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Soybean Prices: Will the Past Predict the Future?
2/5/2010 1:15:00 PM

Soybean futures have sputtered since topping in early January, dropping to their lowest level in four months. The Soybeans' struggles have in some ways mirrored the stock market's beginning-of-the-year woes. Unlike the stock market, though, Soybeans experienced little of the slight gains of the first days of February.
 
The mainstream media has taken notice of Soybeans' struggles. Since the end of January, news outlets have run articles with titles like these:
 
  • "US soy extends slide on dollar, S. American crop" (Reuters, Jan. 31, 2010)
  • "Corn, soybean prices dip in January trading" (Des Moines Register, Jan. 30, 2010)
  • "Corn, soy futures seen headed lower" (Resource News International, Jan. 27, 2010)
With such gloomy news, Soybeans' problems will likely persist, right?

Soybean Price Analysis
: Elliott Wave International's February 2 Daily Futures Junctures provides you with labeled price charts, in-depth commentary and live video analysis to help you take advantage of the commodity market. Subscribe to get the complete Futures Junctures Service risk-free.
Daily Futures Junctures editor Jeffrey Kennedy provides a specific answer. Although these might seem like difficult times for Soybeans, he notes that in the past year alone the market has dropped in a similar fashion three times. On each occasion, Soybean prices responded nearly the same way.

Kennedy lets you know what this trend means for you. He applies the Wave Principle's objective set of rules and guidelines to tell you exactly where he sees Soybeans headed next, presented in crystal-clear detail on an Elliott wave–labeled price chart. He also supports his wave analysis by examining the rapid negative rate of change in Soybean prices.

Will Soybean prices' past movements provide a pattern for the market's future? Find out by subscribing to the complete Futures Junctures Service today absolutely risk-free. Click here to start.

 
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Markets Close Change
MAR CSCE Cocoa2972.00-118.00
MAR CSCE Coffee128.80-2.75
MAR CSCE Sugar26.17-1.47
MAR CBOT Corn351.50-2.50
MAR CBOT Oats226.25-2.50
MAR CBOT Soybean Meal271.00-0.20
MAR CBOT Soybean Oil37.00-0.21
CBOT Soybeans913.50-0.50
MAR CBOT Wheat473.25-2.50
MAR CME Feeder Cattle98.331.08
APR CME Lean Hogs66.72-0.20
APR CME Live Cattle90.400.33
MAR CME Pork Bellies80.00-0.75
MAR CME Lumber271.10-7.90
MAR NYCE Cotton66.62-2.37
MAR NYCE Orange Juice133.95-3.30
MAR Copper-Pit285.75-2.15
MAR Crude Oil71.19-1.95
MAR Euro1.36-0.01
APR Gold1052.80-10.20
MAR Silver1483.0-52.0
Closing prices for 2/8/2010

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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.