Economy

Learn to anticipate important trend changes in finance, macroeconomics, business and politics. Our insights can help you identify lucrative investment opportunities and avoid dangerous market risks.

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The Fed Follows the Market Then. And Then. And Now.

Most economists and most of Wall Street and most of the financial media believe that central banks set interest rates. Problem is, that notion is incorrect. And all the relevant evidence shows that it's incorrect...

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The Fed's Impotence is No Laughing Matter

The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you. 

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Dow Back Near All-Time Highs, Stimulus Junkies Flock

When a topic seems to be driving a lot of media chatter, you can quantify it to see if something more than chatter is at work. Case in point: 'Fiscal Stimulus.' Which, it turns out, is quantifiable indeed...

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U.S. Food Prices See Longest Stretch of Deflation in 50 Years

We warned about deflation when others scoffed at the idea. Now, deflation has taken a foothold around the globe, and U.S. farmers and grocery store operators are feeling the pain. Food prices have tumbled as a result of deepening deflationary forces. Prepare now for the next phase when no one will doubt this developing trend.

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4 Shocking Truths About Earnings Season

How much faith to you put in a company's earnings data to gauge its future growth potential? Well, we have four shocking truths about the real value of earnings that will radically change the way you see this time-honored measure.

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Prechter: 'Financial Markets are a Psychological Phenomenon'

Robert Prechter talks about his developing theory on finance with Douglass Lodmell for The Mind Of Money series.

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The Fed's Impotence is No Laughing Matter

The September 20-21 FOMC meeting is over, and the word-parsing has begun. But while many see the Fed as the final word on the future of the U.S. economy and stock market, the real impotence of the world’s largest central bank might surprise you. 

 Read More

Dow Back Near All-Time Highs, Stimulus Junkies Flock

When a topic seems to be driving a lot of media chatter, you can quantify it to see if something more than chatter is at work. Case in point: 'Fiscal Stimulus.' Which, it turns out, is quantifiable indeed...

 Watch Now

U.S. Food Prices See Longest Stretch of Deflation in 50 Years

We warned about deflation when others scoffed at the idea. Now, deflation has taken a foothold around the globe, and U.S. farmers and grocery store operators are feeling the pain. Food prices have tumbled as a result of deepening deflationary forces. Prepare now for the next phase when no one will doubt this developing trend.

 Watch Now

Public Pension Costs Swell After A Decade of Market Busts

Why are governments paying into public pensions? Why is the rate of increase in government payments so much greater? This chart speaks to the health of public pension funds. In a word, that health issue is "underfunded."

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How Today's Housing Market Psychology Resembles 2005

The housing market appears to be on the verge of another big shift. We see an eerie similarity between 2005 and 2016. Just like 11 years ago, almost no one is worried about a bubble. Plan now for what we see ahead.

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U.S. Stocks Surge DESPITE Earnings Facade

On August 31, Wall Street officially bid adieu to the fiscal Q2 2016. And, according to the experts, “better-than-estimated earnings” lifted U.S. stocks to record highs. The problem is, that’s just one side of the story. The other side you don’t want to miss.

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Financial Forecast Service | Financial Forecast, Elliott Wave Theorist, Short Term Update

Consider this Your "Market Wake-Up Call"

You probably noticed that markets were extremely calm during the summer. Yet investors who were lulled to sleep got their wake-up call in stock market action not long after Labor Day.

We're headed into the traditionally volatile autumn. And when markets really begin to move, many more investors will be taken by surprise.

You don't have to be among them.

In the past nine months alone, our flagship Financial Forecast Service nailed the bottom in gold, and the February bottom -- and subsequent all-time highs -- in stocks. Now we're preparing subscribers for what's next.