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Greece and the Euro: Nowhere But Down?
That's the most obvious conclusion for EURUSD. But what's obvious is not necessarily right.

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
7/7/2015 5:30:00 PM

Blaming the euro weakness on Greece is easy, yet that doesn't give you almost any objective measure of just where the euro's slide may stop. Here's why you may find technical analysis more helpful in this volatile environment.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, technical analysis, technical indicators, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


(Video, 3:06 min.) Greece: Act One of a Global Debt Drama
Greek citizens vote “Yes” to kick the can down the road

By Bob Stokes
7/6/2015 3:45:00 PM

Greece’s government debt-to-GDP is higher now than it was during the sovereign debt crisis five years ago. The world may soon shift its attention from a Greek debt drama to one that plays out on the global stage.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


(Interview, 5:13 min.) Greek Debt Crisis: "Too late to prepare now"
An Elliott wave perspective on the Greek crisis

By Alexandra Lienhard
6/30/2015 4:45:00 PM

We got on the phone with Brian Whitmer, editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast. Brian has been preparing his subscribers for the Greek crisis for a while. Listen to his latest thoughts.

Filed Under: CAC40, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, interview, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: Sharp Sell-Off Gets Reversed
The “puzzling” price action in euro-dollar is actually not puzzling at all

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2015 5:45:00 PM

On Monday (June 29), the world woke up to the ever-more-real possibility of a Greek default. The U.S. dollar gained, and EURUSD fell on the news. But then, just as abruptly, the euro sell-off reversed and completely erased all dollar gains. What happened? 

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, eu, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, eurozone, forex, forex trading, Greek debt, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Greek Crisis: The End, or the Beginning?
A deeper look at the financial story of the day: Grexit

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/29/2015 4:15:00 PM

As Greece teeters on the brink of another default, the question is: Will this end the Eurozone crisis, or will it begin an even bigger one? From an Elliott wave viewpoint, the mainstream answer to this question misses a hugely important piece of the puzzle...

Filed Under: Elections, euro, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, Greek debt, social mood, socionomics

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:25 min.) Will Greece Stem the Tide of Default?
“Investors in Greek debt are playing a type of financial roulette.”

By Bob Stokes
6/29/2015 3:45:00 PM

Our Short Term Update says, “Greece is bankrupt and everyone knows it.” Many Greek citizens have lined up to withdraw their money from the bank. Financial fear is rampant.  But Greece may only be the first domino.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, european markets, eurozone, Greek debt, Sovereign Debt, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:29 min.) U.S. Debt Dilemma: “Worsened Dramatically”
Debt growth unsustainable: Congressional Budget Office

By Bob Stokes
6/17/2015 4:00:00 PM

Never before has the world piled up so much debt. A day of reckoning is at hand. The U.S. Congressional Budget Office just said that “the long-term outlook for the federal budget has worsened dramatically.”

Filed Under: debt crisis, Elliott wave, eurozone, Greek debt, video, Video - Featured

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:25 min.) Europe's Financial Bubble: Ready to Burst?
Pharmaceutical company valuations surpass 2007 and the late 1990s

By Bob Stokes
6/15/2015 3:00:00 PM

An exponential rise in a financial market usually ends badly. Investors typically buy at the worst possible time. See the chart of a European sector that is poised to plunge.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, european markets, eurozone, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


EURUSD: When "Fundamentals" and Technicals Agree
A convergence of factors suggest lower lows for the euro ahead

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
6/11/2015 5:00:00 PM

A year ago, saying that the euro and U.S. dollar would soon reach parity would have been laughable. At the time, the euro-dollar exchange rate was trading near $1.40. By March of this year, it fell about four cents away from parity. Will it really get there?

Filed Under: Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, eurozone, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), forex, forex trading, Interest Rates, U.S. dollar

Category: Currencies


Glitter Bombs, Bill Gross, and the Public Whipping of German Bonds
If you haven’t heard of the huge sell-off in German government debt, it’s a heck of a story

By Nico Isaac
6/11/2015 3:45:00 PM

When it comes to anticipating the record-shattering rout in German bonds, the final score is: Technical analysis: 1. Fundamental analysis: 0. See for yourself in this brief overview the huge sell-off in German government debt.

Filed Under: central banks, charts, Elliott wave, euro, european central bank, eurozone, fundamental analysis, trendlines

Category: Interest Rates


(Video, 5:15 min.) Brian Whitmer: "Why I Like a Practical Approach to Trading"
A few practical insights from Elliott Wave International's European markets expert

By Alexandra Lienhard
5/18/2015 4:30:00 PM

European Financial Forecast editor, Brian Whitmer, tells you why financial bubbles occur so regularly -- and what he means by a "practical approach to trading."

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, Elliott wave, Elliott Wave trading, european markets, eurozone, video

Category: European Markets


(Video, 1:51 min.) Investing in Europe? 5 Critical Insights for Your Portfolio Now
A special 5-video event for internationally-diversified investors (May 20-27, elliottwave.com)

By Editorial Staff
5/15/2015 5:30:00 PM

Although the ECB’s been giving European banks more capital via its unprecedented 1-trillion-euro QE campaign, eurozone bank stocks peaked a year ago. What’s going on? Get answers with this special, free,  5-video event. Watch this intro by the event's host now.

Filed Under: diversification, Elliott wave, eu, euro, euro stoxx 50, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, European debt crisis, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, forecasts, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Germany’s DAX Tumbles 3% -- And German Bonds FOLLOW
Stocks and bonds are "supposed" to move inversely, yet that’s not what happened in Europe this week

By Vadim Pokhlebkin
4/30/2015 4:45:00 PM

Stocks and bonds are "supposed" to move inversely, yet on April 29, Germany's DAX index, Europe's equivalent of the DJIA., fell 3% -- and German Bunds, Europe’s equivalent of the U.S. Treasuries, fell hard together with German stocks.

Filed Under: DAX, Elliott wave, euro, europe, european central bank, european markets, eurozone, Interest Rates

Category: European Markets


(Video, 3:53 min.) Are U.S. Bank Bondholders at Risk?
Make sure your bank is on the "safest" list

By Bob Stokes
3/30/2015 4:30:00 PM

U.S. taxpayer funded bailouts of failed financial institutions may be a thing of the past. If another financial crisis occurs, bondholders and even depositors may be on the hook. Is your bank on the "safest" list?

Filed Under: bailouts, banks, Elliott wave, eurozone

Category: U.S. Economy


(Video, 3:14 min.) Could Greece Dis-Unite the European Union?
EU financial authorities grow impatient

By Bob Stokes
3/11/2015 3:45:00 PM

Tensions are surfacing in the European Union over Greece's bailout extension. The next downturn could reveal the economic rot of other EU nations. Tensions may morph into outright anger. The EU could shatter.

Filed Under: Elliott wave, euro stoxx 50, European Union (EU), eurozone, video, Video - Featured

Category: European Markets


Why Expectations for Future Global Business Activity are Plunging
Enjoy an excerpt from "The State of the Global Markets 2015 Edition"

By Editorial Staff
2/27/2015 10:30:00 AM

Investors continue to display excessive optimism toward stocks, while economic fundamentals only continue to deteriorate. What should you make of that? Here's what we think.

Filed Under: european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone

Category: European Markets


(Video, 4:15 min.) In Europe, a Bizarre New World of Negative Bond Yields
Why we believe this "unprecedented" scenario has a very real precedent: Japan

By Nico Isaac
2/20/2015 3:45:00 PM

Negative bond yields have arrived in Europe! "Investors are paying for the privilege of lending to the most trusted borrowers." There is "no precedent," say the experts. Only there IS a precedent, and a big one.

Filed Under: banks, central banks, charts, consumer price index, debt, deflation, Elliott wave, europe, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, financial forecast, Interest Rates, Nikkei

Category: European Markets


Euro Bulls May Soon Have Their Day in the Sun
Our "Pro Service Outlook 2015" FREE video event introduces you to the near- and long-term forecast for the world's most popular FOREX markets -- and so much more

By Nico Isaac
2/18/2015 9:00:00 AM

As the euro clings to a fresh, 11-year low, we'd like to invite you to take an objective step back and evaluate how the euro got here in the first place...

Filed Under: central banks, Club EWI, crude oil, currency, diagonal, Elliott wave, euro, euro/USD exchange rate, europe, european central bank, eurozone, forex, forex trading, fundamental analysis, Gold, U.S. dollar, video

Category: Currencies


My Big Fat Greek Stalemate
And why bailouts 1 and 2 failed to jumpstart the Athens Composite Index in the first place

By Nico Isaac
2/11/2015 2:15:00 PM

Cue radical claim: Bailouts are not bullish for Greek stocks. Moreover, they actually helped us confirm early on that Greek stocks had entered a bear market.

Filed Under: bailouts, Bear market, charts, debt, Elliott wave, euro, europe, European debt crisis, european markets, eurozone, financial forecast, Greek debt, International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Category: European Markets


(Interview, 5:01 min.) Swiss National Bank Panicked Early... Or Just in Time?
Elliott Wave International’s European analyst discusses the recent Swiss National Bank "shock"

By Editorial Staff
2/5/2015 4:15:00 PM

On January 15, the Swiss National Bank suddenly stopped defending the Swiss franc. That decision sent shockwaves through the financial world.

Filed Under: Brian Whitmer, european markets, European Union (EU), eurozone, interview, Swiss franc

Category: European Markets


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The Elliott Wave Principle is a detailed description of how financial markets behave. The description reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific Elliott wave patterns in price movements. Each pattern has implications regarding the position of the market within its overall progression, past, present and future. The purpose of Elliott Wave International’s market-oriented publications is to outline the progress of markets in terms of the Wave Principle and to educate interested parties in the successful application of the Wave Principle. While a course of conduct regarding investments can be formulated from such application of the Wave Principle, at no time will Elliott Wave International make specific recommendations for any specific person, and at no time may a reader, caller or viewer be justified in inferring that any such advice is intended. Investing carries risk of losses, and trading futures or options is especially risky because these instruments are highly leveraged, and traders can lose more than their initial margin funds. Information provided by Elliott Wave International is expressed in good faith, but it is not guaranteed. The market service that never makes mistakes does not exist. Long-term success trading or investing in the markets demands recognition of the fact that error and uncertainty are part of any effort to assess future probabilities. Please ask your broker or your advisor to explain all risks to you before making any trading and investing decisions.