gold, the height of the Tree has actually been “regulated” at times. In December 2006 I wrote a tongue-in-cheek piece for EWI's Market Watch page, which explained the correlation between stock prices and the height and number of lights on the National Christmas Tree.