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Sugar: On Track To Opportunity

Nico Isaac — Thu, 08 May 2008 05:00:00 ET

In the real world, the supposed well-oiled "machines" of financial markets respond less like KITT, the obedient car of TV’s “Knight Rider” and more like the demon-possessed trucks of Stephen King’s horror flick “Maximum Overdrive.” Case in point, the mid-April news reports claiming SUGAR's uptrend was being driven by High Crude Oil...

Cocoa: You Don't Want To Miss Next Wave

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 07 May 2008 06:15:00 ET

You may know that one of the Three Rules of Elliott states that, "Wave 2 can never retrace more than 100% of wave 1." By applying this rule in your trading, you always know the exact price point where your "wave 2" is no longer a wave two. Which means that you always know the exact price point where to place your stop-loss...

Coffee: Opportunity Brews

Nico Isaac — Mon, 05 May 2008 05:00:00 ET

Each day, the mainstream financial media engages in a game of Cat and Mouse. Here’s how it goes: Various commodity experts chase after the rapidly fleeing fundamentals in hopes of catching a “live” explanation for the day’s price action. For a real-world example, consider the chase of the usual suspects during COFFEE's winning streak in late February.

Soybeans: A Sizable Move Ahead?

Nico Isaac — Thu, 01 May 2008 05:30:00 ET

Something curious has happened on the way to the “Great Commodity Boom” taking the agricultural world by storm -- one of the most significant grains out there has been heading d-o-w-n, down: Soybeans...

Sugar and Orange Juice: Two Markets To Focus On

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 30 Apr 2008 05:00:00 ET

Sugar prices have been falling this week. "Of course, it's nice that prices are falling since we're looking down," writes Elliott Wave International's Senior Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy. "However, markets rarely travel in a straight line. So, within wave (1), where exactly are we?"

Commodity Futures: Corn Up, Cattle Down?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 28 Apr 2008 05:45:00 ET

"The manner and extent of the advance from the March low argues that the selloff [in Live Cattle] that began in August 2007 has ended," argues in his April 28 Daily Futures Junctures EWI's Senior Commodity Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

Futures: One of 20 Opportunities

Morgan Lee — Fri, 25 Apr 2008 05:45:00 ET

Here’s a quick and simple question: Does the chart below display a commodity futures market headed for a "continued sell-off"?

Rice Scare? Is Supply Really Running Out?

Nico Isaac — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 06:45:00 ET

Three words: Peak Rice Crisis – the budding idea that planet earth is rapidly running out of its last long grain. See also: “Rice Shortage on the scale of the potato famine in Ireland.” (Manila Times)

Commodities: Concerns, Expectations, Speculations?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 21 Apr 2008 06:15:00 ET

If today's (Monday, April 21) price action in commodities could be summarized in one news headline, it could read like this: "Commodity Markets Fall On A Variety of Concerns, Expectations and Speculations." But isn't that the same as "fears, hunches and rumors"?

Free Trader’s Crash Course And… Live Cattle

Nico Isaac — Thu, 17 Apr 2008 05:30:00 ET

In the financial world, commodity markets are some of the most volatile and exciting markets out there. Every second matters. It’s not a buy-and-hold kind of game; it’s a hit and run one. Yet – every day, the mainstream experts choose NOT to be where the action is. Then, there’s option “B,” as in Being there...

Futures: Avoid the Sugar Rush?

Morgan Lee — Tue, 15 Apr 2008 05:45:00 ET

Sugar futures rallied to a four-week high today (April 15) – a move that had financial media outlets everywhere scrambling to figure out exactly why everyone’s so "high" on the commodity.

Coffee: Wheel Of Fortune

Nico Isaac — Mon, 14 Apr 2008 05:45:00 ET

Mainstream financial analysis usually does one of two things: Waits around for this or that supply/demand report to provide direction to a seemingly delayed market – OR – cherry picks through the day's events for a “fundamental” reason to explain direction that has already taken place. Either way, it ends up missing out on the action.

Latest On Commodities: Tax Break

Nico Isaac — Fri, 11 Apr 2008 05:15:00 ET

EWI's brand-new, April 11 Monthly Futures Junctures gives you the latest on over a dozen major commodity markets. Here's what's inside...

Coffee Falls: The End, Or Start Of A Trend?

Nico Isaac — Thu, 10 Apr 2008 06:15:00 ET

In the world of Elliott wave analysis, there are distinctive outside characteristics that reveal whether a market’s prices are going WITH or AGAINST the larger trend.

Soybean Meal: You Don't Want To Miss Next Wave

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 09 Apr 2008 06:00:00 ET

By applying this rule of Elliott in your trading, you always know the exact price point where your "wave two" is no longer a wave two. Which means that you always know the exact price point where to place your stop-loss – a cornerstone of proper risk management.

Futures: Learn To Recognize Complex Corrections

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 08 Apr 2008 04:30:00 ET

Here’s a quick pop quiz for you. Name the two types of Elliott wave corrective formations in these charts. These are the most basic and common corrective patterns in Elliott wave analysis...

Cocoa Futures: All You Need Is Basics

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 07 Apr 2008 05:00:00 ET

You've probably heard us say before that at its core, Elliott wave analysis is simple. All you have to do is take your favorite market's chart and look for five-wave, non-overlapping moves followed by three-wave overlapping ones. Just like this diagram shows...

Soybeans: Staying Ahead

Nico Isaac — Thu, 03 Apr 2008 05:00:00 ET

One of the main contentions we have with mainstream financial analysis is its tendency to show up late for a market’s trend. Take, for example, the April 2 news stories regarding the steep drop in Soybean prices to a four-month low.

Corn Futures: Don't Force-Fit Your Analysis

Morgan Lee — Wed, 02 Apr 2008 05:45:00 ET

Markets love to throw curve balls your way, and any successful trader will tell you that the most effective trading strategies are those that allow you to roll with what the market gives you. The Elliott Wave Principle is a system that allows you that much-needed versatility.

Lean Hogs: What Does Price Gap Mean For Trend?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 01 Apr 2008 03:30:00 ET

"Now for a simple lesson in basic chart analysis: Gaps usually occur in wave three, the strongest of the three impulse waves. It does not matter if you are looking at a one-minute chart of the S&P, or a monthly Copper chart. Find a gap, and..."

Soybeans and Corn: The Big Splash

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 31 Mar 2008 06:00:00 ET

Two markets made a big splash in commodities news today (March 31): Soybeans and Corn; the former plunged, the latter rallied. Sounds like a good time to sell Soybeans and buy Corn, right?

Corn and Wheat: Telling Wave Pattern Hints At What's Next

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Thu, 27 Mar 2008 05:00:00 ET

Market corrections stump a lot of traders. You can understand why: Here you are "riding" a trend, everything is fine – when all of a sudden, prices stop trending and go sideways. Or worse – they start to fall (or rise, which is bad news if you are shorting the market.) How do you know ifmit's this just a pause in the trend, or a trend reversal?

Commodities: Sweet Opportunity In Sugar

Nico Isaac — Wed, 26 Mar 2008 05:45:00 ET

On March 20, sugar futures ended an agonizing week with prices dropping 8% to a three-month low. According to the mainstream experts, the steep sell-off was right on track with the fundamentals...but apparently NOT: The very next day, and every session up till March 26, sugar regained its sweet side, soaring to a one-week high. Why?

Soybeans: Go Beyond Conventional Analysis

Morgan Lee — Tue, 25 Mar 2008 05:15:00 ET

While the financial media hangs on every move of the Dow Jones index these days, there is plenty of excitement occurring in other markets around the financial world, too. Take commodities, for example, where soybeans and corn futures markets rocketed upward today (March 25), gaining the most number of points allowed by the Chicago Board of Trade.

Futures: Five Steps Forward…

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 24 Mar 2008 04:45:00 ET

Markets don't move in straight line or at a steady speed. Prices travel quick and far in waves 1, 3 and 3 (especially wave 3) and it takes prices a long time to travel even a short distance in corrective waves 2 and 4.

Cotton: Opportunity Getting Ripe

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 19 Mar 2008 05:45:00 ET

"Let me begin by saying that I'm still bullish Cotton." That's the opening line of today's issue (March 19) of Elliott Wave International's Daily Futures Junctures publication. And just what is the editor Jeffrey Kennedy's conviction regarding Cotton based on?

Coffee Futures: Watch Out For The "Hockey Stick"

Morgan Lee — Tue, 18 Mar 2008 04:15:00 ET

If you’ve ever watched an ice hockey game, you know that a hockey stick can be an artistic tool, producing slack-jawed, “did you see that?!” moments. Funny enough, there’s an Elliott wave pattern that goes by the same name. And the outcome of the “Hockey Stick” in wave analysis can produce almost the exact same reaction.

Soybeans, Corn and Wheat: Scared By Equities?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 17 Mar 2008 06:15:00 ET

Despite the ongoing turmoil in the stock markets, commodities – such as grains, for example – have remained relative "safe havens" due to their strong rallies. But now, some analysts say that even commodities are starting to crumble under pressure. For answers, we go to Jeffrey Kennedy, EWI's Senior Commodities Analyst.

New Monthly Futures Junctures: Pot Of Golden Opportunities

Nico Isaac — Fri, 14 Mar 2008 04:00:00 ET

Soybeans, Wheat, Corn, Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar, Cattle – and more. This St. Patrick’s Day, you could follow a make-believe leprechaun to a non-existent pot of gold at the end of a rainbow. Or – you could follow EWI's real-life Senior Commodities Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy to his “pot” of golden insight on the world's leading commodity markets in the just-published, March 14 Monthly Futures Junctures.

Coffee Futures: Opportunity Heats Up

Nico Isaac — Thu, 13 Mar 2008 05:45:00 ET

Rule number ONE of conventional economics states: Commodity prices are driven by changes in supply and demand. When it comes to the real world, however, financial markets DO NOT always play by said rule. Take, for instance, the March 13 news items regarding the number of Coffee plants expected to reach fruition.

Sugar Futures: Market Sentiment Is Key

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 12 Mar 2008 05:30:00 ET

Sentiment is the filter through which traders evaluate everything they know and think about a market. Optimistic traders easily accept bad news and focus on the positives. Pessimistic traders dismiss past successes and focus on fears instead. It's a timely observation, too – because sentiment in Sugar futures happens to be pretty optimistic right now.

Cocoa Futures: Rules of Elliott – Important Nuance

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 11 Mar 2008 05:30:00 ET

In yesterday's story about Soybean futures, we talked about the Three Rules of Elliott. Today, let's look at the second rule: "Wave 3 is never the shortest among waves 1 and 5," as it applies to the current picture in Cocoa futures.

Soybean Futures: A Rule Violation?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 10 Mar 2008 05:30:00 ET

Any market forecast is just that -- a forecast. It's a truism all right -- but one that bears repeating. All too many traders fall into the trap of thinking that what has been proposed as a market's most likely path MUST indeed be the path, forever and ever, amen. If only it were that easy.

Commodities: Focus on Four Markets

Nico Isaac — Mon, 10 Mar 2008 10:50:46 ET

On most days, Elliott Wave International's Daily Futures Junctures' editor Jeffrey Kennedy looks for just ONE price chart that pops out to say "HERE" is a potential near-term opportunity. On some occasions, however, multiple markets burst out of the crowd. In tonight's (March 6) Daily Futures Junctures, Jeffrey Kennedy excitedly shows you that now is such a time.

Futures: How Important Are Fibonacci Numbers?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 03 Mar 2008 12:00:00 ET

If you've been reading articles on Elliottwave.com for a while, chances are you probably know that Fibonacci numbers play an important role in Elliott wave analysis of commodities and other markets. How important? VERY. For example, let's look at the recent rally in Cotton futures.

Cotton: Futures Frontrunner (Free Forecast)

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 12 Feb 2008 12:15:00 ET

The votes are in. The ballots are tallied. The official frontrunner has been declared. We are talking, of course, about the current race to determine which market -- out of all the major commodity candidates out there -- is the greatest contender for near-term opportunity. And the winner is: Cotton. Get your FREE forecast here.

19 Latest Commodity Market Forecasts -- Yours Free!

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 11 Feb 2008 12:30:00 ET

Turn on CNBC these days, and the two most commonly mentioned "safe havens" in the midst of the ongoing stock market turmoil are "commodities and emerging markets." We at Elliott Wave International have strong opinions on the trends in both of these "safe havens." And aren't you in luck, because starting today (Feb. 6) and through noon on Wednesday, Feb. 13 -- you have FREE ACCESS to our latest commodity market forecasts! DETAILS inside.

Lumber Futures: Building Opportunity

Nico Isaac — Mon, 11 Feb 2008 12:15:00 ET

Lumber prices stand at their lowest levels in thirty years, Canadian Timber mills are shutting down, and the entire future of the forestry industry is up in the air. Contrary to mainstream opinion, however, the lumber bear was not built on the crumbling housing market. And, in the February 28 Daily Futures Junctures, we present detailed price charts that reveal the INTERNAL force behind the market's changes in trend: Elliott Wave patterns.

Wheat: This Event Speaks Volumes About The Trend

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Thu, 17 Jan 2008 12:30:00 ET

From the December 18 peak, wheat prices have fallen in five waves and rallied in three. On top of that, the personality inherent to impulse and corrective waves is clearly present. This development has serious implications for the wheat market from here.

Lean Hogs: Knowing When To Hold 'Em

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 14 Jan 2008 12:30:00 ET

For an Elliott Wave analyst, "knowing when to fold 'em" does not come from a feeling. It comes from a number of objective FACTS that signal whether NOW is the time to stay in OR get out of a trade. And, in the January 31 Daily Futures Junctures, our LEAN HOG analysis identifies ALL of these "knowing" signs that a significant move is in the cards for this major Meat market.

Soybean Meal: A Telling Wave Pattern

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 08 Jan 2008 12:30:00 ET

Corrections reflect confusion on the part of the market participants, and for that reason, corrective Elliott wave patterns can get quite complex. But not always. Flat and Expanded flat corrections are one of the simplest patterns, and you will find them in any liquid, freely traded market like Soybean Meal, for example.

Wheat & Cotton: "Underlying Strength"

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 08 Jan 2008 12:30:00 ET

Markets throw curve balls your way regularly. Expecting them to always behave according to your trading models is futile, and experienced traders know that. So, what do you do? Well, here's a quote that gives an excellent piece of advice: "Assess, adapt, relabel and move on!"

Wheat Futures: Why the Sudden Slump?

Morgan Lee — Wed, 02 Jan 2008 12:30:00 ET

Anyone watching wheat futures on Monday (July 30) witnessed a sizable market tumble, as the commodity lost 2.4% on the Chicago Board of Trade – its biggest drop in two weeks. Wheat’s slide sent the media scrambling for answers why. And what did they discover

Pork Bellies and Lean Hogs: Watch The Trendlines

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 12 Dec 2007 12:30:00 ET

Trendlines are one of the simplest forms of technical analysis of financial markets. Take a chart, find two extreme price points and connect them with a straight line. You'll be amazed at how often the market will "respect' that trendline going forward. Here's one of the ways you can combine trendlines with Elliott wave analysis.

Futures: Market Sentiment Near Extreme

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 12 Dec 2007 12:30:00 ET

Market sentiment is a curious thing. A measure of investors' bias towards a particular trend, if you plot it on a chart, you will see that it shifts from extreme optimism to extreme pessimism and back again. And each extreme in sentiment usually coincides with a similar extreme in price. Look at this chart of one particular meat commodity market, for example.

Coffee & Sugar: Caution Advised

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Tue, 11 Dec 2007 12:30:00 ET

You may remember how several of the recent Futures Focus articles pointed out that since November, Coffee futures have lacked a true directional impetus. For two months, prices have been stuck between 130 and 135.00 -- until today (Jan. 8).

Futures: Will Panic In Stocks Affect Commodity Markets?

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Wed, 05 Dec 2007 12:30:00 ET

Futures Focus presents an interview with Elliott Wave International's Senior Commodities Analyst and editor of Futures Junctures, Jeffrey Kennedy. Futures Focus: Jeffrey, how do you think the panic in the stock market may affect commodity futures? Jeffrey Kennedy: I don't think it will have an effect...

Cotton: What Corrective Wave Patterns Tell You About Trend

Vadim Pokhlebkin — Mon, 03 Dec 2007 12:30:00 ET

Take a look at this market chart of cotton futures -- specifically the price action beginning on Jan. 23. Does this chart pattern appear corrective or impulsive? If you know much about the Elliott Wave Principle, the answer is easy...

Wild On The Edges

Alan Hall — Wed, 06 Dec 2006 11:45:00 ET

Edges are where the social and biological action is; they’re the first places shaped by change. On the edges of seacoasts, forests, riverbanks, and -- real-estate bubbles – gulls scream, chipmunks gambol, poison ivy grows, dreamers gamble, and predators wait. Edges are where most of the feeding happens. So what does this have to do with commodities?